0x6e6b…9390

Профи

Эдж

+13.3pp

ROI

+29%

Доля побед

48% @ 34.9¢

Brier

0.134

Сделок

703

Ср. размер

$96

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	37% (29/78)	+29%	78
Технологии	17% (1/6)	-45%	6
Политика	60% (3/5)	+27%	5
Геополитика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Крипто	100% (1/1)	+26%	1

Other78 ставки
Попадания
37% (29/78)
ROI
+29%
Технологии6 ставки
Попадания
17% (1/6)
ROI
-45%
Политика5 ставки
Попадания
60% (3/5)
ROI
+27%
Геополитика1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Крипто1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+26%

История результатов

37% попаданий · 34/91

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	No	$94	31.4¢	Поражение
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	No	$499	20.0¢	Поражение
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?	Down	$100	50.0¢	Поражение
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 17?	Down	$177	29.6¢	Поражение
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	$123	2.4¢	Поражение
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?	Up	$257	19.8¢	Поражение
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	$44	11.0¢	Поражение
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	No	$82	41.0¢	Победа
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	Yes	$266	16.6¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	$41	41.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	$80	80.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	$249	83.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "China" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?	Yes	$81	81.0¢	Победа
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?	Yes	$300	60.0¢	Победа
Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	$10	25.5¢	Поражение
Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	$38	34.8¢	Победа
US-EU trade deal before June?	Yes	$46	9.2¢	Поражение
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	No	$60	12.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	No	$26	26.0¢	Победа
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$628	27.9¢	Поражение
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?	No	$380	19.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$200	66.8¢	Поражение
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?	No	$40	2.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?	Yes	$11.5k	68.6¢	Победа
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	$45	9.0¢	Поражение
US-China trade deal in 2025?	Yes	$231	84.1¢	Победа
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?	Yes	$102	51.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	$40	8.0¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?	Yes	$1.2k	45.7¢	Поражение
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	Yes	$206	7.1¢	Поражение
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$24	47.0¢	Победа
Celtics vs. Knicks	Knicks	$3	3.0¢	Поражение
Solana above $200 on November 15?	Yes	$75	59.0¢	Победа
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	No	$55	11.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$198	66.0¢	Поражение
Will Stephen Curry Return This Series?	No	$21	31.0¢	Победа
Will Stephen Curry Return This Series?	Yes	$97	74.3¢	Поражение
Warriors vs. Rockets	Rockets	$9	8.5¢	Поражение
Warriors vs. Rockets	Warriors	$39	55.9¢	Победа
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?	Yes	$44	8.8¢	Победа
Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	$151	4.0¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	Yes	$1.2k	32.9¢	Поражение
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	$249	11.2¢	Поражение
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	$46	3.7¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$548	54.8¢	Победа
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$53	35.7¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	$225	45.0¢	Поражение
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?	No	$794	79.4¢	Победа
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?	Yes	$257	85.5¢	Победа
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	$85	8.6¢	Поражение

