0x7a90…2ff9

Профи

Эдж

+5.1pp

ROI

+22%

Доля побед

35% @ 30.0¢

Brier

0.179

Сделок

2869

Ср. размер

$28

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	39% (280/724)	+29%	724
Политика	24% (37/154)	-6%	154
Геополитика	16% (12/73)	-31%	73
Спорт	25% (5/20)	+14%	20
Крипто	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Технологии	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Наука	100% (1/1)	+100%	1

Other724 ставки
Попадания
39% (280/724)
ROI
+29%
Политика154 ставки
Попадания
24% (37/154)
ROI
-6%
Геополитика73 ставки
Попадания
16% (12/73)
ROI
-31%
Спорт20 ставки
Попадания
25% (5/20)
ROI
+14%
Крипто2 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Технологии1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Наука1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+100%

История результатов

34% попаданий · 335/975

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$11	3.7¢	Поражение
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$12	6.0¢	Поражение
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	$16	2.8¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	$19	16.0¢	Поражение
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$60	12.0¢	Поражение
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	$96	32.0¢	Победа
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	$90	18.0¢	Поражение
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	$36	6.2¢	Поражение
FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?	Yes	$3	2.0¢	Поражение
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	$49	17.0¢	Победа
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$18	4.0¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$91	7.0¢	Поражение
Will Yashar win 24-25 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	$22	11.0¢	Поражение
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	$27	4.6¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	$87	25.7¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	$13	5.0¢	Поражение
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	$41	30.4¢	Победа
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	$16	4.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	$36	18.0¢	Поражение
Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?	No	$48	9.8¢	Поражение
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	$4	9.0¢	Поражение
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$159	18.7¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	$331	22.3¢	Поражение
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	$9	5.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	$24	6.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	No	$21	7.0¢	Поражение
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 14, 2026?	Yes	$30	10.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?	No	$32	5.3¢	Поражение
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?	No	$9	1.0¢	Поражение
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 12?	Yes	$174	58.0¢	Поражение
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	Yes	$33	11.2¢	Поражение
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	$30	5.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	$61	17.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	$20	5.0¢	Поражение
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026?	No	$12	48.0¢	Победа
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$0	6.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	$49	2.0¢	Поражение
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$5	11.4¢	Поражение
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?	Yes	$358	24.8¢	Поражение
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	No	$70	24.7¢	Поражение
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?	Yes	$10	10.0¢	Поражение
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09?	Yes	$20	28.0¢	Поражение
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?	Yes	$10	56.0¢	Победа
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?	Yes	$40	49.7¢	Поражение
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?	No	$4	65.0¢	Победа
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?	Yes	$45	64.2¢	Поражение
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	No	$19	14.0¢	Поражение
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?	Yes	$175	89.0¢	Победа
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?	Yes	$23	73.0¢	Победа
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?	Yes	$40	39.4¢	Поражение

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$11 @ 3.7¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$12 @ 6.0¢
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Поражение
Yes$16 @ 2.8¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Поражение
No$19 @ 16.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$60 @ 12.0¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Победа
No$96 @ 32.0¢
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Поражение
Yes$90 @ 18.0¢
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Поражение
Yes$36 @ 6.2¢
FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 2.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Победа
No$49 @ 17.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$18 @ 4.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$91 @ 7.0¢
Will Yashar win 24-25 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Поражение
Yes$22 @ 11.0¢
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Поражение
Yes$27 @ 4.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Поражение
No$87 @ 25.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Поражение
No$13 @ 5.0¢
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Победа
Yes$41 @ 30.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Поражение
No$16 @ 4.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Поражение
No$36 @ 18.0¢
Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?Поражение
No$48 @ 9.8¢
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Поражение
No$4 @ 9.0¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
No$159 @ 18.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Поражение
No$331 @ 22.3¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Поражение
No$9 @ 5.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Поражение
No$24 @ 6.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Поражение
No$21 @ 7.0¢
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 14, 2026?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Поражение
No$32 @ 5.3¢
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Поражение
No$9 @ 1.0¢
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 12?Поражение
Yes$174 @ 58.0¢
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?Поражение
Yes$33 @ 11.2¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?Поражение
No$30 @ 5.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Поражение
No$61 @ 17.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Поражение
No$20 @ 5.0¢
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026?Победа
No$12 @ 48.0¢
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 6.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Поражение
No$49 @ 2.0¢
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 11.4¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?Поражение
Yes$358 @ 24.8¢
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Поражение
No$70 @ 24.7¢
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 10.0¢
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 28.0¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?Победа
Yes$10 @ 56.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 49.7¢
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?Победа
No$4 @ 65.0¢
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?Поражение
Yes$45 @ 64.2¢
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?Поражение
No$19 @ 14.0¢
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?Победа
Yes$175 @ 89.0¢
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?Победа
Yes$23 @ 73.0¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 39.4¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Политика	No	$260	17.3¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$223	17.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$204	48.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$178	27.3¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Геополитика	Yes	$145	17.1¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$142	14.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Политика	Yes	$120	24.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$111	15.8¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Политика	No	$101	8.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$99	9.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$96	16.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$90	20.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	Геополитика	Yes	$81	27.0¢
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?	Политика	Yes	$63	9.8¢
Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026?	Геополитика	Yes	$62	20.4¢
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$56	7.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Политика	Yes	$54	9.0¢
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$52	13.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	Геополитика	No	$50	10.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$48	12.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Политика	No	$47	7.5¢
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?	Геополитика	Yes	$47	11.0¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$46	10.2¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?	Геополитика	Yes	$46	28.2¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Геополитика	Yes	$42	7.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$40	8.0¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Спорт	Yes	$40	16.0¢
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$39	6.7¢
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?	Наука	Yes	$39	33.1¢
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$38	7.0¢

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Политика
No$260 @ 17.3¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Политика
Yes$223 @ 17.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Политика
Yes$204 @ 48.0¢
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Политика
Yes$178 @ 27.3¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Геополитика
Yes$145 @ 17.1¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Политика
Yes$142 @ 14.2¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Политика
Yes$120 @ 24.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Политика
Yes$111 @ 15.8¢
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Политика
No$101 @ 8.0¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Политика
Yes$99 @ 9.0¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
Yes$96 @ 16.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$90 @ 20.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?Геополитика
Yes$81 @ 27.0¢
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?Политика
Yes$63 @ 9.8¢
Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026?Геополитика
Yes$62 @ 20.4¢
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$56 @ 7.0¢
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Политика
Yes$54 @ 9.0¢
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$52 @ 13.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?Геополитика
No$50 @ 10.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Политика
Yes$48 @ 12.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Политика
No$47 @ 7.5¢
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Геополитика
Yes$47 @ 11.0¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Политика
Yes$46 @ 10.2¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 6?Геополитика
Yes$46 @ 28.2¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Геополитика
Yes$42 @ 7.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Политика
Yes$40 @ 8.0¢
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Спорт
Yes$40 @ 16.0¢
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?Политика
Yes$39 @ 6.7¢
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?Наука
Yes$39 @ 33.1¢
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Политика
Yes$38 @ 7.0¢