0x5139…9402

Профи

Эдж

+2.8pp

ROI

+45%

Доля побед

12% @ 9.0¢

Brier

0.114

Сделок

577

Ср. размер

$43

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	11% (6/53)	-32%	53
Other	5% (1/20)	+893%	20
Геополитика	0% (0/11)	-100%	11
Спорт	20% (2/10)	+26%	10
Экономика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Политика53 ставки
Попадания
11% (6/53)
ROI
-32%
Other20 ставки
Попадания
5% (1/20)
ROI
+893%
Геополитика11 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/11)
ROI
-100%
Спорт10 ставки
Попадания
20% (2/10)
ROI
+26%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

9% попаданий · 9/95

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	Yes	$40	0.2¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	$65	6.5¢	Поражение
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	$8	3.4¢	Поражение
Spurs vs. Knicks	Knicks	$23	38.0¢	Поражение
Will Brian Harman win the 2026 U.S. Open?	Yes	$2	1.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	11.5¢	Поражение
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Поражение
Next BLS jobs report by Oct 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET?	Yes	$173	7.9¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$160	8.0¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$902	10.8¢	Поражение
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$21	20.0¢	Поражение
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	$5	4.7¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$375	8.8¢	Поражение
Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?	Yes	$3	0.4¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$3	0.3¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	Yes	$426	4.5¢	Поражение
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	$15	0.7¢	Поражение
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	$1	0.9¢	Поражение
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	$58	2.4¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$246	9.0¢	Победа
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?	Yes	$400	20.0¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$571	2.8¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$92	5.4¢	Поражение
Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$851	6.4¢	Поражение
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	$115	20.5¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$1.6k	6.0¢	Победа
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$41	1.3¢	Поражение
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?	Yes	$3	3.4¢	Поражение
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$85	1.9¢	Поражение
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$362	3.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026?	Yes	$60	6.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$650	25.0¢	Победа
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	Yes	$535	42.0¢	Победа
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?	No	$82	41.0¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$138	2.1¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$353	42.0¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$133	5.0¢	Поражение
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 15?	Yes	$2	0.4¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$1.2k	35.5¢	Поражение
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	$111	14.5¢	Поражение
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?	Yes	$21	13.8¢	Поражение
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	$19	1.2¢	Поражение
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	Yes	$4	4.2¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$626	64.6¢	Поражение
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$112	1.7¢	Поражение
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	$218	8.0¢	Поражение
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance	Ghana	$11	5.5¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$192	59.0¢	Поражение

Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 0.2¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Поражение
Yes$65 @ 6.5¢
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 3.4¢
Spurs vs. KnicksПоражение
Knicks$23 @ 38.0¢
Will Brian Harman win the 2026 U.S. Open?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 1.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.2k @ 11.5¢
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Next BLS jobs report by Oct 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET?Поражение
Yes$173 @ 7.9¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Поражение
Yes$160 @ 8.0¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
Yes$902 @ 10.8¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$21 @ 20.0¢
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 4.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
Yes$375 @ 8.8¢
Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Поражение
Yes$426 @ 4.5¢
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 0.7¢
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Поражение
No$1 @ 0.9¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Поражение
Yes$58 @ 2.4¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Победа
Yes$246 @ 9.0¢
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?Поражение
Yes$400 @ 20.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$571 @ 2.8¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Поражение
Yes$92 @ 5.4¢
Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Поражение
Yes$851 @ 6.4¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Поражение
No$115 @ 20.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Победа
Yes$1.6k @ 6.0¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$41 @ 1.3¢
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 3.4¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$85 @ 1.9¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$362 @ 3.8¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026?Поражение
Yes$60 @ 6.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$650 @ 25.0¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Победа
Yes$535 @ 42.0¢
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Поражение
No$82 @ 41.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?Поражение
Yes$138 @ 2.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$353 @ 42.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$133 @ 5.0¢
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 15?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.4¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.2k @ 35.5¢
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Поражение
No$111 @ 14.5¢
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?Поражение
Yes$21 @ 13.8¢
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?Поражение
Yes$19 @ 1.2¢
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 4.2¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$626 @ 64.6¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$112 @ 1.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$218 @ 8.0¢
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to AdvanceПоражение
Ghana$11 @ 5.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$192 @ 59.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Политика	Yes	$544	5.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$390	13.0¢
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Политика	No	$90	30.0¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Политика
Yes$544 @ 5.8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Политика
Yes$390 @ 13.0¢
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Политика
No$90 @ 30.0¢