0x6f6b…1ab6

Прибыльный

Эдж

-15.7pp

ROI

+26%

Доля побед

36% @ 52.0¢

Brier

0.220

Сделок

Ср. размер

$415

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	50% (3/6)	+15%	6
Политика	40% (2/5)	-47%	5
Крипто	50% (2/4)	+266%	4
Спорт	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Геополитика	50% (1/2)	-89%	2
Технологии	100% (1/1)	+50%	1

Other6 ставки
Попадания
50% (3/6)
ROI
+15%
Политика5 ставки
Попадания
40% (2/5)
ROI
-47%
Крипто4 ставки
Попадания
50% (2/4)
ROI
+266%
Спорт3 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Геополитика2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
-89%
Технологии1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+50%

История результатов

43% попаданий · 9/21

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	$185	18.5¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$390	78.0¢	Победа
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	No	$440	88.0¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	Yes	$15	2.9¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	$977	87.0¢	Победа
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$208	78.7¢	Победа
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	$46	46.0¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.7k	18.5¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$330	66.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$95	19.0¢	Поражение
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	$1.7k	66.8¢	Победа
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?	No	$440	88.0¢	Победа
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	$4.3k	86.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	$88	88.0¢	Победа
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$350	69.9¢	Поражение
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	$16.2k	84.0¢	Победа
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$330	33.0¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	Yes	$580	58.0¢	Поражение
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	$599	59.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?	Yes	$20	0.2¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	$6.6k	87.6¢	Победа

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Поражение
Yes$185 @ 18.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$390 @ 78.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Поражение
No$440 @ 88.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 2.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Победа
No$977 @ 87.0¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Победа
No$208 @ 78.7¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Поражение
Yes$46 @ 46.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$2.7k @ 18.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$330 @ 66.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Поражение
Yes$95 @ 19.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Победа
Yes$1.7k @ 66.8¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Победа
No$440 @ 88.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Поражение
No$4.3k @ 86.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Победа
No$88 @ 88.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Поражение
No$350 @ 69.9¢
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?Победа
No$16.2k @ 84.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$330 @ 33.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?Поражение
Yes$580 @ 58.0¢
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Поражение
Yes$599 @ 59.9¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 0.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Победа
No$6.6k @ 87.6¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$6.4k	96.5¢
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$4.0k	83.4¢
Will $ANSEM reach $1.5 before 2027?	Крипто	No	$950	94.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	No	$700	70.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Геополитика	No	$465	93.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Наука	No	$460	91.9¢
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Политика	No	$430	86.0¢
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$295	85.0¢
Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$258	92.3¢
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Крипто	Yes	$153	91.9¢
Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027?	Крипто	No	$83	97.1¢
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?	Крипто	Yes	$51	78.4¢

Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$6.4k @ 96.5¢
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$4.0k @ 83.4¢
Will $ANSEM reach $1.5 before 2027?Крипто
No$950 @ 94.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
No$700 @ 70.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Геополитика
No$465 @ 93.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Наука
No$460 @ 91.9¢
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Политика
No$430 @ 86.0¢
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$295 @ 85.0¢
Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$258 @ 92.3¢
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?Крипто
Yes$153 @ 91.9¢
Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027?Крипто
No$83 @ 97.1¢
Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?Крипто
Yes$51 @ 78.4¢