0x371c…c236

Профи

Эдж

+9.0pp

ROI

+23%

Доля побед

41% @ 32.1¢

Brier

0.196

Сделок

1028

Ср. размер

$18

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	30% (17/57)	-54%	57
Геополитика	29% (7/24)	+135%	24
Политика	24% (5/21)	-24%	21

Other57 ставки
Попадания
30% (17/57)
ROI
-54%
Геополитика24 ставки
Попадания
29% (7/24)
ROI
+135%
Политика21 ставки
Попадания
24% (5/21)
ROI
-24%

История результатов

28% попаданий · 29/102

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$25	4.5¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	No	$12	23.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$1.2k	19.2¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	$60	47.3¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$124	14.4¢	Поражение
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?	Yes	$688	30.2¢	Победа
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	Yes	$63	16.3¢	Поражение
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?	Yes	$78	24.0¢	Победа
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?	Yes	$121	85.1¢	Победа
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$479	22.2¢	Поражение
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$35	12.4¢	Поражение
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?	Yes	$167	28.9¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?	Yes	$88	14.7¢	Поражение
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	Yes	$96	24.9¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	No	$140	51.9¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	$99	33.2¢	Победа
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?	Yes	$10	5.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?	Yes	$13	8.3¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$286	81.1¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$50	29.9¢	Поражение
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	Yes	$125	22.3¢	Поражение
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?	Yes	$591	17.1¢	Поражение
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$320	11.4¢	Поражение
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	Yes	$32	7.7¢	Поражение
Iran full airspace closure by July 21?	Yes	$10	4.1¢	Поражение
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	$112	32.5¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	Yes	$113	61.8¢	Победа
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026?	Yes	$10	12.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?	Yes	$53	8.5¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	$72	39.4¢	Поражение
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$30	3.5¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?	No	$35	25.4¢	Поражение
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$106	12.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$268	89.4¢	Победа
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	$1.0k	48.5¢	Поражение
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$124	63.9¢	Победа
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	No	$127	73.0¢	Победа
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?	Yes	$36	15.1¢	Поражение
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?	Yes	$40	82.2¢	Победа
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$135	10.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?	Yes	$493	12.2¢	Поражение
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?	Yes	$189	10.3¢	Поражение
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	No	$115	16.3¢	Поражение
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?	Yes	$20	44.0¢	Поражение
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	Yes	$324	14.4¢	Поражение
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$680	10.7¢	Поражение
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	$45	6.7¢	Поражение
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?	No	$9	4.8¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	No	$31	78.0¢	Поражение
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?	Yes	$50	8.7¢	Поражение

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 4.5¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Поражение
No$12 @ 23.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Победа
Yes$1.2k @ 19.2¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Победа
No$60 @ 47.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поражение
Yes$124 @ 14.4¢
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Победа
Yes$688 @ 30.2¢
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Поражение
Yes$63 @ 16.3¢
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Победа
Yes$78 @ 24.0¢
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Победа
Yes$121 @ 85.1¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$479 @ 22.2¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$35 @ 12.4¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?Поражение
Yes$167 @ 28.9¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Поражение
Yes$88 @ 14.7¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Поражение
Yes$96 @ 24.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Поражение
No$140 @ 51.9¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Победа
Yes$99 @ 33.2¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 5.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 8.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Победа
No$286 @ 81.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 29.9¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Поражение
Yes$125 @ 22.3¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Поражение
Yes$591 @ 17.1¢
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$320 @ 11.4¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Поражение
Yes$32 @ 7.7¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 21?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 4.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Победа
No$112 @ 32.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Победа
Yes$113 @ 61.8¢
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 12.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?Поражение
Yes$53 @ 8.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Поражение
Yes$72 @ 39.4¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$30 @ 3.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Поражение
No$35 @ 25.4¢
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$106 @ 12.9¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Победа
No$268 @ 89.4¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Поражение
No$1.0k @ 48.5¢
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$124 @ 63.9¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Победа
No$127 @ 73.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Поражение
Yes$36 @ 15.1¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 17?Победа
Yes$40 @ 82.2¢
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Поражение
Yes$135 @ 10.0¢
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Поражение
Yes$493 @ 12.2¢
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Поражение
Yes$189 @ 10.3¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Поражение
No$115 @ 16.3¢
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?Поражение
Yes$20 @ 44.0¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Поражение
Yes$324 @ 14.4¢
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Поражение
Yes$680 @ 10.7¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Поражение
Yes$45 @ 6.7¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Поражение
No$9 @ 4.8¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?Поражение
No$31 @ 78.0¢
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Поражение
Yes$50 @ 8.7¢

Недавние сделки

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Загрузка недавних сделок…

Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	—	Yes	$212	23.8¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 28?	—	Yes	$130	79.8¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 26?	—	Yes	$100	82.1¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?	—	Yes	$95	25.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	—	No	$83	34.7¢
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	—	Yes	$83	7.5¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 29?	—	Yes	$78	77.3¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Политика	Yes	$77	28.1¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$69	7.2¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$67	13.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	—	No	$57	15.2¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 30?	—	Yes	$50	83.3¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$49	13.4¢
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?	—	Yes	$42	14.2¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 27?	—	Yes	$40	80.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	—	Yes	$38	1.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	—	Yes	$37	53.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	—	No	$34	24.7¢
Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$32	16.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	Геополитика	Yes	$31	8.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	—	No	$30	32.0¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	—	Yes	$30	11.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$30	16.8¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$27	21.1¢
Iran coup attempt by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$25	9.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?	—	Yes	$25	10.0¢
Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?	—	Yes	$25	46.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Геополитика	Yes	$23	11.6¢
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy)	—	Yes	$20	16.0¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Политика	No	$20	12.7¢

Iran full airspace closure by December 31?—
Yes$212 @ 23.8¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 28?—
Yes$130 @ 79.8¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 26?—
Yes$100 @ 82.1¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?—
Yes$95 @ 25.6¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?—
No$83 @ 34.7¢
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?—
Yes$83 @ 7.5¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 29?—
Yes$78 @ 77.3¢
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Политика
Yes$77 @ 28.1¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Политика
Yes$69 @ 7.2¢
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Политика
Yes$67 @ 13.4¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?—
No$57 @ 15.2¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 30?—
Yes$50 @ 83.3¢
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Политика
Yes$49 @ 13.4¢
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?—
Yes$42 @ 14.2¢
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 27?—
Yes$40 @ 80.5¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?—
Yes$38 @ 1.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?—
Yes$37 @ 53.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?—
No$34 @ 24.7¢
Will Iran target Oman by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$32 @ 16.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Геополитика
Yes$31 @ 8.0¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?—
No$30 @ 32.0¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?—
Yes$30 @ 11.8¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
Yes$30 @ 16.8¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Политика
Yes$27 @ 21.1¢
Iran coup attempt by December 31?Политика
Yes$25 @ 9.0¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?—
Yes$25 @ 10.0¢
Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?—
Yes$25 @ 46.2¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Геополитика
Yes$23 @ 11.6¢
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy)—
Yes$20 @ 16.0¢
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Политика
No$20 @ 12.7¢