0x43e2…5fbd

Прибыльный

Эдж

-3.5pp

ROI

+4%

Доля побед

44% @ 47.4¢

Brier

0.183

Сделок

1353

Ср. размер

$34

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	42% (44/104)	+14%	104
Политика	36% (27/76)	+5%	76
Спорт	59% (29/49)	+6%	49
Геополитика	0% (0/12)	-100%	12
Крипто	57% (4/7)	-7%	7
Технологии	25% (1/4)	-96%	4

Other104 ставки
Попадания
42% (44/104)
ROI
+14%
Политика76 ставки
Попадания
36% (27/76)
ROI
+5%
Спорт49 ставки
Попадания
59% (29/49)
ROI
+6%
Геополитика12 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/12)
ROI
-100%
Крипто7 ставки
Попадания
57% (4/7)
ROI
-7%
Технологии4 ставки
Попадания
25% (1/4)
ROI
-96%

История результатов

42% попаданий · 105/252

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	Yes	$3	34.0¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$126	62.9¢	Победа
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$7	32.0¢	Победа
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$32	64.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$883	67.6¢	Победа
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	No	$3	12.0¢	Победа
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$31	41.1¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?	Yes	$5	42.2¢	Поражение
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	$2	12.0¢	Поражение
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$6	11.0¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 29?	Yes	$1	28.0¢	Поражение
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	$2	20.0¢	Поражение
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	$10	65.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$7	3.7¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$255	63.8¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$3.1k	54.5¢	Поражение
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?	No	$14	68.0¢	Победа
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	$5	9.9¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	$94	20.4¢	Поражение
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$11	60.1¢	Победа
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	$2.4k	72.4¢	Победа
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$94	30.9¢	Победа
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	No	$122	62.3¢	Победа
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$76	7.6¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$107	19.4¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$2	15.3¢	Поражение
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?	Yes	$208	67.9¢	Поражение
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	$9	6.7¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.3k	44.7¢	Победа
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	$2	9.7¢	Поражение
Will Neymar Jr.'s national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$14	14.0¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?	Yes	$169	87.9¢	Победа
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	$41	33.7¢	Победа
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Yes	$121	30.3¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.4k	64.0¢	Победа
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?	Yes	$417	20.3¢	Поражение
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	$5	15.0¢	Поражение
Spread: United States (-2.5)	Australia	$15	51.5¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$16	8.4¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?	Yes	$4	12.0¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$51	25.1¢	Поражение
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	$13	13.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	$209	22.9¢	Поражение
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$2	20.0¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$258	29.3¢	Поражение
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$41	81.0¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$105	25.9¢	Поражение
Spread: United States (-1.5)	Australia	$7	28.7¢	Поражение
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	$10	19.1¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$14	27.4¢	Поражение

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 34.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Победа
No$126 @ 62.9¢
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Победа
Yes$7 @ 32.0¢
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Победа
Yes$32 @ 64.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$883 @ 67.6¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Победа
No$3 @ 12.0¢
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?Поражение
Yes$31 @ 41.1¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 42.2¢
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 12.0¢
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 11.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 29?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 28.0¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Победа
Yes$10 @ 65.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 3.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$255 @ 63.8¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поражение
Yes$3.1k @ 54.5¢
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Победа
No$14 @ 68.0¢
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Поражение
No$5 @ 9.9¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Поражение
Yes$94 @ 20.4¢
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?Победа
Yes$11 @ 60.1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Победа
Yes$2.4k @ 72.4¢
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Победа
Yes$94 @ 30.9¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Победа
No$122 @ 62.3¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$76 @ 7.6¢
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$107 @ 19.4¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 15.3¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?Поражение
Yes$208 @ 67.9¢
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Поражение
Yes$9 @ 6.7¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$1.3k @ 44.7¢
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 9.7¢
Will Neymar Jr.'s national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$14 @ 14.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?Победа
Yes$169 @ 87.9¢
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Победа
Yes$41 @ 33.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Поражение
Yes$121 @ 30.3¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$3.4k @ 64.0¢
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Поражение
Yes$417 @ 20.3¢
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 15.0¢
Spread: United States (-2.5)Победа
Australia$15 @ 51.5¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Победа
Yes$16 @ 8.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 12.0¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$51 @ 25.1¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Поражение
Yes$209 @ 22.9¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$2 @ 20.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Поражение
Yes$258 @ 29.3¢
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Победа
Yes$41 @ 81.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$105 @ 25.9¢
Spread: United States (-1.5)Поражение
Australia$7 @ 28.7¢
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?Победа
No$10 @ 19.1¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$14 @ 27.4¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$503	62.9¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	Политика	Yes	$333	83.3¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Геополитика	Yes	$10	19.0¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$503 @ 62.9¢
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Политика
Yes$333 @ 83.3¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Геополитика
Yes$10 @ 19.0¢