0x7b58…eb2b

Профи

Эдж

+3.4pp

ROI

+49%

Доля побед

10% @ 6.2¢

Brier

0.033

Сделок

979

Ср. размер

$14

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	37% (7/19)	-1%	19
Политика	73% (8/11)	+97%	11
Спорт	0% (0/7)	-100%	7
Технологии	67% (2/3)	+19%	3
Геополитика	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Крипто	100% (2/2)	+126%	2

Other19 ставки
Попадания
37% (7/19)
ROI
-1%
Политика11 ставки
Попадания
73% (8/11)
ROI
+97%
Спорт7 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/7)
ROI
-100%
Технологии3 ставки
Попадания
67% (2/3)
ROI
+19%
Геополитика2 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Крипто2 ставки
Попадания
100% (2/2)
ROI
+126%

История результатов

43% попаданий · 19/44

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.8k	71.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$871	21.2¢	Поражение
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?	Yes	$954	86.7¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$37	37.0¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$102	17.1¢	Победа
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$509	0.5¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$688	52.9¢	Поражение
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$276	0.6¢	Поражение
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$266	76.0¢	Победа
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$120	0.6¢	Поражение
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	$384	64.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.1k	32.9¢	Победа
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	Yes	$40	0.2¢	Поражение
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	$0	0.7¢	Поражение
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$42	0.4¢	Поражение
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$551	60.9¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$383	76.6¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$216	30.9¢	Поражение
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$24	0.3¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$1.7k	22.9¢	Победа
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	No	$1	55.0¢	Победа
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$0	0.2¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$72	18.0¢	Поражение
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	$380	76.0¢	Победа
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	$161	80.0¢	Победа
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$28	0.4¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	$117	58.6¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$279	31.0¢	Поражение
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$45	0.4¢	Поражение
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	$308	77.0¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	$21	10.7¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$1.8k	83.5¢	Победа
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	$170	85.0¢	Победа
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$90	0.3¢	Поражение
Predators vs. Kings	Predators	$90	47.0¢	Поражение
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?	Yes	$148	85.0¢	Победа
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.25% and 2.99%?	Yes	$1	1.3¢	Поражение
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$47	0.5¢	Поражение
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$1.4k	67.2¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$165	33.0¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$741	82.3¢	Победа
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$430	86.0¢	Победа
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	$34	11.5¢	Поражение
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$515	73.6¢	Победа

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$1.8k @ 71.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$871 @ 21.2¢
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?Победа
Yes$954 @ 86.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$37 @ 37.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$102 @ 17.1¢
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$509 @ 0.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Поражение
Yes$688 @ 52.9¢
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$276 @ 0.6¢
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$266 @ 76.0¢
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$120 @ 0.6¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Победа
No$384 @ 64.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$1.1k @ 32.9¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 0.2¢
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.7¢
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$42 @ 0.4¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Победа
Yes$551 @ 60.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$383 @ 76.6¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Поражение
Yes$216 @ 30.9¢
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?Поражение
Yes$24 @ 0.3¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Победа
Yes$1.7k @ 22.9¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?Победа
No$1 @ 55.0¢
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$72 @ 18.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Победа
No$380 @ 76.0¢
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Победа
Yes$161 @ 80.0¢
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$28 @ 0.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Поражение
No$117 @ 58.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$279 @ 31.0¢
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?Поражение
Yes$45 @ 0.4¢
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Поражение
Yes$308 @ 77.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Поражение
Yes$21 @ 10.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Победа
No$1.8k @ 83.5¢
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageПобеда
Hanwha Life Esports$170 @ 85.0¢
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?Поражение
Yes$90 @ 0.3¢
Predators vs. KingsПоражение
Predators$90 @ 47.0¢
Over $25M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Победа
Yes$148 @ 85.0¢
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.25% and 2.99%?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.3¢
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$47 @ 0.5¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Победа
No$1.4k @ 67.2¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Поражение
No$165 @ 33.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Победа
Yes$741 @ 82.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Победа
No$430 @ 86.0¢
Will France win Eurovision 2026?Поражение
Yes$34 @ 11.5¢
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Победа
Yes$515 @ 73.6¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Политика	Yes	$508	59.8¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Политика	Yes	$500	82.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$356	64.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Политика	Yes	$306	76.4¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$305	61.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Политика	Yes	$260	65.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$249	71.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	—	Yes	$238	68.0¢
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Политика	No	$213	85.0¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$169	26.0¢
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$120	24.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	—	No	$100	75.0¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?	—	No	$44	88.0¢
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$18	2.1¢
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$14	0.8¢

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Политика
Yes$508 @ 59.8¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Политика
Yes$500 @ 82.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$356 @ 64.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Политика
Yes$306 @ 76.4¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Политика
Yes$305 @ 61.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Политика
Yes$260 @ 65.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Политика
Yes$249 @ 71.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?—
Yes$238 @ 68.0¢
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Политика
No$213 @ 85.0¢
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Крипто
Yes$169 @ 26.0¢
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Политика
Yes$120 @ 24.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?—
No$100 @ 75.0¢
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?—
No$44 @ 88.0¢
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Политика
Yes$18 @ 2.1¢
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Политика
Yes$14 @ 0.8¢