0x5d4e…7a5f

Прибыльный

Эдж

-19.4pp

ROI

+5%

Доля побед

23% @ 42.7¢

Brier

0.170

Сделок

116

Ср. размер

$63

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	50% (19/38)	+59%	38
Политика	0% (0/9)	-100%	9
Спорт	20% (1/5)	-75%	5
Геополитика	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Other38 ставки
Попадания
50% (19/38)
ROI
+59%
Политика9 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/9)
ROI
-100%
Спорт5 ставки
Попадания
20% (1/5)
ROI
-75%
Геополитика3 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

36% попаданий · 20/55

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$363	24.2¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$51	51.3¢	Поражение
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$102	60.0¢	Поражение
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	$101	61.0¢	Победа
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$405	16.8¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$700	14.6¢	Поражение
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	$103	46.8¢	Победа
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$300	67.8¢	Поражение
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$100	56.8¢	Победа
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$217	43.4¢	Поражение
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	$130	17.2¢	Поражение
Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?	Yes	$100	88.0¢	Победа
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Yes	$78	77.4¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$60	38.0¢	Победа
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	$100	60.4¢	Победа
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	$100	29.0¢	Поражение
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	$100	35.5¢	Поражение
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$21	1.4¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?	Yes	$60	19.0¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$101	15.0¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$700	61.6¢	Победа
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$100	79.8¢	Победа
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?	Yes	$50	55.8¢	Поражение
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	$100	7.0¢	Поражение
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	$101	80.1¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$60	53.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	$100	60.0¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	Yes	$60	33.0¢	Поражение
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	$100	2.8¢	Победа
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$100	13.0¢	Поражение
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$23	23.0¢	Поражение
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$205	35.1¢	Поражение
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$100	83.0¢	Поражение
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$47	47.0¢	Поражение
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$100	34.4¢	Поражение
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	$10	7.0¢	Поражение
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?	Yes	$100	56.0¢	Поражение
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	$102	23.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	$100	53.6¢	Победа
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	$100	82.9¢	Победа
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	$10	4.6¢	Поражение
Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	$249	21.5¢	Поражение
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	No	$60	85.0¢	Поражение
Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	$300	21.9¢	Поражение
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$100	86.0¢	Поражение
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	Yes	$150	12.7¢	Поражение
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	$101	62.0¢	Победа
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	$60	52.0¢	Поражение
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?	Yes	$100	83.7¢	Победа
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$100	63.0¢	Победа

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$363 @ 24.2¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поражение
Yes$51 @ 51.3¢
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Поражение
Yes$102 @ 60.0¢
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Победа
Yes$101 @ 61.0¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Поражение
Yes$405 @ 16.8¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$700 @ 14.6¢
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Победа
Yes$103 @ 46.8¢
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$300 @ 67.8¢
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$100 @ 56.8¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$217 @ 43.4¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Поражение
Yes$130 @ 17.2¢
Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?Победа
Yes$100 @ 88.0¢
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?Победа
Yes$78 @ 77.4¢
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$60 @ 38.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Победа
Yes$100 @ 60.4¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 29.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 35.5¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Поражение
Yes$21 @ 1.4¢
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Поражение
Yes$60 @ 19.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$101 @ 15.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Победа
Yes$700 @ 61.6¢
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?Победа
Yes$100 @ 79.8¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 55.8¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 7.0¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
No$101 @ 80.1¢
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$60 @ 53.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Победа
Yes$100 @ 60.0¢
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Поражение
Yes$60 @ 33.0¢
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Победа
Yes$100 @ 2.8¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 13.0¢
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$23 @ 23.0¢
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$205 @ 35.1¢
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 83.0¢
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$47 @ 47.0¢
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 34.4¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 7.0¢
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 56.0¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Победа
Yes$102 @ 23.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Победа
Yes$100 @ 53.6¢
Will Trump visit China by June 30?Победа
Yes$100 @ 82.9¢
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 4.6¢
Iran leadership change by June 30?Поражение
Yes$249 @ 21.5¢
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Поражение
No$60 @ 85.0¢
Iran leadership change by April 30?Поражение
Yes$300 @ 21.9¢
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 86.0¢
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?Поражение
Yes$150 @ 12.7¢
Will France win on 2026-07-09?Победа
Yes$101 @ 62.0¢
Will the US strike Iran next?Поражение
Yes$60 @ 52.0¢
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?Победа
Yes$100 @ 83.7¢
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?Победа
Yes$100 @ 63.0¢

Недавние сделки

в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировки

Загрузка недавних сделок…

Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$307	32.5¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$241	43.5¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Политика	No	$218	27.8¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Геополитика	Yes	$124	16.4¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Политика	Yes	$115	30.1¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$113	6.2¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$103	43.0¢
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$101	16.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$100	7.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Геополитика	No	$10	32.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Геополитика	No	$10	19.0¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Политика	Yes	$10	7.0¢
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	Политика	Yes	$5	5.5¢
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Политика	Yes	$5	2.4¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
Yes$307 @ 32.5¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Политика
Yes$241 @ 43.5¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Политика
No$218 @ 27.8¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Геополитика
Yes$124 @ 16.4¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Политика
Yes$115 @ 30.1¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Политика
Yes$113 @ 6.2¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$103 @ 43.0¢
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$101 @ 16.0¢
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Политика
Yes$100 @ 7.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Геополитика
No$10 @ 32.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Геополитика
No$10 @ 19.0¢
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Политика
Yes$10 @ 7.0¢
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Политика
Yes$5 @ 5.5¢
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Политика
Yes$5 @ 2.4¢