0x6fa1…1f74

Профи

Эдж

+6.9pp

ROI

+31%

Доля побед

24% @ 17.0¢

Brier

0.087

Сделок

1112

Ср. размер

$64

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	20% (15/76)	+23%	76
Политика	25% (2/8)	-15%	8
Крипто	63% (5/8)	+45%	8
Технологии	43% (3/7)	+25%	7
Наука	14% (1/7)	-71%	7
Геополитика	40% (2/5)	+142%	5
Спорт	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other76 ставки
Попадания
20% (15/76)
ROI
+23%
Политика8 ставки
Попадания
25% (2/8)
ROI
-15%
Крипто8 ставки
Попадания
63% (5/8)
ROI
+45%
Технологии7 ставки
Попадания
43% (3/7)
ROI
+25%
Наука7 ставки
Попадания
14% (1/7)
ROI
-71%
Геополитика5 ставки
Попадания
40% (2/5)
ROI
+142%
Спорт1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

25% попаданий · 28/112

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?	No	$18	59.0¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?	No	$34	69.0¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	$8	16.0¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 10?	No	$34	67.0¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	$1	12.0¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10?	No	$38	64.0¢	Победа
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	$76	30.2¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 29-October 5?	Yes	$30	6.0¢	Поражение
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	Yes	$6	29.0¢	Поражение
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?	No	$13	21.3¢	Поражение
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	$388	77.5¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	Yes	$66	44.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	$95	19.0¢	Поражение
Astra removed from public access by September 30?	Yes	$21	2.1¢	Поражение
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	$969	34.7¢	Поражение
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	$33	13.0¢	Поражение
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?	No	$3.3k	73.5¢	Победа
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?	Yes	$13	88.3¢	Поражение
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	No	$707	43.1¢	Победа
Will the government shutdown end November 12?	Yes	$322	28.6¢	Поражение
Will the government shutdown end November 19?	Yes	$20	0.1¢	Поражение
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	$14	7.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?	No	$41	0.9¢	Поражение
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	$25	48.8¢	Победа
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	$25	49.8¢	Поражение
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$230	35.4¢	Поражение
Will the government shutdown end November 20?	Yes	$10	0.1¢	Поражение
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	No	$48	4.8¢	Поражение
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?	Yes	$25	3.5¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	$169	20.8¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 11?	Yes	$3	1.0¢	Поражение
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Mili Poljicak	$24	48.3¢	Победа
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	$33	67.0¢	Поражение
Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	$88	11.0¢	Победа
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?	No	$196	10.0¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?	Yes	$70	69.0¢	Победа
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	No	$234	3.9¢	Поражение
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?	No	$4.0k	14.3¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$381	21.5¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$51	50.0¢	Поражение
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	$386	18.1¢	Победа
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	No	$23	15.0¢	Поражение
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	No	$5.6k	63.1¢	Победа
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?	Yes	$2.1k	3.0¢	Поражение
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$241	69.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	Yes	$189	37.9¢	Победа
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$426	71.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?	Yes	$57	3.8¢	Поражение
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on July 11?	Yes	$0	0.4¢	Поражение
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	No	$139	9.2¢	Поражение

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?Поражение
No$18 @ 59.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?Поражение
No$34 @ 69.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 10?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 16.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on October 10?Поражение
No$34 @ 67.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 10?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 12.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 10?Победа
No$38 @ 64.0¢
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Поражение
Yes$76 @ 30.2¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 29-October 5?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 6.0¢
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 29.0¢
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Поражение
No$13 @ 21.3¢
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Победа
No$388 @ 77.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Поражение
Yes$66 @ 44.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Поражение
Yes$95 @ 19.0¢
Astra removed from public access by September 30?Поражение
Yes$21 @ 2.1¢
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Поражение
Yes$969 @ 34.7¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Поражение
Yes$33 @ 13.0¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Победа
No$3.3k @ 73.5¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 88.3¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Победа
No$707 @ 43.1¢
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Поражение
Yes$322 @ 28.6¢
Will the government shutdown end November 19?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 0.1¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Поражение
No$14 @ 7.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Поражение
No$41 @ 0.9¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Победа
No$25 @ 48.8¢
Will England win on 2026-07-11?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 49.8¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Поражение
Yes$230 @ 35.4¢
Will the government shutdown end November 20?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 0.1¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Поражение
No$48 @ 4.8¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 3.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Поражение
Yes$169 @ 20.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 11?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 1.0¢
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz BasilashviliПобеда
Mili Poljicak$24 @ 48.3¢
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz BasilashviliПоражение
Nikoloz Basilashvili$33 @ 67.0¢
Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Победа
Yes$88 @ 11.0¢
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Поражение
No$196 @ 10.0¢
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 9-15?Победа
Yes$70 @ 69.0¢
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Поражение
No$234 @ 3.9¢
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? Поражение
No$4.0k @ 14.3¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$381 @ 21.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$51 @ 50.0¢
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?Победа
No$386 @ 18.1¢
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Поражение
No$23 @ 15.0¢
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Победа
No$5.6k @ 63.1¢
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Поражение
Yes$2.1k @ 3.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Победа
No$241 @ 69.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Победа
Yes$189 @ 37.9¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Победа
Yes$426 @ 71.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Поражение
Yes$57 @ 3.8¢
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on July 11?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.4¢
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Поражение
No$139 @ 9.2¢

Недавние сделки

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Загрузка недавних сделок…

Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$894	63.8¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Технологии	Yes	$435	87.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Политика	Yes	$246	13.7¢
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Культура	Yes	$217	43.4¢
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Культура	Yes	$201	35.7¢
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Крипто	No	$193	26.6¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$146	8.1¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Технологии	Yes	$114	38.0¢
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?	Политика	Yes	$92	23.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$90	4.5¢
Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?	Политика	Yes	$84	24.0¢
Will Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” sell for at least $700k at auction?	Культура	No	$83	99.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Геополитика	Yes	$83	27.5¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Геополитика	Yes	$38	19.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$28	11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 10?	Наука	Yes	$16	32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 10?	Наука	Yes	$10	30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 10?	Наука	Yes	$7	14.0¢
Astra removed from public access by October 31?	Технологии	Yes	$1	5.0¢

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Технологии
Yes$894 @ 63.8¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Технологии
Yes$435 @ 87.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Политика
Yes$246 @ 13.7¢
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Культура
Yes$217 @ 43.4¢
Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Культура
Yes$201 @ 35.7¢
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Крипто
No$193 @ 26.6¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Политика
Yes$146 @ 8.1¢
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Технологии
Yes$114 @ 38.0¢
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?Политика
Yes$92 @ 23.0¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$90 @ 4.5¢
Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?Политика
Yes$84 @ 24.0¢
Will Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” sell for at least $700k at auction?Культура
No$83 @ 99.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Геополитика
Yes$83 @ 27.5¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Геополитика
Yes$38 @ 19.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$28 @ 11.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 10?Наука
Yes$16 @ 32.0¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 10?Наука
Yes$10 @ 30.0¢
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 10?Наука
Yes$7 @ 14.0¢
Astra removed from public access by October 31?Технологии
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