← Умные деньги
0x72f7…4345
ПрофиЭдж
+11.1pp
ROI
+8%
Доля побед
73% @ 61.8¢
Brier
0.143
Сделок
277
Ср. размер
$45
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 63% (26/41) | -10% | 41 |
| Политика | 78% (14/18) | +37% | 18 |
| Геополитика | 71% (5/7) | -9% | 7 |
- Other41 ставки
- Попадания
- 63% (26/41)
- ROI
- -10%
- Политика18 ставки
- Попадания
- 78% (14/18)
- ROI
- +37%
- Геополитика7 ставки
- Попадания
- 71% (5/7)
- ROI
- -9%
История результатов
68% попаданий · 45/66- No$86 @ 52.2¢
- No$223 @ 70.2¢
- No$5 @ 34.7¢
- Yes$282 @ 15.2¢
- Yes$10 @ 60.0¢
- No$116 @ 74.1¢
- Yes$391 @ 62.2¢
- No$550 @ 75.3¢
- No$550 @ 86.5¢
- No$62 @ 86.0¢
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?ПоражениеYes$47 @ 28.9¢
- No$550 @ 80.7¢
- Yes$173 @ 54.5¢
- No$514 @ 76.5¢
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?ПоражениеYes$10 @ 35.0¢
- No$296 @ 85.9¢
- No$15 @ 66.0¢
- US strikes Iraq by February 28?ПоражениеNo$11 @ 51.3¢
- No$319 @ 88.6¢
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?ПоражениеNo$169 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$432 @ 64.0¢
- No$103 @ 25.0¢
- Yes$263 @ 68.3¢
- No$20 @ 43.0¢
- Yes$864 @ 48.6¢
- No$32 @ 69.9¢
- No$32 @ 45.0¢
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?ПоражениеNo$550 @ 37.2¢
- No$72 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$267 @ 56.8¢
- No$97 @ 85.1¢
- No$27 @ 79.0¢
- No$133 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$150 @ 28.3¢
- No$46 @ 65.0¢
- No$88 @ 79.0¢
- No$64 @ 43.2¢
- No$17 @ 61.5¢
- Yes$173 @ 66.5¢
- No$550 @ 76.9¢
- No$58 @ 82.0¢
- No$553 @ 82.4¢
- No$13 @ 79.8¢
- No$550 @ 61.3¢
- Yes$1 @ 54.0¢
- No$1 @ 24.0¢
- No$177 @ 69.0¢
- Yes$3 @ 41.0¢
- No$52 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$237 @ 42.3¢
Недавние сделки
в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировкиЗагрузка недавних сделок…
Текущие позиции
| Рынок | Сфера | Исход | Размер | Вход |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Политика | No | $551 | 77.8¢ |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Политика | No | $467 | 61.5¢ |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | Геополитика | No | $390 | 85.1¢ |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | — | Yes | $283 | 61.1¢ |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | Геополитика | No | $239 | 79.5¢ |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Геополитика | Yes | $173 | 30.0¢ |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Политика | Yes | $75 | 53.3¢ |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | Политика | No | $69 | 87.0¢ |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Политика | Yes | $60 | 59.0¢ |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | — | Yes | $21 | 32.2¢ |
| Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026? | — | No | $12 | 86.0¢ |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | — | Yes | $9 | 18.0¢ |
- No$551 @ 77.8¢
- No$467 @ 61.5¢
- No$390 @ 85.1¢
- Yes$283 @ 61.1¢
- No$239 @ 79.5¢
- Yes$173 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$75 @ 53.3¢
- No$69 @ 87.0¢
- Yes$60 @ 59.0¢
- Yes$21 @ 32.2¢
- No$12 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$9 @ 18.0¢