0x82a4…cdb7

Профи

Эдж

+10.9pp

ROI

+34%

Доля побед

65% @ 54.2¢

Brier

0.144

Сделок

258

Ср. размер

$205

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	48% (43/90)	+34%	90
Политика	78% (7/9)	-1%	9

Other90 ставки
Попадания
48% (43/90)
ROI
+34%
Политика9 ставки
Попадания
78% (7/9)
ROI
-1%

История результатов

51% попаданий · 50/99

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	Yes	$179	69.7¢	Победа
Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	Yes	$142	81.0¢	Победа
Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?	Yes	$66	82.3¢	Победа
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	Yes	$103	79.0¢	Победа
Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?	Yes	$102	79.0¢	Победа
Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?	Yes	$12	80.0¢	Победа
Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?	Yes	$46	85.0¢	Победа
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Yes	$34	20.8¢	Поражение
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	Yes	$165	17.3¢	Поражение
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?	Yes	$68	45.3¢	Поражение
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?	Yes	$472	59.0¢	Поражение
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	$3.6k	78.6¢	Победа
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$1.7k	16.9¢	Поражение
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 8.0-9.0%?	Yes	$42	30.0¢	Поражение
Argentina wins Copa America 2024?	Yes	$157	51.0¢	Победа
Democrat other than Biden wins the Election?	No	$154	77.0¢	Победа
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?	Yes	$41	81.0¢	Победа
Trump vs. Biden: Who raised more in June?	Trump	$59	59.0¢	Поражение
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	$3	2.6¢	Поражение
Will National Rally win 175-199 seats?	No	$9	68.7¢	Победа
Trump to speak at Bitcoin 2024 conference?	No	$50	50.0¢	Поражение
Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?	Yes	$30	10.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "ear" during RNC speech?	Yes	$38	76.6¢	Победа
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64	Yes	$80	14.9¢	Поражение
Copa America: Uruguay vs. Colombia	Colombia	$231	62.6¢	Победа
Will Mike Pompeo win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?	Yes	$10	0.2¢	Поражение
Trump sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	$75	75.0¢	Победа
US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?	No	$2	75.0¢	Победа
Will there be another debate?	No	$690	75.9¢	Победа
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September?	Yes	$85	85.0¢	Победа
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?	No	$79	79.0¢	Победа
Will National Rally win 225-249 seats?	Yes	$33	33.0¢	Поражение
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon Men's?	Yes	$69	14.5¢	Поражение
Biden drops out of presidential race?	No	$180	45.9¢	Поражение
Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?	No	$36	65.0¢	Победа
Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?	No	$125	62.5¢	Поражение
Fed rate cut by December 18?	Yes	$2.7k	83.6¢	Победа
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?	Yes	$1.3k	62.0¢	Победа
Colombia wins Copa America 2024?	Yes	$114	22.5¢	Поражение
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?	Trump	$43	43.0¢	Поражение
Trump's ear bandaged during RNC convention?	Yes	$15	75.0¢	Победа
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?	Yes	$152	76.0¢	Победа
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon Men's?	Yes	$15	29.0¢	Поражение
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?	No	$197	83.9¢	Победа
Netherlands vs. England - Who will advance?	England	$28	55.0¢	Победа
Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?	No	$216	67.1¢	Победа
50+ Dem house reps call Biden to drop out by Friday?	No	$17	77.0¢	Победа
Will Trump announce VP pick on Wednesday?	Yes	$63	15.8¢	Поражение
Another New Popular Front member next Prime Minister of France?	Yes	$36	45.5¢	Поражение
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?	No	$20	40.0¢	Поражение

Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?Победа
Yes$179 @ 69.7¢
Will Cid Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?Победа
Yes$142 @ 81.0¢
Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?Победа
Yes$66 @ 82.3¢
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Победа
Yes$103 @ 79.0¢
Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?Победа
Yes$102 @ 79.0¢
Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Победа
Yes$12 @ 80.0¢
Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election?Победа
Yes$46 @ 85.0¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Поражение
Yes$34 @ 20.8¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Поражение
Yes$165 @ 17.3¢
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Поражение
Yes$68 @ 45.3¢
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?Поражение
Yes$472 @ 59.0¢
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Победа
No$3.6k @ 78.6¢
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Поражение
Yes$1.7k @ 16.9¢
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 8.0-9.0%? Поражение
Yes$42 @ 30.0¢
Argentina wins Copa America 2024?Победа
Yes$157 @ 51.0¢
Democrat other than Biden wins the Election?Победа
No$154 @ 77.0¢
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Победа
Yes$41 @ 81.0¢
Trump vs. Biden: Who raised more in June?Поражение
Trump$59 @ 59.0¢
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 2.6¢
Will National Rally win 175-199 seats?Победа
No$9 @ 68.7¢
Trump to speak at Bitcoin 2024 conference?Поражение
No$50 @ 50.0¢
Will Portugal win the 2024 Euros?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 10.0¢
Will Trump say "ear" during RNC speech?Победа
Yes$38 @ 76.6¢
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64Поражение
Yes$80 @ 14.9¢
Copa America: Uruguay vs. Colombia Победа
Colombia$231 @ 62.6¢
Will Mike Pompeo win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 0.2¢
Trump sentenced to no prison time?Победа
Yes$75 @ 75.0¢
US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?Победа
No$2 @ 75.0¢
Will there be another debate?Победа
No$690 @ 75.9¢
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader before September?Победа
Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
Ukraine strike on Moscow by September 30?Победа
No$79 @ 79.0¢
Will National Rally win 225-249 seats?Поражение
Yes$33 @ 33.0¢
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon Men's?Поражение
Yes$69 @ 14.5¢
Biden drops out of presidential race?Поражение
No$180 @ 45.9¢
Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Победа
No$36 @ 65.0¢
Biden drops out before the Democratic convention?Поражение
No$125 @ 62.5¢
Fed rate cut by December 18?Победа
Yes$2.7k @ 83.6¢
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win?Победа
Yes$1.3k @ 62.0¢
Colombia wins Copa America 2024?Поражение
Yes$114 @ 22.5¢
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?Поражение
Trump$43 @ 43.0¢
Trump's ear bandaged during RNC convention?Победа
Yes$15 @ 75.0¢
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Победа
Yes$152 @ 76.0¢
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon Men's?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 29.0¢
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?Победа
No$197 @ 83.9¢
Netherlands vs. England - Who will advance? Победа
England$28 @ 55.0¢
Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Победа
No$216 @ 67.1¢
50+ Dem house reps call Biden to drop out by Friday?Победа
No$17 @ 77.0¢
Will Trump announce VP pick on Wednesday?Поражение
Yes$63 @ 15.8¢
Another New Popular Front member next Prime Minister of France? Поражение
Yes$36 @ 45.5¢
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?Поражение
No$20 @ 40.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	Политика	Yes	$53	75.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?	Политика	Yes	$31	61.0¢
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?	Политика	Yes	$11	37.0¢

Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?Политика
Yes$53 @ 75.0¢
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Политика
Yes$31 @ 61.0¢
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Политика
Yes$11 @ 37.0¢