0x5e73…6697

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

• Политика48 ставки

  Попадания

  44% (21/48)

  ROI

  +28%

• Other41 ставки

  Попадания

  59% (24/41)

  ROI

  +26%

• Геополитика5 ставки

  Попадания

  20% (1/5)

  ROI

  -53%

• Технологии2 ставки

  Попадания

  0% (0/2)

  ROI

  -100%

• Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Поражение
  Yes$11 @ 5.4¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Победа
  No$5.0k @ 79.0¢
• WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?Победа
  No$195 @ 75.0¢
• WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?Поражение
  Yes$874 @ 21.6¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Поражение
  Yes$21 @ 3.9¢
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?Поражение
  Yes$29 @ 0.1¢
• Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Победа
  No$374 @ 74.0¢
• Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?Поражение
  Yes$13 @ 1.8¢
• Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Поражение
  Yes$93 @ 46.6¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Победа
  No$171 @ 85.4¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Поражение
  Yes$156 @ 26.0¢
• Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Победа
  No$160 @ 76.5¢
• Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Победа
  Yes$904 @ 86.6¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Победа
  No$526 @ 82.0¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$1.6k @ 19.4¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Победа
  No$179 @ 63.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$727 @ 51.1¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?Поражение
  No$193 @ 3.1¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Поражение
  No$1.2k @ 55.0¢
• US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Победа
  Yes$18.4k @ 43.5¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Поражение
  No$280 @ 70.1¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Победа
  Yes$3.0k @ 28.9¢
• Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?Поражение
  No$5 @ 9.0¢
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Поражение
  No$14.9k @ 60.7¢
• Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Победа
  Yes$7.3k @ 41.1¢
• Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Победа
  Yes$269 @ 76.7¢
• SpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility?Победа
  No$21 @ 21.0¢
• Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Победа
  Yes$112 @ 56.0¢
• Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?Победа
  No$5 @ 62.0¢
• US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Победа
  No$677 @ 84.7¢
• Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Поражение
  Yes$177 @ 15.9¢
• Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Победа
  No$1.1k @ 89.3¢
• Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Поражение
  Yes$1.3k @ 84.3¢
• S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 6?Поражение
  No$13 @ 5.0¢
• Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$62 @ 5.2¢
• Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Победа
  Yes$271 @ 82.2¢
• US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Победа
  No$84 @ 84.0¢
• US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Поражение
  Yes$21 @ 7.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Поражение
  Yes$254 @ 17.0¢
• FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?Поражение
  No$1.1k @ 36.3¢
• FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?Победа
  Yes$736 @ 80.6¢
• Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Победа
  Yes$258 @ 75.0¢
• Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Поражение
  Yes$530 @ 57.0¢
• Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$26 @ 0.9¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Поражение
  Yes$105 @ 15.0¢
• Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Поражение
  Yes$2.3k @ 54.3¢
• Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Победа
  Yes$82 @ 82.0¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$411 @ 10.4¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Победа
  No$337 @ 84.2¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$80 @ 14.9¢

Текущие позиции

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Политика
  Yes$19.3k @ 59.6¢
• Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Политика
  Yes$8.9k @ 61.0¢
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?—
  Yes$3.2k @ 50.4¢
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Политика
  Yes$2.2k @ 38.0¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?—
  Yes$1.8k @ 78.9¢
• Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Технологии
  No$1.5k @ 61.6¢
• Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?—
  Yes$1.4k @ 36.9¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Политика
  No$900 @ 75.0¢
• Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Политика
  Yes$772 @ 54.8¢
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Политика
  Yes$742 @ 29.0¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Политика
  Yes$603 @ 52.3¢
• NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Политика
  Yes$578 @ 21.6¢
• Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?—
  Yes$522 @ 87.0¢
• No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?—
  Yes$494 @ 86.0¢
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Политика
  Yes$484 @ 22.0¢
• US congress stock trading ban before 2027?Политика
  Yes$462 @ 24.0¢
• Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Политика
  Yes$443 @ 19.5¢
• U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?Политика
  Yes$422 @ 24.5¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?—
  Yes$416 @ 64.0¢
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Геополитика
  Yes$338 @ 39.8¢
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Политика
  Yes$331 @ 66.2¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?—
  No$319 @ 90.9¢
• U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Политика
  Yes$291 @ 28.5¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?—
  No$289 @ 96.5¢
• Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?—
  No$286 @ 69.2¢
• Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?Политика
  No$261 @ 89.6¢
• Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Политика
  Yes$248 @ 49.6¢
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?—
  Yes$241 @ 48.0¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?—
  No$229 @ 15.0¢
• Government shutdown by October 1?—
  No$224 @ 80.1¢