0x8143…5f93

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x8143aedef8323564ff5e1b1dd37ae4e01c565f93
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Профи

Эдж

-19.3pp

ROI

+11%

Доля побед

27% @ 45.8¢

Brier

0.145

Сделок

Ср. размер

$49

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	25% (5/20)	-27%	20
Other	22% (4/18)	+23%	18
Технологии	50% (1/2)	+11%	2
Экономика	100% (2/2)	+55%	2
Спорт	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Геополитика	100% (1/1)	+18%	1
Культура	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Политика20 ставки
Попадания
25% (5/20)
ROI
-27%
Other18 ставки
Попадания
22% (4/18)
ROI
+23%
Технологии2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
+11%
Экономика2 ставки
Попадания
100% (2/2)
ROI
+55%
Спорт1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Геополитика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%
Культура1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

29% попаданий · 13/45

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$8	16.0¢	Поражение
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	No	$16	31.0¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?	No	$13	63.0¢	Поражение
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	$19	19.0¢	Поражение
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	$85	85.0¢	Победа
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	No	$25	25.0¢	Поражение
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?	No	$7	13.0¢	Поражение
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$4	66.0¢	Поражение
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	$17	83.0¢	Поражение
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	$33	65.0¢	Победа
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	$32	64.0¢	Победа
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	No	$32	63.0¢	Поражение
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	$16	31.0¢	Поражение
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	$6	32.0¢	Поражение
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	$2	9.0¢	Поражение
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	$39	39.0¢	Победа
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$44	87.0¢	Победа
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	26.0¢	Поражение
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?	No	$33	66.0¢	Поражение
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?	No	$13	63.0¢	Победа
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?	Yes	$8	36.0¢	Поражение
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	$16	32.0¢	Поражение
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	$16	81.0¢	Победа
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?	Yes	$76	76.0¢	Победа
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	No	$32	63.0¢	Поражение
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	No	$15	29.0¢	Поражение
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	Yes	$7	7.0¢	Поражение
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?	Yes	$9	46.0¢	Поражение
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	44.0¢	Поражение
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	Yes	$4	17.0¢	Поражение
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	$32	64.1¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	Yes	$39	39.0¢	Поражение
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?	Yes	$45	89.0¢	Победа
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?	No	$17	85.0¢	Победа
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	$1.3k	66.5¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	No	$39	77.0¢	Победа
Will Russia enter Khatnie by April 30, 2026?	No	$42	83.0¢	Победа
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?	Yes	$87	33.0¢	Поражение
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	Yes	$18	35.0¢	Поражение
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?	Yes	$18	35.0¢	Поражение
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	No	$74	74.0¢	Поражение
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	Yes	$6	11.0¢	Поражение
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$8	20.5¢	Поражение
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?	Yes	$4	21.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	Yes	$4	8.0¢	Поражение

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 16.0¢
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Поражение
No$16 @ 31.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?Поражение
No$13 @ 63.0¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Поражение
No$19 @ 19.0¢
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Победа
Yes$85 @ 85.0¢
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Поражение
No$25 @ 25.0¢
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?Поражение
No$7 @ 13.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 66.0¢
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Поражение
Yes$17 @ 83.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Победа
Yes$33 @ 65.0¢
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Победа
No$32 @ 64.0¢
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$32 @ 63.0¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Поражение
No$16 @ 31.0¢
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 32.0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Поражение
No$2 @ 9.0¢
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Победа
Yes$39 @ 39.0¢
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Победа
Yes$44 @ 87.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 26.0¢
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?Поражение
No$33 @ 66.0¢
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?Победа
No$13 @ 63.0¢
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 36.0¢
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Поражение
Yes$16 @ 32.0¢
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Победа
Yes$16 @ 81.0¢
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?Победа
Yes$76 @ 76.0¢
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Поражение
No$32 @ 63.0¢
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Поражение
No$15 @ 29.0¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 7.0¢
Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 46.0¢
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 44.0¢
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 17.0¢
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Поражение
No$32 @ 64.1¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Поражение
Yes$39 @ 39.0¢
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?Победа
Yes$45 @ 89.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Победа
No$17 @ 85.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Победа
No$1.3k @ 66.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Победа
No$39 @ 77.0¢
Will Russia enter Khatnie by April 30, 2026?Победа
No$42 @ 83.0¢
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?Поражение
Yes$87 @ 33.0¢
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Поражение
Yes$18 @ 35.0¢
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Поражение
Yes$18 @ 35.0¢
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Поражение
No$74 @ 74.0¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 11.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 20.5¢
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by April 30?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 21.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 8.0¢

Недавние сделки

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Загрузка недавних сделок…

Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Технологии	No	$76	76.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Культура	Yes	$27	54.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	Культура	No	$27	54.0¢
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Политика	No	$18	88.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Политика	No	$13	66.5¢
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Культура	No	$12	59.0¢
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Экономика	Yes	$11	54.0¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?	Технологии	Yes	$11	53.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Политика	No	$10	49.0¢
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Экономика	No	$9	43.0¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$8	42.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$7	33.1¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?	Технологии	Yes	$6	30.0¢
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Наука	Yes	$5	27.0¢
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	Культура	Yes	$5	24.0¢
Will William Peña Farfán win the next Cusco mayoral elections?	Политика	Yes	$5	24.0¢
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Политика	Yes	$4	21.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Спорт	No	$2	12.0¢
Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$2	11.0¢
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$2	9.0¢
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$2	8.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-12 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$1	4.0¢

Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Технологии
No$76 @ 76.0¢
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Культура
Yes$27 @ 54.0¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Культура
No$27 @ 54.0¢
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Политика
No$18 @ 88.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Политика
No$13 @ 66.5¢
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Культура
No$12 @ 59.0¢
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Экономика
Yes$11 @ 54.0¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Технологии
Yes$11 @ 53.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Политика
No$10 @ 49.0¢
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Экономика
No$9 @ 43.0¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$8 @ 42.0¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Политика
Yes$7 @ 33.1¢
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Технологии
Yes$6 @ 30.0¢
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?Наука
Yes$5 @ 27.0¢
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Культура
Yes$5 @ 24.0¢
Will William Peña Farfán win the next Cusco mayoral elections?Политика
Yes$5 @ 24.0¢
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Политика
Yes$4 @ 21.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Спорт
No$2 @ 12.0¢
Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?Политика
Yes$2 @ 11.0¢
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?Политика
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$2 @ 8.0¢
Will the Republican Party win the NC-12 House seat?Политика
Yes$1 @ 4.0¢