0x5e55…8ffd

Профи

Эдж

-8.9pp

ROI

+12%

Доля побед

12% @ 21.0¢

Brier

0.071

Сделок

290

Ср. размер

$732

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	13% (7/56)	-44%	56
Спорт	42% (16/38)	-96%	38
Политика	25% (3/12)	+139%	12
Геополитика	20% (1/5)	-91%	5
Крипто	25% (1/4)	-15%	4
Технологии	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other56 ставки
Попадания
13% (7/56)
ROI
-44%
Спорт38 ставки
Попадания
42% (16/38)
ROI
-96%
Политика12 ставки
Попадания
25% (3/12)
ROI
+139%
Геополитика5 ставки
Попадания
20% (1/5)
ROI
-91%
Крипто4 ставки
Попадания
25% (1/4)
ROI
-15%
Технологии1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

24% попаданий · 28/116

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Spread: Broncos (-2.5)	Broncos	$8.7k	51.0¢	Победа
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$6	31.5¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$60	30.0¢	Поражение
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	No	$35	34.0¢	Поражение
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	$8.1k	81.8¢	Победа
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5	Under	$60	58.0¢	Победа
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$22.0k	19.4¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?	Yes	$45	3.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$8.5k	17.0¢	Поражение
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	$19	1.7¢	Поражение
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	$176	88.2¢	Победа
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	$18	9.0¢	Поражение
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$95	19.0¢	Победа
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	$8	87.0¢	Победа
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?	Yes	$6	7.0¢	Поражение
Will Tessa Thompson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$5	0.5¢	Поражение
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	No	$345	69.0¢	Поражение
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?	Yes	$82	7.0¢	Поражение
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?	Yes	$72	19.0¢	Победа
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5	Over	$47	45.0¢	Победа
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	Yes	$40	0.5¢	Поражение
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)	Argentina	$45	43.0¢	Победа
Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 39.5	Under	$8.3k	49.0¢	Поражение
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?	Yes	$56	14.5¢	Поражение
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?	Yes	$176	88.0¢	Победа
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$383	3.7¢	Поражение
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	No	$31	30.0¢	Поражение
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	$997	81.0¢	Победа
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score	Yes	$47	46.0¢	Победа
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?	No	$9	88.0¢	Победа
Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	$36	17.5¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$8.8k	68.0¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$6.4k	32.0¢	Поражение
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?	Yes	$85	8.0¢	Поражение
France leading at halftime?	No	$53	52.0¢	Победа
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	$1.4k	69.0¢	Поражение
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$269	10.0¢	Поражение
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$15	1.0¢	Поражение
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$1.5k	12.0¢	Поражение
Iran full airspace closure by July 21?	Yes	$30	6.0¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	$9.2k	33.0¢	Поражение
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$1.7k	8.0¢	Поражение
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?	Yes	$42	1.9¢	Поражение
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?	Yes	$13	3.2¢	Поражение
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	$332	9.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	Yes	$66	33.0¢	Поражение
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	$7.3k	66.0¢	Поражение
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score	No	$54	53.0¢	Поражение
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score	No	$61	60.0¢	Победа
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$636	5.3¢	Поражение

Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Победа
Broncos$8.7k @ 51.0¢
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Победа
Yes$6 @ 31.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$60 @ 30.0¢
Will France win on 2026-06-16?Поражение
No$35 @ 34.0¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Победа
Yes$8.1k @ 81.8¢
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5Победа
Under$60 @ 58.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$22.0k @ 19.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?Поражение
Yes$45 @ 3.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$8.5k @ 17.0¢
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?Поражение
Yes$19 @ 1.7¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Победа
No$176 @ 88.2¢
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Поражение
Yes$18 @ 9.0¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Победа
Yes$95 @ 19.0¢
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Победа
Yes$8 @ 87.0¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 7.0¢
Will Tessa Thompson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Поражение
No$345 @ 69.0¢
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?Поражение
Yes$82 @ 7.0¢
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?Победа
Yes$72 @ 19.0¢
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5Победа
Over$47 @ 45.0¢
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 0.5¢
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Победа
Argentina$45 @ 43.0¢
Eagles vs. Titans: O/U 39.5Поражение
Under$8.3k @ 49.0¢
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?Поражение
Yes$56 @ 14.5¢
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on July 31?Победа
Yes$176 @ 88.0¢
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?Поражение
Yes$383 @ 3.7¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Поражение
No$31 @ 30.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Победа
Yes$997 @ 81.0¢
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreПобеда
Yes$47 @ 46.0¢
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Победа
No$9 @ 88.0¢
Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?Поражение
Yes$36 @ 17.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$8.8k @ 68.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$6.4k @ 32.0¢
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?Поражение
Yes$85 @ 8.0¢
France leading at halftime?Победа
No$53 @ 52.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Поражение
No$1.4k @ 69.0¢
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Поражение
Yes$269 @ 10.0¢
Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 1.0¢
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?Поражение
Yes$1.5k @ 12.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 21?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 6.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Поражение
Yes$9.2k @ 33.0¢
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Поражение
Yes$1.7k @ 8.0¢
Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?Поражение
Yes$42 @ 1.9¢
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 3.2¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Поражение
Yes$332 @ 9.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Поражение
Yes$66 @ 33.0¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?Поражение
Yes$7.3k @ 66.0¢
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreПоражение
No$54 @ 53.0¢
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreПобеда
No$61 @ 60.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$636 @ 5.3¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Технологии	No	$174.8k	93.0¢

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Технологии
No$174.8k @ 93.0¢