← Умные деньги
0x3714…9ce3
ПрофиЭдж
+5.5pp
ROI
+16%
Доля побед
26% @ 20.4¢
Brier
0.037
Сделок
286
Ср. размер
$27
Динамика ROI
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 70% (28/40) | +17% | 40 |
| Политика | 40% (8/20) | +8% | 20 |
| Технологии | 100% (2/2) | +3% | 2 |
| Геополитика | 100% (1/1) | +12% | 1 |
- Other40 ставки
- Попадания
- 70% (28/40)
- ROI
- +17%
- Политика20 ставки
- Попадания
- 40% (8/20)
- ROI
- +8%
- Технологии2 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +3%
- Геополитика1 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +12%
История результатов
62% попаданий · 39/63- No$117 @ 89.9¢
- Manuel Mazza$27 @ 67.1¢
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?ПоражениеNo$28 @ 20.1¢
- No$1 @ 18.0¢
- Will Trump say "UFC" this week?ПоражениеNo$1 @ 6.0¢
- No$39 @ 89.0¢
- No$80 @ 80.1¢
- Yes$160 @ 88.6¢
- No$168 @ 82.9¢
- Yes$19 @ 0.2¢
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?ПоражениеYes$16 @ 31.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 8.0¢
- No$219 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$263 @ 86.5¢
- No$30 @ 30.0¢
- Yes$904 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$22 @ 2.8¢
- No$336 @ 88.0¢
- No$178 @ 89.0¢
- No$65 @ 65.0¢
- No$200 @ 80.1¢
- Yes$8 @ 0.1¢
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?ПоражениеNo$48 @ 31.7¢
- Yes$42 @ 42.0¢
- No$1.1k @ 86.5¢
- Yes$43 @ 86.3¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$111 @ 37.0¢
- No$87 @ 86.5¢
- Yes$6 @ 0.1¢
- Alex Knaff$7 @ 50.2¢
- Yes$119 @ 79.3¢
- No$170 @ 85.0¢
- No$88 @ 88.0¢
- No$360 @ 72.0¢
- No$650 @ 81.2¢
- Yes$55 @ 89.8¢
- No$6 @ 0.1¢
- Will Trump say "NATO" this week?ПоражениеYes$2 @ 8.0¢
- Yes$4 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 0.1¢
- Yes$3 @ 9.0¢
- Yes$128 @ 64.0¢
- No$13 @ 9.4¢
- No$164 @ 82.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 0.2¢
- No$200 @ 55.0¢
- No$69 @ 68.6¢
- Will Trump say "Nuke" this week?ПоражениеYes$1 @ 7.0¢
- Trump kiss by May 31?ПоражениеNo$22 @ 21.7¢
Недавние сделки
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Текущие позиции
| Рынок | Сфера | Исход | Размер | Вход |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | Крипто | No | $297 | 99.0¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | Крипто | No | $198 | 98.9¢ |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Политика | No | $198 | 98.8¢ |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? | Политика | No | $197 | 98.6¢ |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Геополитика | No | $194 | 97.2¢ |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | Крипто | No | $110 | 99.6¢ |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Политика | Yes | $87 | 86.6¢ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Бизнес | Yes | $69 | 69.0¢ |
| Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? | Геополитика | No | $29 | 95.4¢ |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms? | Политика | Yes | $26 | 89.4¢ |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | Политика | No | $18 | 97.2¢ |
- No$297 @ 99.0¢
- No$198 @ 98.9¢
- No$198 @ 98.8¢
- NATO dissolves before 2027?ПолитикаNo$197 @ 98.6¢
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?ГеополитикаNo$194 @ 97.2¢
- No$110 @ 99.6¢
- Yes$87 @ 86.6¢
- Yes$69 @ 69.0¢
- No$29 @ 95.4¢
- Yes$26 @ 89.4¢
- No$18 @ 97.2¢