0x63c6…3e53

Прибыльный

Эдж

+12.1pp

ROI

+13%

Доля побед

65% @ 53.2¢

Brier

0.311

Сделок

170

Ср. размер

$66

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	60% (12/20)	+5%	20
Other	36% (4/11)	-16%	11
Геополитика	100% (4/4)	+27%	4
Спорт	67% (2/3)	+105%	3
Культура	100% (1/1)	+14%	1
Крипто	100% (1/1)	+342%	1

Политика20 ставки
Попадания
60% (12/20)
ROI
+5%
Other11 ставки
Попадания
36% (4/11)
ROI
-16%
Геополитика4 ставки
Попадания
100% (4/4)
ROI
+27%
Спорт3 ставки
Попадания
67% (2/3)
ROI
+105%
Культура1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+14%
Крипто1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+342%

История результатов

60% попаданий · 24/40

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	$5	88.0¢	Поражение
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	No	$31	55.5¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$28	88.0¢	Победа
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$330	85.0¢	Победа
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$608	88.0¢	Победа
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	$15	88.0¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$502	58.5¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?	No	$48	83.1¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	$104	82.0¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$361	83.0¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$31	22.6¢	Победа
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	$750	60.0¢	Победа
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	$10	88.0¢	Победа
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$39	25.0¢	Поражение
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?	No	$863	83.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$16	14.7¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$99	51.6¢	Победа
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	Yes	$30	38.2¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$1.0k	43.3¢	Поражение
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	$113	10.3¢	Победа
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	$12	61.0¢	Победа
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	No	$619	79.6¢	Поражение
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	Yes	$510	22.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$288	52.2¢	Победа
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	$7	19.9¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$66	63.1¢	Победа
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$569	86.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	$306	32.9¢	Поражение
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	$31	11.5¢	Победа
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$593	52.4¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$17	28.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$16	0.3¢	Поражение
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$8	27.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$52	45.0¢	Поражение
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	$197	55.6¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.7k	65.9¢	Победа
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?	Yes	$674	68.5¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?	Yes	$65	59.0¢	Победа
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	$412	87.6¢	Победа
Clavicular in jail by September 30?	No	$17	97.4¢	Победа

Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 88.0¢
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Победа
No$31 @ 55.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$28 @ 88.0¢
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$330 @ 85.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Победа
No$608 @ 88.0¢
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Победа
No$15 @ 88.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Победа
No$502 @ 58.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Поражение
No$48 @ 83.1¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Поражение
No$104 @ 82.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Победа
No$361 @ 83.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$31 @ 22.6¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Победа
Yes$750 @ 60.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Победа
No$10 @ 88.0¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Поражение
Yes$39 @ 25.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Поражение
No$863 @ 83.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$16 @ 14.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$99 @ 51.6¢
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 38.2¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Поражение
No$1.0k @ 43.3¢
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Победа
No$113 @ 10.3¢
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Победа
Yes$12 @ 61.0¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Поражение
No$619 @ 79.6¢
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Победа
Yes$510 @ 22.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$288 @ 52.2¢
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 19.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Победа
No$66 @ 63.1¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Победа
No$569 @ 86.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Поражение
No$306 @ 32.9¢
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Победа
Yes$31 @ 11.5¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Поражение
Yes$593 @ 52.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$17 @ 28.0¢
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Поражение
Yes$16 @ 0.3¢
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$8 @ 27.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$52 @ 45.0¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Победа
No$197 @ 55.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Победа
Yes$1.7k @ 65.9¢
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Поражение
Yes$674 @ 68.5¢
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Победа
Yes$65 @ 59.0¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Победа
No$412 @ 87.6¢
Clavicular in jail by September 30?Победа
No$17 @ 97.4¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Other	No	$2.3k	88.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Политика	No	$1.8k	44.6¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Политика	No	$863	82.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	No	$791	79.1¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Политика	No	$599	85.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Политика	No	$576	67.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$467	85.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$370	95.5¢
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$202	94.6¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$201	90.9¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Политика	No	$195	84.4¢
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$143	95.3¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	Геополитика	No	$140	42.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$80	97.2¢
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	Политика	No	$57	95.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$36	36.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Политика	No	$29	68.6¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Политика	Yes	$16	41.0¢
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	Культура	No	$15	87.7¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Политика	No	$8	78.0¢

Will GameStop acquire eBay?Other
No$2.3k @ 88.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Политика
No$1.8k @ 44.6¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Политика
No$863 @ 82.9¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
No$791 @ 79.1¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Политика
No$599 @ 85.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Политика
No$576 @ 67.0¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Политика
Yes$467 @ 85.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Политика
Yes$370 @ 95.5¢
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$202 @ 94.6¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Геополитика
No$201 @ 90.9¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Политика
No$195 @ 84.4¢
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$143 @ 95.3¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Геополитика
No$140 @ 42.9¢
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Политика
Yes$80 @ 97.2¢
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Политика
No$57 @ 95.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$36 @ 36.0¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Политика
No$29 @ 68.6¢
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Политика
Yes$16 @ 41.0¢
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Культура
No$15 @ 87.7¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Политика
No$8 @ 78.0¢