0x4c4e…297b

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

• Технологии67 ставки

  Попадания

  45% (30/67)

  ROI

  -6%

• Other47 ставки

  Попадания

  60% (28/47)

  ROI

  -2%

• Геополитика18 ставки

  Попадания

  39% (7/18)

  ROI

  +102%

• Политика5 ставки

  Попадания

  40% (2/5)

  ROI

  -25%

• Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$7 @ 24.4¢
• Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$7 @ 28.9¢
• Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Поражение
  Yes$21 @ 26.6¢
• Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Победа
  No$400 @ 72.1¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?Поражение
  No$41 @ 34.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Победа
  Yes$112 @ 50.6¢
• Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Поражение
  No$512 @ 88.4¢
• Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Победа
  Yes$51 @ 60.0¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Поражение
  Yes$1.2k @ 11.7¢
• Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?Победа
  Yes$124 @ 72.8¢
• Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$86 @ 32.1¢
• Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Победа
  No$99 @ 65.0¢
• Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Победа
  Yes$71 @ 70.0¢
• Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Поражение
  Yes$140 @ 27.5¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Победа
  Yes$257 @ 43.7¢
• Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Победа
  No$1.7k @ 68.8¢
• Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Победа
  No$292 @ 72.6¢
• Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?Победа
  Yes$76 @ 50.0¢
• Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Победа
  Yes$496 @ 82.4¢
• Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?Поражение
  Yes$324 @ 50.3¢
• Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Победа
  No$1.9k @ 27.9¢
• Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on April 10, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Поражение
  Yes$2.1k @ 12.8¢
• Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?Победа
  No$149 @ 89.5¢
• Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Победа
  No$165 @ 76.5¢
• Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Поражение
  Yes$8 @ 4.0¢
• GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Победа
  No$515 @ 88.0¢
• Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Победа
  Yes$2.2k @ 74.2¢
• Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Поражение
  Yes$5 @ 25.0¢
• Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Победа
  Yes$462 @ 18.0¢
• Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Победа
  No$670 @ 75.2¢
• Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Победа
  No$738 @ 85.0¢
• Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Поражение
  Yes$192 @ 24.1¢
• Will any other model be the best AI model on September 28, 2026?Поражение
  No$3 @ 21.0¢
• Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Победа
  Yes$127 @ 80.8¢
• Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Победа
  No$40 @ 88.0¢
• Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?Поражение
  Yes$0 @ 2.7¢
• Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?Поражение
  Yes$280 @ 63.5¢
• Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Поражение
  Yes$23 @ 6.5¢
• Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?Победа
  Yes$722 @ 76.1¢
• Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Поражение
  No$11 @ 35.0¢
• Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Победа
  Yes$166 @ 27.2¢
• Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Поражение
  Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
• Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Победа
  No$433 @ 36.1¢
• Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Победа
  Yes$49 @ 37.0¢
• Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Победа
  Yes$162 @ 39.8¢
• Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Поражение
  Yes$81 @ 8.1¢
• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Победа
  Yes$1.3k @ 89.8¢
• Will any AI model reach 1520 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Победа
  Yes$193 @ 70.9¢
• Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Победа
  Yes$1.2k @ 84.0¢

Текущие позиции

• Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Технологии
  No$2.8k @ 60.5¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Технологии
  Yes$2.6k @ 21.2¢
• Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?Политика
  Yes$1.0k @ 49.6¢
• Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Технологии
  Yes$959 @ 41.6¢
• Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Технологии
  No$719 @ 54.8¢
• Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Технологии
  No$438 @ 64.4¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?Политика
  No$322 @ 64.3¢
• Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Политика
  No$293 @ 58.6¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Технологии
  Yes$283 @ 61.4¢
• Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Технологии
  No$279 @ 77.2¢
• Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Технологии
  No$234 @ 62.5¢
• Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Технологии
  No$228 @ 57.1¢
• Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Технологии
  No$170 @ 68.2¢
• Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Технологии
  Yes$142 @ 47.3¢
• Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?Политика
  Yes$137 @ 61.0¢
• Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Технологии
  Yes$136 @ 55.4¢
• Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Технологии
  Yes$73 @ 34.0¢
• Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Политика
  Yes$72 @ 21.0¢
• Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?Технологии
  No$68 @ 14.8¢
• Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Технологии
  Yes$52 @ 13.2¢
• Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Политика
  Yes$45 @ 33.3¢
• Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,550,000 and 1,600,000?Политика
  No$27 @ 99.9¢
• Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be 1,600,000 or more?Политика
  No$27 @ 99.3¢
• Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,500,000 and 1,550,000?Политика
  No$26 @ 95.0¢
• Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000?Политика
  No$20 @ 74.1¢
• Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?Спорт
  Yes$10 @ 3.8¢
• Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?Спорт
  Yes$9 @ 3.6¢
• Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Спорт
  Yes$8 @ 10.0¢
• Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?Спорт
  Yes$7 @ 9.1¢
• Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Спорт
  Yes$6 @ 5.6¢