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Поражение
No$94 @ 31.4¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Поражение
No$499 @ 20.0¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?Поражение
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 17?Поражение
Down$177 @ 29.6¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?Поражение
Down$123 @ 2.4¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?Поражение
Up$257 @ 19.8¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Поражение
Yes$44 @ 11.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Победа
No$82 @ 41.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Поражение
Yes$266 @ 16.6¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Поражение
Yes$41 @ 41.0¢
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Поражение
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Победа
Yes$249 @ 83.0¢
Will Trump say "China" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?Победа
Yes$81 @ 81.0¢
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?Победа
Yes$300 @ 60.0¢
Warriors vs. TimberwolvesПоражение
Timberwolves$10 @ 25.5¢
Warriors vs. TimberwolvesПобеда
Warriors$38 @ 34.8¢
US-EU trade deal before June?Поражение
Yes$46 @ 9.2¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Поражение
No$60 @ 12.0¢
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?Победа
No$26 @ 26.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$628 @ 27.9¢
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Поражение
No$380 @ 19.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Поражение
No$200 @ 66.8¢
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?Поражение
No$40 @ 2.0¢
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by May 31?Победа
Yes$11.5k @ 68.6¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Поражение
Yes$45 @ 9.0¢
US-China trade deal in 2025?Победа
Yes$231 @ 84.1¢
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?Поражение
Yes$102 @ 51.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 8.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Поражение
Yes$1.2k @ 45.7¢
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Поражение
Yes$206 @ 7.1¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Победа
Yes$24 @ 47.0¢
Celtics vs. KnicksПоражение
Knicks$3 @ 3.0¢
Solana above $200 on November 15?Победа
Yes$75 @ 59.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Поражение
No$55 @ 11.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Поражение
No$198 @ 66.0¢
Will Stephen Curry Return This Series?Победа
No$21 @ 31.0¢
Will Stephen Curry Return This Series?Поражение
Yes$97 @ 74.3¢
Warriors vs. RocketsПоражение
Rockets$9 @ 8.5¢
Warriors vs. RocketsПобеда
Warriors$39 @ 55.9¢
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?Победа
Yes$44 @ 8.8¢
Warriors vs. TimberwolvesПоражение
Warriors$151 @ 4.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Поражение
Yes$1.2k @ 32.9¢
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Поражение
Yes$249 @ 11.2¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Поражение
No$46 @ 3.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$548 @ 54.8¢
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Поражение
Yes$53 @ 35.7¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Поражение
Yes$225 @ 45.0¢
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Победа
No$794 @ 79.4¢
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?Победа
Yes$257 @ 85.5¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Поражение
Yes$85 @ 8.6¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?	—	Yes	$845	19.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?	—	Yes	$716	13.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	—	Yes	$659	31.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?	—	Yes	$659	32.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$627	27.9¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	Технологии	No	$499	20.0¢
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$486	69.4¢
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	—	Yes	$310	13.2¢
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$305	61.0¢
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?	—	Yes	$267	2.3¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?	—	Up	$257	19.8¢
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	—	Yes	$206	7.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$200	66.8¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	No	$184	91.8¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 17?	—	Down	$177	29.6¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	—	Down	$123	2.4¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$105	35.0¢
US recession in 2025?	—	Yes	$105	35.0¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?	—	Down	$100	50.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	Технологии	No	$94	31.4¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	No	$92	91.6¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Технологии	No	$90	7.2¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	—	Yes	$85	8.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	—	No	$60	12.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	—	No	$55	11.0¢
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?	—	Yes	$53	35.7¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	Технологии	No	$46	3.7¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	—	Yes	$44	11.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?	—	Yes	$43	12.3¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?	—	Yes	$42	21.0¢

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?—
Yes$845 @ 19.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?—
Yes$716 @ 13.0¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?—
Yes$659 @ 31.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?—
Yes$659 @ 32.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?—
Yes$627 @ 27.9¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?Технологии
No$499 @ 20.0¢
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$486 @ 69.4¢
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?—
Yes$310 @ 13.2¢
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$305 @ 61.0¢
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?—
Yes$267 @ 2.3¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1?—
Up$257 @ 19.8¢
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?—
Yes$206 @ 7.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Политика
No$200 @ 66.8¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
No$184 @ 91.8¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 17?—
Down$177 @ 29.6¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?—
Down$123 @ 2.4¢
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$105 @ 35.0¢
US recession in 2025?—
Yes$105 @ 35.0¢
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 10?—
Down$100 @ 50.0¢
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?Технологии
No$94 @ 31.4¢
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
No$92 @ 91.6¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Технологии
No$90 @ 7.2¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?—
Yes$85 @ 8.5¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?—
No$60 @ 12.0¢
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?—
No$55 @ 11.0¢
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?—
Yes$53 @ 35.7¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Технологии
No$46 @ 3.7¢
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?—
Yes$44 @ 11.0¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?—
Yes$43 @ 12.3¢
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?—
Yes$42 @ 21.0¢