0x5109…5e9c

Профи

Эдж

+23.5pp

ROI

+80%

Доля побед

48% @ 24.8¢

Brier

0.192

Сделок

766

Ср. размер

$162

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	24% (4/17)	+167%	17
Технологии	29% (2/7)	-81%	7
Геополитика	50% (1/2)	+10%	2
Спорт	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Крипто	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Политика17 ставки
Попадания
24% (4/17)
ROI
+167%
Технологии7 ставки
Попадания
29% (2/7)
ROI
-81%
Геополитика2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
+10%
Спорт1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Крипто1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

25% попаданий · 7/28

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$403	16.1¢	Поражение
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	No	$56	0.9¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$218	4.3¢	Поражение
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	$2	1.8¢	Поражение
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$544	61.8¢	Победа
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$375	75.0¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$5.6k	0.5¢	Поражение
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$15	0.7¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$1.4k	14.9¢	Поражение
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	No	$1.3k	62.1¢	Поражение
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?	Yes	$2.7k	29.2¢	Победа
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$257	0.1¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?	Yes	$29	6.8¢	Поражение
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$499	3.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$57.5k	33.5¢	Победа
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	$17.6k	28.4¢	Поражение
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	$12.2k	87.4¢	Победа
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.0k	9.4¢	Поражение
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	$628	40.0¢	Победа
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$10.3k	48.2¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Yes	$30	5.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.6¢	Поражение
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	$6.8k	13.0¢	Поражение
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	$3.4k	84.0¢	Победа
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	$116	7.1¢	Поражение
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	$647	27.5¢	Поражение
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?	No	$200	1.0¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	$27	1.8¢	Поражение

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поражение
Yes$403 @ 16.1¢
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Поражение
No$56 @ 0.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
Yes$218 @ 4.3¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 1.8¢
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Победа
No$544 @ 61.8¢
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Поражение
Yes$375 @ 75.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$5.6k @ 0.5¢
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 0.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Поражение
Yes$1.4k @ 14.9¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Поражение
No$1.3k @ 62.1¢
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Победа
Yes$2.7k @ 29.2¢
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$257 @ 0.1¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?Поражение
Yes$29 @ 6.8¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$499 @ 3.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$57.5k @ 33.5¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Поражение
No$17.6k @ 28.4¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Победа
No$12.2k @ 87.4¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.0k @ 9.4¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Победа
No$628 @ 40.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Победа
Yes$10.3k @ 48.2¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 5.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.6¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Поражение
No$6.8k @ 13.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Победа
Yes$3.4k @ 84.0¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Поражение
No$116 @ 7.1¢
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Поражение
Yes$647 @ 27.5¢
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?Поражение
No$200 @ 1.0¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Поражение
Yes$27 @ 1.8¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Геополитика	Yes	$6.2k	11.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Политика	No	$2.7k	57.7¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Политика	Yes	$2.0k	46.7¢
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	Политика	No	$1.5k	70.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Политика	Yes	$1.4k	14.9¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.2k	15.8¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.0k	9.4¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Политика	No	$897	57.2¢
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?	—	Yes	$770	9.3¢
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?	Политика	No	$690	87.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Геополитика	Yes	$684	12.9¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Геополитика	Yes	$499	3.8¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Политика	No	$494	47.1¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$433	2.4¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Политика	Yes	$420	14.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Политика	No	$418	74.6¢
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$392	0.8¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Экономика	Yes	$390	21.1¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Технологии	No	$318	31.5¢
Epstein client list released by June 30?	Политика	Yes	$313	50.6¢
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Политика	No	$273	49.8¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Политика	Yes	$235	4.0¢
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Политика	Yes	$204	26.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$189	5.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Политика	Yes	$177	4.3¢
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Экономика	No	$144	97.1¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Политика	Yes	$140	70.0¢
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Экономика	Yes	$134	8.5¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Экономика	Yes	$134	8.5¢
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Экономика	Yes	$134	8.5¢

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Геополитика
Yes$6.2k @ 11.0¢
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Политика
No$2.7k @ 57.7¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Политика
Yes$2.0k @ 46.7¢
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Политика
No$1.5k @ 70.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Политика
Yes$1.4k @ 14.9¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$1.2k @ 15.8¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Политика
Yes$1.0k @ 9.4¢
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Политика
No$897 @ 57.2¢
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?—
Yes$770 @ 9.3¢
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?Политика
No$690 @ 87.0¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Геополитика
Yes$684 @ 12.9¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Геополитика
Yes$499 @ 3.8¢
Iran leadership change by December 31?Политика
No$494 @ 47.1¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$433 @ 2.4¢
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Политика
Yes$420 @ 14.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Политика
No$418 @ 74.6¢
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$392 @ 0.8¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Экономика
Yes$390 @ 21.1¢
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Технологии
No$318 @ 31.5¢
Epstein client list released by June 30?Политика
Yes$313 @ 50.6¢
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Политика
No$273 @ 49.8¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Политика
Yes$235 @ 4.0¢
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Политика
Yes$204 @ 26.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$189 @ 5.7¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Политика
Yes$177 @ 4.3¢
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Экономика
No$144 @ 97.1¢
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Политика
Yes$140 @ 70.0¢
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Экономика
Yes$134 @ 8.5¢
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Экономика
Yes$134 @ 8.5¢
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Экономика
Yes$134 @ 8.5¢