0x77aa…8d9c

Прибыльный

Эдж

+21.4pp

ROI

+78%

Доля побед

39% @ 17.9¢

Brier

0.249

Сделок

117

Ср. размер

$36

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	44% (11/25)	+224%	25
Политика	0% (0/7)	-100%	7
Крипто	67% (4/6)	+189%	6
Спорт	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Геополитика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other25 ставки
Попадания
44% (11/25)
ROI
+224%
Политика7 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/7)
ROI
-100%
Крипто6 ставки
Попадания
67% (4/6)
ROI
+189%
Спорт2 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Геополитика1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

37% попаданий · 15/41

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	$101	76.0¢	Победа
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?	Yes	$40	82.0¢	Победа
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	$18	1.8¢	Победа
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$7	1.8¢	Поражение
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?	Yes	$1	38.0¢	Поражение
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	$30	6.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	Yes	$10	25.0¢	Поражение
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	PARIVISION	$5	59.0¢	Поражение
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Поражение
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 4 FC Bayern München?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Поражение
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?	Yes	$50	86.0¢	Победа
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?	Yes	$10	77.0¢	Победа
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$5	10.0¢	Поражение
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$55	24.0¢	Победа
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	$55	9.2¢	Победа
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	$1	45.0¢	Победа
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	$1	19.0¢	Поражение
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	No	$20	60.0¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$10	40.6¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$24	7.3¢	Поражение
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?	Yes	$10	63.0¢	Победа
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$40	12.5¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?	No	$10	12.0¢	Поражение
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$52	9.8¢	Победа
Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	Yes	$24	0.8¢	Поражение
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	$3	5.3¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$145	16.3¢	Поражение
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$55	79.0¢	Победа
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	$62	62.0¢	Победа
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	13.9¢	Поражение
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?	No	$20	20.0¢	Поражение
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	$10	39.0¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?	Yes	$14	7.0¢	Поражение
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$42	42.0¢	Победа
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$50	2.4¢	Поражение
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$70	35.0¢	Поражение
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	$13	11.8¢	Победа
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?	Yes	$9	5.7¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	$149	16.0¢	Поражение
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	Yes	$510	19.0¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$25	0.5¢	Поражение

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?Победа
Yes$101 @ 76.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21?Победа
Yes$40 @ 82.0¢
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?Победа
Yes$18 @ 1.8¢
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 1.8¢
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 38.0¢
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 6.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 25.0¢
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageПоражение
PARIVISION$5 @ 59.0¢
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 4 FC Bayern München?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?Победа
Yes$50 @ 86.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?Победа
Yes$10 @ 77.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 10.0¢
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?Победа
No$55 @ 24.0¢
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Победа
Yes$55 @ 9.2¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?Победа
Yes$1 @ 45.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 19.0¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?Победа
No$20 @ 60.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 40.6¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Поражение
Yes$24 @ 7.3¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?Победа
Yes$10 @ 63.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 12.5¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Поражение
No$10 @ 12.0¢
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?Победа
No$52 @ 9.8¢
Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Поражение
Yes$24 @ 0.8¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 5.3¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$145 @ 16.3¢
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?Победа
Yes$55 @ 79.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?Победа
Yes$62 @ 62.0¢
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 13.9¢
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?Поражение
No$20 @ 20.0¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 39.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Поражение
Yes$14 @ 7.0¢
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?Победа
No$42 @ 42.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 2.4¢
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$70 @ 35.0¢
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?Победа
No$13 @ 11.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 5.7¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Поражение
No$149 @ 16.0¢
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Поражение
Yes$510 @ 19.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 0.5¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$300	12.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	Yes	$120	15.0¢
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?	Культура	Yes	$17	15.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$10	75.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$10	63.0¢

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Политика
Yes$300 @ 12.0¢
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
Yes$120 @ 15.0¢
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?Культура
Yes$17 @ 15.5¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$10 @ 75.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$10 @ 63.0¢