0x841f…bbd0

Прибыльный

Эдж

-16.4pp

ROI

+7%

Доля побед

45% @ 61.0¢

Brier

0.223

Сделок

Ср. размер

$199

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	20% (2/10)	-3%	10
Политика	83% (5/6)	+22%	6
Геополитика	100% (2/2)	+15%	2
Технологии	100% (1/1)	+100%	1
Спорт	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other10 ставки
Попадания
20% (2/10)
ROI
-3%
Политика6 ставки
Попадания
83% (5/6)
ROI
+22%
Геополитика2 ставки
Попадания
100% (2/2)
ROI
+15%
Технологии1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+100%
Спорт1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

50% попаданий · 10/20

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$102	50.0¢	Победа
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?	No	$458	75.9¢	Победа
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?	No	$100	53.0¢	Поражение
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	No	$3.5k	88.0¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$320	80.0¢	Победа
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$107	26.0¢	Поражение
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$72	35.5¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$4.0k	84.8¢	Победа
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	$67	66.0¢	Победа
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$282	67.0¢	Поражение
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$503	87.2¢	Победа
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?	No	$100	81.9¢	Поражение
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	$1.1k	81.4¢	Победа
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	Yes	$20	17.3¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	$65	75.0¢	Поражение
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes	Nebraska Cornhuskers	$248	64.7¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026?	Yes	$55	55.0¢	Поражение
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$98	49.0¢	Победа
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$502	89.2¢	Победа
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$82	41.0¢	Поражение

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Победа
Yes$102 @ 50.0¢
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?Победа
No$458 @ 75.9¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?Поражение
No$100 @ 53.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Победа
No$3.5k @ 88.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Победа
No$320 @ 80.0¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Поражение
Yes$107 @ 26.0¢
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$72 @ 35.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Победа
No$4.0k @ 84.8¢
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Победа
No$67 @ 66.0¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Поражение
No$282 @ 67.0¢
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?Победа
Yes$503 @ 87.2¢
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?Поражение
No$100 @ 81.9¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?Победа
No$1.1k @ 81.4¢
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 17.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$65 @ 75.0¢
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa HawkeyesПоражение
Nebraska Cornhuskers$248 @ 64.7¢
Will Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026?Поражение
Yes$55 @ 55.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$98 @ 49.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Победа
No$502 @ 89.2¢
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Поражение
Yes$82 @ 41.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Геополитика	Yes	$365	73.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?	—	No	$258	86.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?	—	No	$191	95.7¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Спорт	Yes	$128	25.6¢
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Политика	Yes	$82	41.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Политика	No	$39	39.3¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in July?	—	No	$4	80.0¢
Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027?	—	Yes	$1	3.0¢

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Геополитика
Yes$365 @ 73.0¢
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?—
No$258 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?—
No$191 @ 95.7¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Спорт
Yes$128 @ 25.6¢
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?Политика
Yes$82 @ 41.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Политика
No$39 @ 39.3¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in July?—
No$4 @ 80.0¢
Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027?—
Yes$1 @ 3.0¢