0x7762…a8de

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x7762e235e67974d9d84f7666c5388c30fc43a8de
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Профи

Эдж

+11.3pp

ROI

+34%

Доля побед

49% @ 37.3¢

Brier

0.200

Сделок

140

Ср. размер

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	58% (25/43)	+51%	43
Политика	20% (1/5)	-64%	5

Other43 ставки
Попадания
58% (25/43)
ROI
+51%
Политика5 ставки
Попадания
20% (1/5)
ROI
-64%

История результатов

54% попаданий · 26/48

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	No	$35	80.2¢	Победа
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$8	17.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?	No	$30	88.0¢	Победа
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	$32	7.2¢	Поражение
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	$30	18.6¢	Поражение
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	$41	85.9¢	Победа
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	No	$7	34.4¢	Победа
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	$10	51.0¢	Поражение
Trump removes income tax on individuals making <$150k?	No	$5	90.0¢	Победа
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	No	$90	18.1¢	Поражение
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?	No	$4	87.0¢	Победа
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?	Yes	$10	89.0¢	Победа
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?	No	$10	63.0¢	Поражение
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$25	46.3¢	Поражение
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?	No	$9	67.0¢	Поражение
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?	Yes	$55	21.1¢	Победа
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	$30	34.0¢	Поражение
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$23	9.0¢	Поражение
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?	Yes	$6	62.0¢	Поражение
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	$10	34.0¢	Поражение
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?	No	$14	25.6¢	Поражение
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	$17	20.0¢	Поражение
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?	No	$5	78.0¢	Победа
Starmer out in 2025?	No	$15	80.9¢	Победа
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?	No	$2	6.3¢	Поражение
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	$42	18.7¢	Поражение
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$29	16.0¢	Победа
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$30	86.7¢	Победа
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?	No	$13	85.0¢	Победа
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?	No	$10	58.0¢	Победа
Fetterman out in 2025?	No	$2	68.0¢	Победа
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	$38	62.0¢	Победа
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	$10	32.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?	No	$8	89.0¢	Победа
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by August 31?	No	$23	57.4¢	Победа
Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?	No	$5	65.0¢	Победа
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	$36	56.2¢	Поражение
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$9	17.5¢	Поражение
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	$10	69.0¢	Поражение
Will 50 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	$3	22.0¢	Поражение
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?	No	$5	86.0¢	Победа
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	No	$57	24.3¢	Победа
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?	Yes	$13	61.5¢	Поражение
Will the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot?	Yes	$1	1.0¢	Победа
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?	Yes	$12	80.0¢	Победа
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	$6	57.0¢	Победа
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	$19	74.8¢	Победа
Polish snap election called in 2025?	No	$6	71.0¢	Победа

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Победа
No$35 @ 80.2¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 17.0¢
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?Победа
No$30 @ 88.0¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Поражение
No$32 @ 7.2¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Поражение
No$30 @ 18.6¢
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?Победа
No$41 @ 85.9¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Победа
No$7 @ 34.4¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 51.0¢
Trump removes income tax on individuals making <$150k?Победа
No$5 @ 90.0¢
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Поражение
No$90 @ 18.1¢
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?Победа
No$4 @ 87.0¢
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Победа
Yes$10 @ 89.0¢
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Поражение
No$10 @ 63.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 46.3¢
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Поражение
No$9 @ 67.0¢
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Победа
Yes$55 @ 21.1¢
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 34.0¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Поражение
Yes$23 @ 9.0¢
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 62.0¢
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Поражение
No$10 @ 34.0¢
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Поражение
No$14 @ 25.6¢
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Поражение
Yes$17 @ 20.0¢
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?Победа
No$5 @ 78.0¢
Starmer out in 2025?Победа
No$15 @ 80.9¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Поражение
No$2 @ 6.3¢
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Поражение
No$42 @ 18.7¢
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Победа
Yes$29 @ 16.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Победа
Yes$30 @ 86.7¢
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Победа
No$13 @ 85.0¢
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Победа
No$10 @ 58.0¢
Fetterman out in 2025?Победа
No$2 @ 68.0¢
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Победа
No$38 @ 62.0¢
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 32.0¢
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Победа
No$8 @ 89.0¢
Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by August 31?Победа
No$23 @ 57.4¢
Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?Победа
No$5 @ 65.0¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$36 @ 56.2¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 17.5¢
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Поражение
No$10 @ 69.0¢
Will 50 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 22.0¢
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Победа
No$5 @ 86.0¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Победа
No$57 @ 24.3¢
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 61.5¢
Will the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot?Победа
Yes$1 @ 1.0¢
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?Победа
Yes$12 @ 80.0¢
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Победа
Yes$6 @ 57.0¢
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Победа
No$19 @ 74.8¢
Polish snap election called in 2025?Победа
No$6 @ 71.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
US recession by end of 2027?	Экономика	No	$132	66.0¢
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?	Политика	No	$63	70.3¢

US recession by end of 2027?Экономика
No$132 @ 66.0¢
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?Политика
No$63 @ 70.3¢