0x4025…a309

Профи

Эдж

+13.9pp

ROI

+16%

Доля побед

82% @ 68.4¢

Brier

0.093

Сделок

158

Ср. размер

$24

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	75% (49/65)	+16%	65
Геополитика	25% (1/4)	-3%	4
Политика	67% (2/3)	+55%	3

Other65 ставки
Попадания
75% (49/65)
ROI
+16%
Геополитика4 ставки
Попадания
25% (1/4)
ROI
-3%
Политика3 ставки
Попадания
67% (2/3)
ROI
+55%

История результатов

72% попаданий · 52/72

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	$3	0.8¢	Поражение
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	$88	80.1¢	Победа
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of June 8 2026?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Поражение
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in April?	No	$14	67.5¢	Победа
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?	No	$4	74.4¢	Победа
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?	No	$4	79.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	$48	64.6¢	Победа
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	$8	80.0¢	Победа
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?	Yes	$2	41.0¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?	No	$22	73.0¢	Победа
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?	Yes	$7	70.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	$41	81.8¢	Победа
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?	No	$4	73.7¢	Победа
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$8	78.0¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?	No	$43	85.0¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	$2	47.0¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$36	71.2¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	$229	83.2¢	Победа
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	No	$60	83.0¢	Победа
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?	Yes	$3	2.1¢	Поражение
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?	No	$41	41.0¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?	No	$3	27.0¢	Поражение
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?	Yes	$12	54.8¢	Победа
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	No	$44	87.0¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	$50	10.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$73	66.5¢	Победа
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?	Yes	$9	89.0¢	Победа
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	$21	83.4¢	Победа
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?	No	$42	83.3¢	Победа
Will China's annual inflation increase by ≥0.7% in December?	No	$1	40.0¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	No	$1	28.0¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	$45	89.0¢	Победа
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	No	$82	82.5¢	Победа
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?	Yes	$218	87.0¢	Победа
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	No	$149	71.0¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	No	$39	78.2¢	Победа
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of June 1 2026?	No	$44	88.0¢	Победа
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?	No	$17	83.8¢	Победа
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?	Yes	$10	63.1¢	Поражение
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?	Yes	$1	10.4¢	Поражение
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?	Yes	$5	45.4¢	Поражение
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?	No	$45	89.0¢	Победа
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?	No	$167	81.5¢	Победа
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?	No	$54	82.7¢	Победа
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?	Yes	$4	76.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	$88	89.0¢	Победа
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	$406	70.0¢	Победа
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	$89	89.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$1	23.0¢	Поражение

Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.8¢
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Победа
No$88 @ 80.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of June 8 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in April?Победа
No$14 @ 67.5¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?Победа
No$4 @ 74.4¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?Победа
No$4 @ 79.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Победа
No$48 @ 64.6¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Победа
No$8 @ 80.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 41.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Победа
No$22 @ 73.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?Победа
Yes$7 @ 70.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Победа
No$41 @ 81.8¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?Победа
No$4 @ 73.7¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$8 @ 78.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?Победа
No$43 @ 85.0¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Победа
Yes$2 @ 47.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Поражение
Yes$36 @ 71.2¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Победа
No$229 @ 83.2¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?Победа
No$60 @ 83.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 2.1¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?Победа
No$41 @ 41.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?Поражение
No$3 @ 27.0¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?Победа
Yes$12 @ 54.8¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?Победа
No$44 @ 87.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 10.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$73 @ 66.5¢
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?Победа
Yes$9 @ 89.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?Победа
No$21 @ 83.4¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?Победа
No$42 @ 83.3¢
Will China's annual inflation increase by ≥0.7% in December?Поражение
No$1 @ 40.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Победа
No$1 @ 28.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Победа
No$45 @ 89.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?Победа
No$82 @ 82.5¢
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Победа
Yes$218 @ 87.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?Поражение
No$149 @ 71.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Победа
No$39 @ 78.2¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of June 1 2026?Победа
No$44 @ 88.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?Победа
No$17 @ 83.8¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 63.1¢
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 10.4¢
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 45.4¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?Победа
No$45 @ 89.0¢
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?Победа
No$167 @ 81.5¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?Победа
No$54 @ 82.7¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 76.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Победа
No$88 @ 89.0¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?Победа
No$406 @ 70.0¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Победа
No$89 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 23.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$8.4k	89.7¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Other	No	$152	73.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?	Other	No	$44	94.0¢
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%?	Геополитика	No	$21	81.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?	Other	No	$19	91.0¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	Политика	No	$16	64.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?	Other	No	$6	85.0¢
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?	Геополитика	Yes	$4	35.0¢
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?	Геополитика	Yes	$1	5.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$1	10.0¢

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Other
No$8.4k @ 89.7¢
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Other
No$152 @ 73.9¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?Other
No$44 @ 94.0¢
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%?Геополитика
No$21 @ 81.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in October?Other
No$19 @ 91.0¢
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?Политика
No$16 @ 64.0¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?Other
No$6 @ 85.0¢
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?Геополитика
Yes$4 @ 35.0¢
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?Геополитика
Yes$1 @ 5.0¢
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Политика
Yes$1 @ 10.0¢