0x389a…397d

Профи

Эдж

+9.5pp

ROI

+17%

Доля побед

55% @ 45.9¢

Brier

0.179

Сделок

372

Ср. размер

$97

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	48% (37/77)	+25%	77
Технологии	35% (6/17)	-27%	17
Политика	70% (7/10)	+21%	10
Геополитика	50% (1/2)	-27%	2
Экономика	50% (1/2)	-28%	2

Other77 ставки
Попадания
48% (37/77)
ROI
+25%
Технологии17 ставки
Попадания
35% (6/17)
ROI
-27%
Политика10 ставки
Попадания
70% (7/10)
ROI
+21%
Геополитика2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
-27%
Экономика2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
-28%

История результатов

48% попаданий · 52/108

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?	No	$100	77.9¢	Победа
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of August 17 2026?	Yes	$152	60.5¢	Победа
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$397	22.3¢	Поражение
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	$263	72.1¢	Победа
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?	Yes	$103	29.2¢	Поражение
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?	Yes	$51	28.1¢	Победа
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?	No	$83	8.5¢	Поражение
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?	Yes	$60	42.9¢	Поражение
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	$20	1.1¢	Поражение
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?	Yes	$30	3.8¢	Поражение
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?	Yes	$40	15.6¢	Поражение
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	$31	8.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	No	$374	70.6¢	Победа
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $900 Week of August 10 2026?	No	$62	34.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	No	$200	62.1¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	$19	23.8¢	Поражение
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	$119	6.0¢	Поражение
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?	Yes	$4	32.5¢	Победа
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?	No	$294	81.4¢	Победа
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?	Yes	$78	20.7¢	Поражение
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?	No	$268	19.9¢	Поражение
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	$102	37.7¢	Победа
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$80	31.0¢	Поражение
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	No	$123	47.0¢	Поражение
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?	Yes	$332	33.6¢	Победа
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?	Yes	$62	7.5¢	Поражение
Ethereum above 2,440 on August 30, 9PM ET?	Yes	$53	25.3¢	Поражение
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?	Yes	$203	70.6¢	Поражение
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of July 6 2026?	No	$25	72.0¢	Победа
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$6	0.6¢	Поражение
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$2.0k	62.9¢	Победа
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$50	18.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	No	$344	69.3¢	Поражение
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	$204	7.2¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	No	$1.3k	77.9¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?	Yes	$150	72.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$2.1k	39.4¢	Поражение
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$150	75.6¢	Победа
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	$787	20.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	$5	0.2¢	Поражение
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$150	74.3¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?	No	$1.1k	41.2¢	Победа
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	No	$1.4k	59.8¢	Победа
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?	Yes	$193	32.3¢	Поражение
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?	No	$54	30.1¢	Победа
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?	No	$363	39.6¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	No	$202	74.0¢	Поражение
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	$1.1k	68.4¢	Победа
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	No	$165	16.0¢	Поражение
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?	Down	$720	66.2¢	Поражение

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Победа
No$100 @ 77.9¢
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of August 17 2026?Победа
Yes$152 @ 60.5¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Поражение
Yes$397 @ 22.3¢
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Победа
Yes$263 @ 72.1¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Поражение
Yes$103 @ 29.2¢
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?Победа
Yes$51 @ 28.1¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?Поражение
No$83 @ 8.5¢
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?Поражение
Yes$60 @ 42.9¢
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 1.1¢
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 3.8¢
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?Поражение
Yes$40 @ 15.6¢
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Поражение
No$31 @ 8.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Победа
No$374 @ 70.6¢
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $900 Week of August 10 2026?Поражение
No$62 @ 34.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Победа
No$200 @ 62.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Поражение
Yes$19 @ 23.8¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Поражение
No$119 @ 6.0¢
Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on June 30?Победа
Yes$4 @ 32.5¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Победа
No$294 @ 81.4¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Поражение
Yes$78 @ 20.7¢
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Поражение
No$268 @ 19.9¢
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Победа
Yes$102 @ 37.7¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Поражение
Yes$80 @ 31.0¢
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?Поражение
No$123 @ 47.0¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?Победа
Yes$332 @ 33.6¢
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?Поражение
Yes$62 @ 7.5¢
Ethereum above 2,440 on August 30, 9PM ET?Поражение
Yes$53 @ 25.3¢
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?Поражение
Yes$203 @ 70.6¢
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $810 Week of July 6 2026?Победа
No$25 @ 72.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Победа
No$2.0k @ 62.9¢
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 18.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Поражение
No$344 @ 69.3¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Поражение
Yes$204 @ 7.2¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Победа
No$1.3k @ 77.9¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Поражение
Yes$150 @ 72.9¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Поражение
No$2.1k @ 39.4¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Победа
No$150 @ 75.6¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Поражение
Yes$787 @ 20.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Поражение
No$5 @ 0.2¢
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Победа
No$150 @ 74.3¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Победа
No$1.1k @ 41.2¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Победа
No$1.4k @ 59.8¢
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Поражение
Yes$193 @ 32.3¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?Победа
No$54 @ 30.1¢
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?Победа
No$363 @ 39.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Поражение
No$202 @ 74.0¢
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Победа
No$1.1k @ 68.4¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?Поражение
No$165 @ 16.0¢
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Поражение
Down$720 @ 66.2¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	—	No	$769	52.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	—	No	$694	63.2¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	—	No	$671	56.3¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Технологии	No	$635	62.7¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Технологии	No	$540	37.3¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	—	No	$525	66.3¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Политика	No	$221	10.4¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	—	Yes	$165	8.7¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	—	No	$150	9.0¢
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?	—	No	$145	7.6¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Технологии	No	$64	53.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$50	21.0¢
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?	—	No	$30	10.9¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?—
No$769 @ 52.7¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?—
No$694 @ 63.2¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?—
No$671 @ 56.3¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Технологии
No$635 @ 62.7¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Технологии
No$540 @ 37.3¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?—
No$525 @ 66.3¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Политика
No$221 @ 10.4¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?—
Yes$165 @ 8.7¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?—
No$150 @ 9.0¢
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?—
No$145 @ 7.6¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Технологии
No$64 @ 53.1¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?—
Yes$50 @ 21.0¢
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?—
No$30 @ 10.9¢