0x412c…2d87

Профи

Эдж

-4.4pp

ROI

+6%

Доля побед

9% @ 13.4¢

Brier

0.087

Сделок

446

Ср. размер

$73

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	26% (16/62)	+151%	62
Политика	6% (2/31)	-65%	31
Геополитика	10% (1/10)	-71%	10
Спорт	0% (0/7)	-100%	7

Other62 ставки
Попадания
26% (16/62)
ROI
+151%
Политика31 ставки
Попадания
6% (2/31)
ROI
-65%
Геополитика10 ставки
Попадания
10% (1/10)
ROI
-71%
Спорт7 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/7)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

17% попаданий · 19/110

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	$308	16.3¢	Поражение
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?	Yes	$150	8.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$150	29.0¢	Победа
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	Yes	$75	7.5¢	Поражение
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	$33	4.6¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	Yes	$10	1.5¢	Поражение
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$1.0k	54.9¢	Победа
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$156	23.0¢	Поражение
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)	Clippers	$60	52.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	$35	2.5¢	Поражение
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?	Yes	$10	3.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	No	$450	39.7¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	2.8¢	Поражение
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	Yes	$20	2.0¢	Поражение
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	$510	8.6¢	Поражение
Will France strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	$15	1.6¢	Поражение
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	16.0¢	Поражение
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	Yes	$200	29.5¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	Yes	$450	22.1¢	Поражение
Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	$959	12.8¢	Поражение
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)	Hornets	$50	52.0¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$225	11.8¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$145	29.0¢	Поражение
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	$25	14.0¢	Поражение
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?	Yes	$5	2.0¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	27.7¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	Yes	$59	9.7¢	Поражение
Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	$11	0.6¢	Поражение
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$30	17.0¢	Поражение
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?	Yes	$175	63.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$146	4.2¢	Победа
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$80	9.0¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	$3.0k	7.5¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$20	6.5¢	Поражение
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-18?	Yes	$550	52.4¢	Поражение
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$15	2.7¢	Поражение
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$146	8.3¢	Поражение
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	No	$250	19.3¢	Поражение
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	Yes	$427	7.5¢	Победа
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$232	31.5¢	Поражение
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$26	2.6¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	$755	25.5¢	Поражение
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	$660	10.9¢	Поражение
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	$153	42.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	46.0¢	Поражение
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?	Yes	$72	52.0¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$350	20.0¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$448	45.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	$603	11.7¢	Поражение

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Поражение
Yes$308 @ 16.3¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Поражение
Yes$150 @ 8.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Победа
Yes$150 @ 29.0¢
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?Поражение
Yes$75 @ 7.5¢
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Поражение
Yes$33 @ 4.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 1.5¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Победа
No$1.0k @ 54.9¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$156 @ 23.0¢
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)Победа
Clippers$60 @ 52.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Поражение
Yes$35 @ 2.5¢
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 3.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Победа
No$450 @ 39.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.6k @ 2.8¢
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 2.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Поражение
Yes$510 @ 8.6¢
Will France strike Iran by April 30?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 1.6¢
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 16.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Поражение
Yes$200 @ 29.5¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Поражение
Yes$450 @ 22.1¢
Iran leadership change by May 31?Поражение
Yes$959 @ 12.8¢
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)Победа
Hornets$50 @ 52.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$225 @ 11.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$145 @ 29.0¢
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Поражение
Club Atlético de Madrid$25 @ 14.0¢
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 2.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.4k @ 27.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Поражение
Yes$59 @ 9.7¢
Trump out as President by May 31?Поражение
Yes$11 @ 0.6¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 17.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?Победа
Yes$175 @ 63.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Победа
Yes$146 @ 4.2¢
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$80 @ 9.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Поражение
Yes$3.0k @ 7.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 6.5¢
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-18?Поражение
Yes$550 @ 52.4¢
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$15 @ 2.7¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$146 @ 8.3¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Поражение
No$250 @ 19.3¢
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Победа
Yes$427 @ 7.5¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$232 @ 31.5¢
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$26 @ 2.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?Поражение
Yes$755 @ 25.5¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Поражение
Yes$660 @ 10.9¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?Поражение
Yes$153 @ 42.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.9k @ 46.0¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?Поражение
Yes$72 @ 52.0¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$350 @ 20.0¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Победа
Yes$448 @ 45.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?Поражение
Yes$603 @ 11.7¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Политика	Yes	$7	2.3¢

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Политика
Yes$7 @ 2.3¢