0x6b48…9c41

Профи

Эдж

+19.1pp

ROI

+32%

Доля побед

81% @ 61.7¢

Brier

0.169

Сделок

Ср. размер

$43

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	74% (23/31)	+35%	31
Политика	90% (9/10)	-1%	10
Спорт	50% (1/2)	-32%	2
Технологии	100% (1/1)	+4%	1

Other31 ставки
Попадания
74% (23/31)
ROI
+35%
Политика10 ставки
Попадания
90% (9/10)
ROI
-1%
Спорт2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
-32%
Технологии1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+4%

История результатов

77% попаданий · 34/44

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$6	20.0¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1?	Yes	$40	80.0¢	Победа
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$13	54.0¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	$86	21.5¢	Победа
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	$20	68.0¢	Победа
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$204	87.0¢	Победа
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	No	$3	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?	No	$41	69.0¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 10?	Yes	$7	22.0¢	Поражение
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	$32	86.1¢	Победа
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$20	89.0¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$132	66.0¢	Победа
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?	Yes	$24	80.0¢	Победа
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	$198	79.0¢	Победа
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?	Yes	$40	79.0¢	Победа
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$10	21.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$12	29.5¢	Победа
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	Yes	$42	83.0¢	Победа
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	No	$80	62.2¢	Победа
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	Yes	$2	20.0¢	Поражение
Bucks vs. Thunder	Thunder	$25	82.0¢	Поражение
Will Meta (META) close above $670 on January 27?	Yes	$217	87.6¢	Победа
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 3?	No	$26	88.0¢	Победа
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	$140	70.0¢	Победа
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	Yes	$41	69.0¢	Победа
Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	$163	86.0¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	Yes	$20	63.5¢	Победа
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	No	$30	59.0¢	Победа
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	Yes	$172	86.0¢	Поражение
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?	Yes	$80	80.0¢	Победа
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?	No	$48	55.2¢	Победа
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	$170	68.0¢	Победа
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$13	76.0¢	Поражение
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	Yes	$32	32.0¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?	Yes	$32	82.0¢	Победа
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	$108	98.0¢	Победа
Will Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?	No	$48	98.6¢	Поражение
Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	$39	98.6¢	Победа
Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	$8	97.7¢	Победа
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	No	$38	96.0¢	Победа
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	$43	98.0¢	Победа
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	No	$60	97.3¢	Победа
Will ZZS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	No	$89	98.6¢	Победа
Will AS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	No	$59	99.4¢	Победа

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 20.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1?Победа
Yes$40 @ 80.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Победа
No$13 @ 54.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Победа
Yes$86 @ 21.5¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsПобеда
Seahawks$20 @ 68.0¢
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Победа
No$204 @ 87.0¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Поражение
No$3 @ 0.1¢
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?Поражение
No$41 @ 69.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 10?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 22.0¢
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?Победа
Yes$32 @ 86.1¢
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Победа
Yes$20 @ 89.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$132 @ 66.0¢
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?Победа
Yes$24 @ 80.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Победа
No$198 @ 79.0¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?Победа
Yes$40 @ 79.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Поражение
No$10 @ 21.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Победа
Yes$12 @ 29.5¢
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Победа
Yes$42 @ 83.0¢
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?Победа
No$80 @ 62.2¢
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Bucks vs. ThunderПоражение
Thunder$25 @ 82.0¢
Will Meta (META) close above $670 on January 27?Победа
Yes$217 @ 87.6¢
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 3?Победа
No$26 @ 88.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Победа
Yes$140 @ 70.0¢
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Победа
Yes$41 @ 69.0¢
Netanyahu out by June 30?Победа
No$163 @ 86.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Победа
Yes$20 @ 63.5¢
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Победа
No$30 @ 59.0¢
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$172 @ 86.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Победа
Yes$80 @ 80.0¢
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?Победа
No$48 @ 55.2¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Победа
Yes$170 @ 68.0¢
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 76.0¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Победа
Yes$32 @ 32.0¢
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?Победа
Yes$32 @ 82.0¢
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Победа
Yes$108 @ 98.0¢
Will Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Поражение
No$48 @ 98.6¢
Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Победа
No$39 @ 98.6¢
Will the International Space Station win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Победа
No$8 @ 97.7¢
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?Победа
No$38 @ 96.0¢
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Победа
No$43 @ 98.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Победа
No$60 @ 97.3¢
Will ZZS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Победа
No$89 @ 98.6¢
Will AS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Победа
No$59 @ 99.4¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	Политика	No	$110	98.2¢
Will Karin Podivinská be the next Mayor of Brno?	Политика	No	$30	98.9¢

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Политика
No$110 @ 98.2¢
Will Karin Podivinská be the next Mayor of Brno?Политика
No$30 @ 98.9¢