0x3eca…ab82

Прибыльный

Эдж

+35.7pp

ROI

+221%

Доля побед

58% @ 22.5¢

Brier

0.374

Сделок

122

Ср. размер

$72

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	67% (8/12)	+272%	12
Политика	0% (0/5)	-100%	5
Технологии	0% (0/2)	-100%	2
Спорт	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Геополитика	100% (1/1)	+1595%	1
Крипто	100% (1/1)	+52%	1

Other12 ставки
Попадания
67% (8/12)
ROI
+272%
Политика5 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/5)
ROI
-100%
Технологии2 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/2)
ROI
-100%
Спорт1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Геополитика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+1595%
Крипто1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+52%

История результатов

45% попаданий · 10/22

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	$31	0.4¢	Поражение
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	No	$347	4.7¢	Поражение
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$199	13.1¢	Поражение
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	$77	18.0¢	Поражение
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$510	25.5¢	Поражение
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?	No	$100	65.8¢	Победа
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$62	5.9¢	Победа
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?	Yes	$66	11.0¢	Поражение
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?	No	$30	39.0¢	Поражение
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?	Yes	$88	38.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	$3.6k	19.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	$1.5k	36.3¢	Победа
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$47	23.5¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	$134	43.1¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	$758	54.8¢	Победа
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?	Yes	$248	22.2¢	Победа
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	$520	65.0¢	Победа
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$74	24.0¢	Поражение
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	$37	0.4¢	Поражение
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	$60	82.8¢	Поражение
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	$152	76.0¢	Победа
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	Yes	$136	82.0¢	Победа

Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?Поражение
Yes$31 @ 0.4¢
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Поражение
No$347 @ 4.7¢
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Поражение
Yes$199 @ 13.1¢
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Поражение
Yes$77 @ 18.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$510 @ 25.5¢
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? Победа
No$100 @ 65.8¢
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$62 @ 5.9¢
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Поражение
Yes$66 @ 11.0¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Поражение
No$30 @ 39.0¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Победа
Yes$88 @ 38.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Победа
Yes$3.6k @ 19.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Победа
Yes$1.5k @ 36.3¢
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Поражение
Yes$47 @ 23.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Поражение
No$134 @ 43.1¢
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Победа
Yes$758 @ 54.8¢
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Победа
Yes$248 @ 22.2¢
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Победа
Yes$520 @ 65.0¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$74 @ 24.0¢
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Поражение
Yes$37 @ 0.4¢
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?Поражение
Yes$60 @ 82.8¢
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$152 @ 76.0¢
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Победа
Yes$136 @ 82.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Геополитика	No	$2.0k	91.2¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Политика	No	$986	61.7¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Политика	Yes	$637	38.4¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?	Технологии	No	$276	92.0¢
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Технологии	No	$120	99.6¢
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Технологии	No	$55	99.2¢

Xi Jinping out before 2027?Геополитика
No$2.0k @ 91.2¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Политика
No$986 @ 61.7¢
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Политика
Yes$637 @ 38.4¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?Технологии
No$276 @ 92.0¢
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Технологии
No$120 @ 99.6¢
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Технологии
No$55 @ 99.2¢