0x80a0…5708

Профи

Эдж

+13.3pp

ROI

+6%

Доля побед

39% @ 26.2¢

Brier

0.138

Сделок

304

Ср. размер

$193

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	19% (4/21)	-26%	21
Политика	0% (0/9)	-100%	9
Геополитика	33% (1/3)	+30%	3
Спорт	50% (1/2)	+232%	2

Other21 ставки
Попадания
19% (4/21)
ROI
-26%
Политика9 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/9)
ROI
-100%
Геополитика3 ставки
Попадания
33% (1/3)
ROI
+30%
Спорт2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
+232%

История результатов

17% попаданий · 6/35

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	$126	2.9¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$703	3.6¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$3.3k	14.9¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	$2.2k	26.3¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$19.5k	75.1¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$420	21.0¢	Поражение
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$69	0.9¢	Поражение
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$1.1k	28.0¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	$3	5.0¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	$3.3k	10.6¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	$756	3.6¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	$300	10.0¢	Поражение
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	$244	3.4¢	Поражение
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$17.1k	79.9¢	Победа
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	$83	41.0¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	$330	7.3¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$9.2k	85.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$3.2k	47.5¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	27.8¢	Поражение
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$1.1k	2.2¢	Поражение
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	$40	8.0¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$26.1k	59.1¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$1.5k	21.1¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	No	$169	1.2¢	Поражение
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	12.0¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	$159	30.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$21.2k	39.8¢	Поражение
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?	Yes	$64	1.7¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$580	29.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	$280	7.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	$1.3k	31.9¢	Поражение
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$362	17.5¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$24.2k	73.4¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$8.9k	78.0¢	Победа
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	$1.7k	21.4¢	Поражение

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Поражение
Yes$126 @ 2.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
Yes$703 @ 3.6¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Поражение
Yes$3.3k @ 14.9¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Поражение
Yes$2.2k @ 26.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Победа
No$19.5k @ 75.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Поражение
Yes$420 @ 21.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$69 @ 0.9¢
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Победа
Yes$1.1k @ 28.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 5.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Поражение
Yes$3.3k @ 10.6¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Поражение
Yes$756 @ 3.6¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Поражение
No$300 @ 10.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Поражение
Yes$244 @ 3.4¢
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Победа
Yes$17.1k @ 79.9¢
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Поражение
Yes$83 @ 41.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Поражение
Yes$330 @ 7.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Победа
No$9.2k @ 85.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$3.2k @ 47.5¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.2k @ 27.8¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Поражение
No$1.1k @ 2.2¢
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 8.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Победа
No$26.1k @ 59.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Поражение
Yes$1.5k @ 21.1¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Поражение
No$169 @ 1.2¢
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.2k @ 12.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Поражение
Yes$159 @ 30.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$21.2k @ 39.8¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Поражение
Yes$64 @ 1.7¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Поражение
Yes$580 @ 29.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Поражение
Yes$280 @ 7.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Поражение
No$1.3k @ 31.9¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$362 @ 17.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Поражение
No$24.2k @ 73.4¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Победа
Yes$8.9k @ 78.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Поражение
Yes$1.7k @ 21.4¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Политика	No	$21.3k	84.5¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Геополитика	Yes	$10.6k	24.7¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Спорт	No	$9.7k	90.3¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Спорт	No	$9.2k	69.4¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Спорт	Yes	$7.4k	17.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	—	Yes	$6.3k	56.3¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Спорт	Yes	$5.8k	28.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Политика	No	$4.2k	88.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Политика	No	$3.6k	89.0¢
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$2.7k	17.1¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$1.2k	7.9¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$1.1k	5.5¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Геополитика	Yes	$1.1k	14.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	—	Yes	$685	17.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	—	Yes	$499	22.7¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Политика	Yes	$428	10.7¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Политика	Yes	$360	18.0¢
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$160	1.6¢
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$150	2.1¢
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$150	0.5¢
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$149	0.5¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$99	1.2¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	—	Yes	$66	42.0¢

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Политика
No$21.3k @ 84.5¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Геополитика
Yes$10.6k @ 24.7¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Спорт
No$9.7k @ 90.3¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Спорт
No$9.2k @ 69.4¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Спорт
Yes$7.4k @ 17.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?—
Yes$6.3k @ 56.3¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Спорт
Yes$5.8k @ 28.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Политика
No$4.2k @ 88.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Политика
No$3.6k @ 89.0¢
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Политика
Yes$2.7k @ 17.1¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$1.2k @ 7.9¢
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$1.1k @ 5.5¢
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Геополитика
Yes$1.1k @ 14.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?—
Yes$685 @ 17.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?—
Yes$499 @ 22.7¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Политика
Yes$428 @ 10.7¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Политика
Yes$360 @ 18.0¢
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$160 @ 1.6¢
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$150 @ 2.1¢
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$150 @ 0.5¢
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$149 @ 0.5¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$99 @ 1.2¢
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?—
Yes$66 @ 42.0¢