0x44d9…4c1a

Профи

Эдж

+9.0pp

ROI

+28%

Доля побед

53% @ 44.3¢

Brier

0.203

Сделок

827

Ср. размер

$365

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	58% (40/69)	+25%	69
Политика	50% (4/8)	+40%	8
Крипто	100% (1/1)	+18%	1

Other69 ставки
Попадания
58% (40/69)
ROI
+25%
Политика8 ставки
Попадания
50% (4/8)
ROI
+40%
Крипто1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%

История результатов

58% попаданий · 45/78

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May?	No	$5.2k	59.0¢	Победа
Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1?	Yes	$1.4k	50.0¢	Победа
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?	Yes	$550	3.2¢	Поражение
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30?	Yes	$2.7k	24.1¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	No	$2.6k	79.0¢	Победа
Will Tennessee have highest margin of victory for Trump in Super Tuesday Republican Primaries?	Yes	$200	6.0¢	Поражение
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April?	Yes	$344	7.0¢	Поражение
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$2.5k	84.9¢	Победа
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%	Yes	$250	10.0¢	Победа
Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1?	Yes	$1.3k	50.0¢	Победа
Young Thug found guilty of racketeering?	Yes	$608	81.0¢	Победа
Will Grune receive more than 14% of votes?	No	$5.3k	50.0¢	Победа
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?	No	$984	27.8¢	Поражение
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?	No	$710	71.0¢	Победа
Will Conor McGregor announce presidential run by Feb 29?	No	$3.2k	80.0¢	Победа
zkSync airdrop by April?	No	$5.0k	53.0¢	Победа
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?	No	$740	86.0¢	Победа
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?	Yes	$640	8.0¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	No	$526	60.1¢	Победа
Biden drops out of presidential race?	No	$7.3k	66.8¢	Поражение
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	Yes	$57	41.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$29.9k	73.9¢	Победа
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154	Yes	$525	7.0¢	Поражение
Trump margin of victory in Idaho Caucus 50-60%	No	$1.3k	89.0¢	Победа
Ethereum all time high in 2024?	Yes	$1.2k	70.0¢	Поражение
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination?	Yes	$550	55.0¢	Поражение
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 12.5-15%	Yes	$250	10.0¢	Поражение
Bitcoin all time high in Q1?	Yes	$3.1k	63.0¢	Победа
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	$3.4k	73.3¢	Победа
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	$7.3k	18.3¢	Поражение
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?	Yes	$15.5k	77.5¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	$5.9k	77.0¢	Победа
Will Arsenal win the 2023-24 Champions League?	No	$445	89.0¢	Победа
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?	No	$10.1k	73.6¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$3.0k	55.0¢	Победа
More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January?	Yes	$2.2k	67.0¢	Победа
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	$31	85.0¢	Победа
Bitcoin all time high in April?	No	$22	79.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	No	$9.7k	63.7¢	Поражение
Trump margin of victory in Idaho Caucus >60%	Yes	$3.1k	89.0¢	Победа
Solana all time high in Q2?	Yes	$56	14.0¢	Поражение
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?	No	$7.3k	50.7¢	Победа
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?	Yes	$314	56.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	No	$11.4k	58.2¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	$6.8k	39.3¢	Поражение
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%	Yes	$4.3k	65.3¢	Поражение
Solana all time high in Q3?	Yes	$128	12.0¢	Поражение
Will Nikki Haley win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?	No	$1.9k	77.0¢	Победа
Solana all time high in Q4?	Yes	$241	12.0¢	Победа
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	$45.3k	69.4¢	Победа

Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May?Победа
No$5.2k @ 59.0¢
Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1?Победа
Yes$1.4k @ 50.0¢
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?Поражение
Yes$550 @ 3.2¢
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30?Поражение
Yes$2.7k @ 24.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Победа
No$2.6k @ 79.0¢
Will Tennessee have highest margin of victory for Trump in Super Tuesday Republican Primaries?Поражение
Yes$200 @ 6.0¢
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April?Поражение
Yes$344 @ 7.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Победа
No$2.5k @ 84.9¢
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%Победа
Yes$250 @ 10.0¢
Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1?Победа
Yes$1.3k @ 50.0¢
Young Thug found guilty of racketeering?Победа
Yes$608 @ 81.0¢
Will Grune receive more than 14% of votes?Победа
No$5.3k @ 50.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?Поражение
No$984 @ 27.8¢
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?Победа
No$710 @ 71.0¢
Will Conor McGregor announce presidential run by Feb 29?Победа
No$3.2k @ 80.0¢
zkSync airdrop by April?Победа
No$5.0k @ 53.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?Победа
No$740 @ 86.0¢
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?Поражение
Yes$640 @ 8.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?Победа
No$526 @ 60.1¢
Biden drops out of presidential race?Поражение
No$7.3k @ 66.8¢
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?Поражение
Yes$57 @ 41.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Победа
No$29.9k @ 73.9¢
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Поражение
Yes$525 @ 7.0¢
Trump margin of victory in Idaho Caucus 50-60%Победа
No$1.3k @ 89.0¢
Ethereum all time high in 2024?Поражение
Yes$1.2k @ 70.0¢
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination?Поражение
Yes$550 @ 55.0¢
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 12.5-15%Поражение
Yes$250 @ 10.0¢
Bitcoin all time high in Q1?Победа
Yes$3.1k @ 63.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Победа
No$3.4k @ 73.3¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Поражение
No$7.3k @ 18.3¢
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Поражение
Yes$15.5k @ 77.5¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Победа
No$5.9k @ 77.0¢
Will Arsenal win the 2023-24 Champions League?Победа
No$445 @ 89.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?Победа
No$10.1k @ 73.6¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Победа
Yes$3.0k @ 55.0¢
More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January?Победа
Yes$2.2k @ 67.0¢
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?Победа
No$31 @ 85.0¢
Bitcoin all time high in April?Победа
No$22 @ 79.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Поражение
No$9.7k @ 63.7¢
Trump margin of victory in Idaho Caucus >60%Победа
Yes$3.1k @ 89.0¢
Solana all time high in Q2?Поражение
Yes$56 @ 14.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?Победа
No$7.3k @ 50.7¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?Поражение
Yes$314 @ 56.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Поражение
No$11.4k @ 58.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Поражение
No$6.8k @ 39.3¢
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%Поражение
Yes$4.3k @ 65.3¢
Solana all time high in Q3?Поражение
Yes$128 @ 12.0¢
Will Nikki Haley win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?Победа
No$1.9k @ 77.0¢
Solana all time high in Q4?Победа
Yes$241 @ 12.0¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Победа
No$45.3k @ 69.4¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Политика	Yes	$27.7k	45.6¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Политика	Yes	$10.7k	45.6¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$10.5k	28.4¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Политика	No	$8.3k	83.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Политика	No	$7.5k	46.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Политика	No	$5.7k	54.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$5.1k	41.7¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Политика	Yes	$4.7k	33.9¢
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$3.9k	39.9¢
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?	Политика	No	$3.7k	91.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$3.4k	28.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$3.3k	31.8¢
Blue tsunami in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$2.2k	50.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$585	39.0¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$582	20.0¢
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$506	80.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$423	42.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$341	39.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?	Политика	Yes	$274	24.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$163	40.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$107	22.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$104	72.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Политика	No	$91	41.0¢
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$60	12.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?	Политика	Yes	$50	19.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?	Политика	Yes	$29	29.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 6%-9%?	Политика	Yes	$11	18.0¢

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseПолитика
Yes$27.7k @ 45.6¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Политика
Yes$10.7k @ 45.6¢
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$10.5k @ 28.4¢
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Политика
No$8.3k @ 83.0¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Политика
No$7.5k @ 46.4¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Политика
No$5.7k @ 54.8¢
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$5.1k @ 41.7¢
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Политика
Yes$4.7k @ 33.9¢
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Политика
Yes$3.9k @ 39.9¢
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Политика
No$3.7k @ 91.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$3.4k @ 28.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Политика
Yes$3.3k @ 31.8¢
Blue tsunami in 2026?Политика
Yes$2.2k @ 50.7¢
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Политика
Yes$585 @ 39.0¢
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$582 @ 20.0¢
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$506 @ 80.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$423 @ 42.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$341 @ 39.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?Политика
Yes$274 @ 24.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?Политика
Yes$163 @ 40.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?Политика
Yes$107 @ 22.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?Политика
Yes$104 @ 72.0¢
Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Политика
No$91 @ 41.0¢
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?Политика
Yes$60 @ 12.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?Политика
Yes$50 @ 19.0¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?Политика
Yes$29 @ 29.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 6%-9%?Политика
Yes$11 @ 18.0¢