← Умные деньги
0x7131…29cc
ПрофиЭдж
+13.2pp
ROI
+14%
Доля побед
88% @ 74.4¢
Brier
0.034
Сделок
97
Ср. размер
$405
Динамика ROI
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 78% (7/9) | +18% | 9 |
| Политика | 25% (1/4) | -44% | 4 |
| Крипто | 100% (1/1) | +1% | 1 |
- Other9 ставки
- Попадания
- 78% (7/9)
- ROI
- +18%
- Политика4 ставки
- Попадания
- 25% (1/4)
- ROI
- -44%
- Крипто1 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +1%
История результатов
64% попаданий · 9/14| Рынок | Исход | Размер | Вход | Итог |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | $450 | 1.8¢ | Поражение |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | Yes | $2.3k | 87.6¢ | Победа |
| Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $19.5k | 80.0¢ | Победа |
| Epstein client list released by June 30? | Yes | $19 | 53.9¢ | Поражение |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | Yes | $1.3k | 44.9¢ | Поражение |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | No | $15.7k | 87.3¢ | Победа |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | No | $44.1k | 87.5¢ | Победа |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | $1.6k | 75.5¢ | Победа |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | No | $1.7k | 95.2¢ | Победа |
| AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? | No | $195 | 89.0¢ | Поражение |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | Yes | $1.8k | 41.9¢ | Победа |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $31 | 12.4¢ | Поражение |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $16.1k | 89.5¢ | Победа |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $97.3k | 99.3¢ | Победа |
- Yes$450 @ 1.8¢
- Yes$2.3k @ 87.6¢
- Yes$19.5k @ 80.0¢
- Yes$19 @ 53.9¢
- Iran closes its airspace by May 27?ПоражениеYes$1.3k @ 44.9¢
- No$15.7k @ 87.3¢
- No$44.1k @ 87.5¢
- Yes$1.6k @ 75.5¢
- No$1.7k @ 95.2¢
- No$195 @ 89.0¢
- Yes$1.8k @ 41.9¢
- Yes$31 @ 12.4¢
- Yes$16.1k @ 89.5¢
- No$97.3k @ 99.3¢
Недавние сделки
в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировкиЗагрузка недавних сделок…
Текущие позиции
| Рынок | Сфера | Исход | Размер | Вход |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | — | No | $16.3k | 90.7¢ |
| Does Ox Alpha belong to Google? | — | No | $13.4k | 99.4¢ |
| Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)? | — | Yes | $6.9k | 95.8¢ |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Экономика | Yes | $6.1k | 68.1¢ |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Политика | No | $4.7k | 96.5¢ |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary? | — | Yes | $2.1k | 45.7¢ |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Технологии | Yes | $1.0k | 83.9¢ |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Политика | No | $785 | 74.0¢ |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? | — | Yes | $669 | 70.5¢ |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | — | Yes | $526 | 69.0¢ |
- No$16.3k @ 90.7¢
- No$13.4k @ 99.4¢
- Yes$6.9k @ 95.8¢
- Fed rate hike in 2026?ЭкономикаYes$6.1k @ 68.1¢
- No$4.7k @ 96.5¢
- Yes$2.1k @ 45.7¢
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?ТехнологииYes$1.0k @ 83.9¢
- No$785 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$669 @ 70.5¢
- Yes$526 @ 69.0¢