← Умные деньги
0x71dd…d61c
ПрофиЭдж
+5.2pp
ROI
+31%
Доля побед
43% @ 38.1¢
Brier
0.171
Сделок
856
Ср. размер
$278
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 40% (170/426) | +31% | 426 |
| Политика | 67% (4/6) | +26% | 6 |
| Экономика | 83% (5/6) | +74% | 6 |
| Спорт | 50% (1/2) | -88% | 2 |
| Геополитика | 100% (2/2) | +24% | 2 |
- Other426 ставки
- Попадания
- 40% (170/426)
- ROI
- +31%
- Политика6 ставки
- Попадания
- 67% (4/6)
- ROI
- +26%
- Экономика6 ставки
- Попадания
- 83% (5/6)
- ROI
- +74%
- Спорт2 ставки
- Попадания
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -88%
- Геополитика2 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +24%
История результатов
41% попаданий · 182/442- No$500 @ 86.5¢
- Lisa Cook arrested by September 30?ПоражениеYes$1 @ 2.8¢
- No$550 @ 37.8¢
- Yes$20 @ 16.5¢
- Yes$3.7k @ 44.6¢
- Yes$400 @ 31.1¢
- Yes$775 @ 51.3¢
- Yes$101 @ 67.0¢
- No$155 @ 53.6¢
- No$450 @ 83.3¢
- 10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?ПоражениеYes$6 @ 6.0¢
- No$351 @ 68.5¢
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?ПоражениеYes$100 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$25 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 9.2¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 81.4¢
- No$47 @ 30.0¢
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?ПоражениеYes$30 @ 37.2¢
- Yes$750 @ 36.9¢
- Yes$46 @ 48.5¢
- Yes$25 @ 15.9¢
- Yes$29 @ 14.5¢
- Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?ПоражениеNo$500 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$132 @ 27.9¢
- Yes$5 @ 9.9¢
- Yes$8 @ 40.0¢
- No$3 @ 11.0¢
- Yes$220 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$28.5k @ 29.6¢
- Yes$16 @ 39.0¢
- No$350 @ 35.0¢
- Yes$43 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$36 @ 38.8¢
- Yes$25 @ 44.5¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 62.7¢
- No$608 @ 85.6¢
- Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?ПоражениеYes$6 @ 12.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 29.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 15.2¢
- No$191 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$20 @ 60.0¢
- No$3.9k @ 89.8¢
- Yes$10 @ 60.7¢
- Yes$14 @ 1.3¢
- Yes$25 @ 17.2¢
- Yes$5 @ 19.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
- House control after 2024 election?ПоражениеDemocratic$57 @ 50.0¢
- Yes$15 @ 6.9¢
- Yes$10 @ 10.1¢
Недавние сделки
в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировкиЗагрузка недавних сделок…
Текущие позиции
| Рынок | Сфера | Исход | Размер | Вход |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Экономика | Yes | $4.0k | 84.8¢ |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Экономика | Yes | $3.7k | 92.0¢ |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Экономика | Yes | $1.6k | 27.0¢ |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Политика | Yes | $1.1k | 85.0¢ |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? | Экономика | Yes | $1.0k | 52.0¢ |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Экономика | Yes | $200 | 15.0¢ |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Экономика | Yes | $73 | 66.0¢ |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | Политика | Yes | $37 | 50.2¢ |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | Экономика | No | $28 | 90.0¢ |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Политика | Yes | $6 | 6.7¢ |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Политика | Yes | $3 | 0.9¢ |
- Yes$4.0k @ 84.8¢
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?ЭкономикаYes$3.7k @ 92.0¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 27.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 85.0¢
- Yes$1.0k @ 52.0¢
- Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?ЭкономикаYes$200 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$73 @ 66.0¢
- Yes$37 @ 50.2¢
- No$28 @ 90.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 6.7¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.9¢