0x77c3…00c8

Профи

Эдж

+4.1pp

ROI

+13%

Доля побед

49% @ 44.8¢

Brier

0.161

Сделок

1060

Ср. размер

$96

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	47% (67/143)	+10%	143
Политика	65% (17/26)	+13%	26
Спорт	50% (4/8)	-25%	8
Геополитика	80% (4/5)	+20%	5

Other143 ставки
Попадания
47% (67/143)
ROI
+10%
Политика26 ставки
Попадания
65% (17/26)
ROI
+13%
Спорт8 ставки
Попадания
50% (4/8)
ROI
-25%
Геополитика5 ставки
Попадания
80% (4/5)
ROI
+20%

История результатов

51% попаданий · 92/182

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	No	$3.0k	84.3¢	Победа
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?	No	$1.0k	89.6¢	Победа
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.4¢	Поражение
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$14	1.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$1.2k	85.4¢	Победа
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$18	2.2¢	Поражение
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	No	$235	76.6¢	Победа
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	Yes	$7	11.0¢	Поражение
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$160	6.2¢	Поражение
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	No	$28	81.0¢	Победа
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?	No	$60	2.3¢	Поражение
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$523	87.1¢	Победа
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	$60	30.0¢	Поражение
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	No	$440	79.4¢	Победа
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	$12	58.0¢	Поражение
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$90	27.7¢	Победа
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	$23	81.0¢	Победа
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	No	$62	62.0¢	Победа
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?	Yes	$11	57.3¢	Победа
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$14.4k	77.2¢	Победа
Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	$248	83.3¢	Победа
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?	No	$27	45.8¢	Поражение
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$22	74.1¢	Победа
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	$75	37.5¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$227	81.0¢	Победа
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	No	$5.3k	44.6¢	Победа
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	$261	84.0¢	Победа
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	$352	84.6¢	Победа
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?	Yes	$537	85.1¢	Победа
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	No	$430	86.0¢	Поражение
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?	Yes	$54	54.0¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	No	$464	56.2¢	Победа
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	Yes	$455	25.0¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	No	$3.8k	87.8¢	Победа
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	No	$645	72.0¢	Победа
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?	Yes	$84	89.0¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$3.1k	79.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$2.0k	86.0¢	Победа
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$118	67.9¢	Победа
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	$521	86.8¢	Победа
Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	$6	8.0¢	Поражение
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$268	89.2¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?	No	$35	88.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$220	77.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Yes	$1.2k	87.0¢	Победа
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	$148	22.6¢	Поражение
Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in February?	No	$68	82.7¢	Победа
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	No	$43	26.6¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	$19	33.7¢	Поражение

Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Победа
No$3.0k @ 84.3¢
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Победа
No$1.0k @ 89.6¢
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.4¢
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Поражение
Yes$14 @ 1.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Победа
No$1.2k @ 85.4¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?Поражение
Yes$18 @ 2.2¢
Will France strike Iran by March 31?Победа
No$235 @ 76.6¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 11.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$160 @ 6.2¢
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?Победа
No$28 @ 81.0¢
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Поражение
No$60 @ 2.3¢
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Победа
Yes$523 @ 87.1¢
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?Поражение
Yes$60 @ 30.0¢
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Победа
No$440 @ 79.4¢
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?Поражение
No$12 @ 58.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Победа
No$90 @ 27.7¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Победа
No$23 @ 81.0¢
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Победа
No$62 @ 62.0¢
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?Победа
Yes$11 @ 57.3¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Победа
No$14.4k @ 77.2¢
Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Победа
No$248 @ 83.3¢
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?Поражение
No$27 @ 45.8¢
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$22 @ 74.1¢
Will France win on 2026-07-14?Поражение
Yes$75 @ 37.5¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Победа
No$227 @ 81.0¢
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Победа
No$5.3k @ 44.6¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Победа
Yes$261 @ 84.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Победа
No$352 @ 84.6¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?Победа
Yes$537 @ 85.1¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Поражение
No$430 @ 86.0¢
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?Поражение
Yes$54 @ 54.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Победа
No$464 @ 56.2¢
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Поражение
Yes$455 @ 25.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 14?Победа
No$3.8k @ 87.8¢
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?Победа
No$645 @ 72.0¢
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?Победа
Yes$84 @ 89.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Поражение
No$3.1k @ 79.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$2.0k @ 86.0¢
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$118 @ 67.9¢
Iran leadership change by March 13?Победа
No$521 @ 86.8¢
Iran leadership change by March 13?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 8.0¢
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Победа
No$268 @ 89.2¢
Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?Победа
No$35 @ 88.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Победа
No$220 @ 77.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Победа
Yes$1.2k @ 87.0¢
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Поражение
Yes$148 @ 22.6¢
Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in February?Победа
No$68 @ 82.7¢
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Поражение
No$43 @ 26.6¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
No$19 @ 33.7¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Политика	No	$26.7k	93.1¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Политика	No	$22.5k	86.4¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Политика	No	$11.1k	90.4¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Геополитика	No	$5.0k	99.5¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Геополитика	No	$4.9k	88.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Геополитика	No	$4.0k	94.7¢
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$3.6k	91.0¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$2.9k	81.5¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?	Политика	No	$2.8k	99.1¢
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	Геополитика	No	$2.6k	87.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Политика	No	$2.5k	95.2¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Геополитика	No	$1.3k	85.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Политика	Yes	$1.2k	87.2¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Геополитика	No	$1.1k	80.9¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Геополитика	No	$1.0k	97.6¢
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	Политика	Yes	$940	97.7¢
Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$919	94.2¢
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Геополитика	No	$840	75.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Геополитика	No	$680	85.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Экономика	No	$655	65.0¢
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$641	82.1¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?	Политика	Yes	$562	93.6¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30?	Геополитика	No	$548	90.8¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$475	60.4¢
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$445	91.0¢
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Политика	No	$440	95.0¢
Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?	Политика	No	$422	95.0¢
Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$415	93.3¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Геополитика	No	$384	73.0¢
Iran coup attempt by December 31?	Политика	No	$249	83.0¢

Iran Nuke before 2027?Политика
No$26.7k @ 93.1¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Политика
No$22.5k @ 86.4¢
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Политика
No$11.1k @ 90.4¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Геополитика
No$5.0k @ 99.5¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Геополитика
No$4.9k @ 88.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Геополитика
No$4.0k @ 94.7¢
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$3.6k @ 91.0¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Геополитика
No$2.9k @ 81.5¢
Iran leadership change by September 30?Политика
No$2.8k @ 99.1¢
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Геополитика
No$2.6k @ 87.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Политика
No$2.5k @ 95.2¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Геополитика
No$1.3k @ 85.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?Политика
Yes$1.2k @ 87.2¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Геополитика
No$1.1k @ 80.9¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Геополитика
No$1.0k @ 97.6¢
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Политика
Yes$940 @ 97.7¢
Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?Геополитика
No$919 @ 94.2¢
Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Геополитика
No$840 @ 75.0¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Геополитика
No$680 @ 85.0¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Экономика
No$655 @ 65.0¢
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$641 @ 82.1¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?Политика
Yes$562 @ 93.6¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by September 30?Геополитика
No$548 @ 90.8¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Политика
Yes$475 @ 60.4¢
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026?Геополитика
No$445 @ 91.0¢
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Политика
No$440 @ 95.0¢
Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?Политика
No$422 @ 95.0¢
Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$415 @ 93.3¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Геополитика
No$384 @ 73.0¢
Iran coup attempt by December 31?Политика
No$249 @ 83.0¢