0x73e3…3239

Профи

Эдж

+22.7pp

ROI

+47%

Доля побед

66% @ 43.5¢

Brier

0.166

Сделок

Ср. размер

$552

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	55% (11/20)	+49%	20
Политика	75% (3/4)	+13%	4
Крипто	50% (1/2)	+36%	2
Экономика	100% (1/1)	+13%	1

Other20 ставки
Попадания
55% (11/20)
ROI
+49%
Политика4 ставки
Попадания
75% (3/4)
ROI
+13%
Крипто2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
+36%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+13%

История результатов

59% попаданий · 16/27

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	Yes	$508	18.2¢	Поражение
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	$74	11.9¢	Поражение
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	No	$1.8k	72.2¢	Победа
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$312	12.0¢	Поражение
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026	Yes	$15	2.2¢	Поражение
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	$144	0.7¢	Поражение
Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	$604	85.8¢	Победа
Map Handicap: m1x (-1.5) vs Dripmen (+1.5)	Dripmen	$29	0.8¢	Поражение
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	No	$123	10.2¢	Поражение
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	No	$28	3.3¢	Победа
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	$285	2.6¢	Поражение
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?	Yes	$6	0.1¢	Победа
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	$769	81.0¢	Победа
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	$1.8k	76.7¢	Победа
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	$286	88.5¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	$16	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	$174	99.5¢	Победа
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Победа
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?	No	$205	99.9¢	Победа
Will Spirit Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?	No	$3.8k	80.0¢	Победа
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?	No	$590	48.8¢	Победа
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?	No	$7.1k	99.9¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$24	99.0¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$11.8k	29.3¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$17.9k	70.9¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	99.0¢	Победа

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Поражение
Yes$508 @ 18.2¢
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Поражение
Yes$74 @ 11.9¢
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?Победа
No$1.8k @ 72.2¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Поражение
Yes$312 @ 12.0¢
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026Поражение
Yes$15 @ 2.2¢
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Поражение
Yes$144 @ 0.7¢
Will Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?Победа
Yes$604 @ 85.8¢
Map Handicap: m1x (-1.5) vs Dripmen (+1.5)Поражение
Dripmen$29 @ 0.8¢
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?Поражение
No$123 @ 10.2¢
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?Победа
No$28 @ 3.3¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Поражение
Yes$285 @ 2.6¢
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?Победа
Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?Победа
No$769 @ 81.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Победа
Yes$1.8k @ 76.7¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Победа
No$286 @ 88.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Поражение
Yes$16 @ 0.1¢
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Победа
Yes$174 @ 99.5¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?Победа
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 17?Победа
No$205 @ 99.9¢
Will Spirit Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?Победа
No$3.8k @ 80.0¢
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Победа
No$590 @ 48.8¢
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?Победа
No$7.1k @ 99.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$24 @ 99.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$11.8k @ 29.3¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$17.9k @ 70.9¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$1.2k @ 99.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Политика	Yes	$16.5k	94.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$1.7k	68.7¢
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Политика	No	$1	94.5¢

Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Политика
Yes$16.5k @ 94.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Политика
Yes$1.7k @ 68.7¢
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Политика
No$1 @ 94.5¢