← Умные деньги
0x853c…bd03
ПрофиЭдж
-4.0pp
ROI
+25%
Доля побед
37% @ 40.6¢
Brier
0.190
Сделок
2474
Ср. размер
$467
Динамика ROI
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 46% (156/338) | +61% | 338 |
| Политика | 34% (47/140) | -14% | 140 |
| Спорт | 31% (4/13) | -50% | 13 |
| Геополитика | 36% (4/11) | -78% | 11 |
| Технологии | 25% (2/8) | +193% | 8 |
| Экономика | 67% (2/3) | +3% | 3 |
| Крипто | 33% (1/3) | -53% | 3 |
| Культура | 100% (1/1) | +144% | 1 |
- Other338 ставки
- Попадания
- 46% (156/338)
- ROI
- +61%
- Политика140 ставки
- Попадания
- 34% (47/140)
- ROI
- -14%
- Спорт13 ставки
- Попадания
- 31% (4/13)
- ROI
- -50%
- Геополитика11 ставки
- Попадания
- 36% (4/11)
- ROI
- -78%
- Технологии8 ставки
- Попадания
- 25% (2/8)
- ROI
- +193%
- Экономика3 ставки
- Попадания
- 67% (2/3)
- ROI
- +3%
- Крипто3 ставки
- Попадания
- 33% (1/3)
- ROI
- -53%
- Культура1 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +144%
История результатов
42% попаданий · 217/517- Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?ПоражениеYes$1.2k @ 9.0¢
- No$2.9k @ 29.0¢
- Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be between $300M and $400M at market close on IPO day?ПоражениеNo$508 @ 48.9¢
- No$43 @ 22.6¢
- Yes$433 @ 42.0¢
- No$2.0k @ 58.5¢
- No$2.2k @ 82.8¢
- Yes$609 @ 84.0¢
- No$9 @ 30.1¢
- No$18 @ 71.8¢
- Yes$508 @ 45.0¢
- No$2.8k @ 82.4¢
- Yes$1.2k @ 28.3¢
- No$351 @ 87.8¢
- Switzerland$5 @ 2.7¢
- No$2.2k @ 51.8¢
- Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? ПоражениеYes$518 @ 9.3¢
- No$554 @ 57.7¢
- Yes$673 @ 51.0¢
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?ПоражениеYes$9.4k @ 41.1¢
- Yes$762 @ 10.4¢
- No$9.2k @ 62.9¢
- Yes$40.1k @ 14.0¢
- Yes$1.5k @ 85.6¢
- No$989 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 29.5¢
- Yes$2.6k @ 49.4¢
- No$1.5k @ 37.0¢
- No$68 @ 34.2¢
- No$137 @ 47.2¢
- Yes$167 @ 63.1¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 29.3¢
- No$93 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 19.0¢
- Yes$8 @ 2.0¢
- Yes$429 @ 17.2¢
- Yes$900 @ 45.0¢
- No$76 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$3.4k @ 46.9¢
- No$4.8k @ 61.8¢
- No$9.3k @ 22.8¢
- Yes$6.0k @ 76.9¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 74.4¢
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?ПоражениеYes$518 @ 10.6¢
- Yes$509 @ 40.0¢
- No$970 @ 35.5¢
- Yes$18.6k @ 87.7¢
- Yes$997 @ 83.2¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 41.0¢
- Yes$77 @ 69.0¢
Недавние сделки
в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировкиЗагрузка недавних сделок…
Текущие позиции
| Рынок | Сфера | Исход | Размер | Вход |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | Политика | Yes | $3.7k | 47.0¢ |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026? | Политика | Yes | $289 | 15.6¢ |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | Политика | Yes | $201 | 55.1¢ |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | Политика | Yes | $50 | 55.0¢ |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Политика | Yes | $49 | 41.2¢ |
| Will Anthropic list on the NASDAQ? | Технологии | Yes | $43 | 92.2¢ |
| RFK Jr. Out by October 31? | Политика | Yes | $16 | 6.9¢ |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? | Политика | Yes | $12 | 29.4¢ |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of September 2026? | Технологии | Yes | $9 | 10.6¢ |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC? | Политика | No | $7 | 61.0¢ |
- Yes$3.7k @ 47.0¢
- Yes$289 @ 15.6¢
- Yes$201 @ 55.1¢
- Yes$50 @ 55.0¢
- Yes$49 @ 41.2¢
- Will Anthropic list on the NASDAQ?ТехнологииYes$43 @ 92.2¢
- RFK Jr. Out by October 31?ПолитикаYes$16 @ 6.9¢
- Yes$12 @ 29.4¢
- Yes$9 @ 10.6¢
- No$7 @ 61.0¢