0x51b2…10ce

Профи

Эдж

+11.8pp

ROI

+250%

Доля побед

23% @ 10.7¢

Brier

0.182

Сделок

240

Ср. размер

$44

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	30% (12/40)	+448%	40
Политика	10% (3/31)	-83%	31
Геополитика	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Спорт	0% (0/4)	-100%	4

Other40 ставки
Попадания
30% (12/40)
ROI
+448%
Политика31 ставки
Попадания
10% (3/31)
ROI
-83%
Геополитика5 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Спорт4 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/4)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

19% попаданий · 15/80

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	Yes	$50	7.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?	Yes	$20	3.0¢	Поражение
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	$20	4.4¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$10	16.0¢	Победа
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?	Yes	$9	3.0¢	Поражение
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$50	12.0¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	Yes	$10	3.0¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$30	18.0¢	Поражение
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?	Yes	$5	4.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$44	19.3¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$50	33.4¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$120	9.3¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	Yes	$10	44.0¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$150	18.0¢	Поражение
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$20	31.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$60	2.6¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$195	21.8¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	$200	14.9¢	Поражение
Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	$20	0.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$700	13.9¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Поражение
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?	Yes	$521	12.1¢	Поражение
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$10	2.1¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$30	4.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$5	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	$300	55.2¢	Победа
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$200	15.9¢	Победа
Warriors vs. Clippers	Warriors	$20	34.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	$57	3.8¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	Yes	$560	14.9¢	Поражение
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$46	1.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	No	$20	16.5¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$360	15.8¢	Поражение
Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$20	1.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?	No	$50	22.4¢	Победа
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	$70	3.2¢	Поражение
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$10	2.8¢	Поражение
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	Yes	$20	4.7¢	Победа
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	No	$20	7.3¢	Поражение
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?	Yes	$1.6k	7.7¢	Победа
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	$20	8.0¢	Поражение
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	$190	4.3¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	$10	52.0¢	Победа
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$370	19.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	Yes	$53	8.8¢	Поражение
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	$10	0.6¢	Поражение
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	$10	7.0¢	Поражение
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?	Yes	$10	8.3¢	Поражение
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$687	6.4¢	Поражение

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 7.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 3.0¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 4.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Победа
No$10 @ 16.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 3.0¢
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 12.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 3.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 18.0¢
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 4.9¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Победа
No$44 @ 19.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 33.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$120 @ 9.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 44.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Поражение
Yes$150 @ 18.0¢
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 31.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Поражение
Yes$60 @ 2.6¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$195 @ 21.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Поражение
Yes$200 @ 14.9¢
Trump out as President by May 31?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 0.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Победа
Yes$700 @ 13.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?Поражение
Yes$521 @ 12.1¢
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 2.1¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 4.0¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Поражение
No$5 @ 0.1¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Победа
Yes$300 @ 55.2¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Победа
Yes$200 @ 15.9¢
Warriors vs. ClippersПобеда
Warriors$20 @ 34.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Поражение
Yes$57 @ 3.8¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Поражение
Yes$560 @ 14.9¢
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$46 @ 1.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Победа
No$20 @ 16.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Поражение
Yes$360 @ 15.8¢
Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 1.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Победа
No$50 @ 22.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Поражение
Yes$70 @ 3.2¢
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 2.8¢
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?Победа
Yes$20 @ 4.7¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Поражение
No$20 @ 7.3¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Победа
Yes$1.6k @ 7.7¢
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 8.0¢
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?Поражение
Yes$190 @ 4.3¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Победа
No$10 @ 52.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$370 @ 19.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Поражение
Yes$53 @ 8.8¢
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 0.6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 7.0¢
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 8.3¢
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$687 @ 6.4¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?	—	No	$60	7.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?	—	No	$50	12.0¢
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Спорт	Yes	$20	2.4¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?—
No$60 @ 7.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?—
No$50 @ 12.0¢
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Спорт
Yes$20 @ 2.4¢