0x3472…bc66

Профи

Эдж

+8.1pp

ROI

+81%

Доля побед

39% @ 30.8¢

Brier

0.171

Сделок

474

Ср. размер

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	33% (40/123)	+126%	123
Спорт	44% (34/77)	+21%	77
Политика	38% (18/48)	-7%	48
Геополитика	90% (9/10)	+33%	10

Other123 ставки
Попадания
33% (40/123)
ROI
+126%
Спорт77 ставки
Попадания
44% (34/77)
ROI
+21%
Политика48 ставки
Попадания
38% (18/48)
ROI
-7%
Геополитика10 ставки
Попадания
90% (9/10)
ROI
+33%

История результатов

39% попаданий · 101/258

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by October 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	3.6¢	Поражение
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	$5	15.0¢	Победа
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$10	45.0¢	Поражение
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	1.3¢	Поражение
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.5¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	0.8¢	Поражение
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	$2	18.0¢	Поражение
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$10	17.2¢	Поражение
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$2	7.0¢	Поражение
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$5	40.3¢	Поражение
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	$5	85.0¢	Поражение
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$3	3.0¢	Поражение
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	$5	44.1¢	Поражение
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	$2	40.0¢	Поражение
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	$4	37.0¢	Поражение
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?	Yes	$1	17.0¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	$5	80.0¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	No	$7	39.7¢	Победа
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	$2	0.8¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	No	$2	60.0¢	Поражение
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	$20	51.0¢	Победа
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	$7	0.5¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$5	83.0¢	Победа
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$5	2.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	$22	17.5¢	Поражение
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	$5	26.0¢	Победа
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	$13	29.3¢	Поражение
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$3	5.4¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$17	2.6¢	Поражение
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	$5	48.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?	No	$10	30.5¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	No	$5	74.0¢	Победа
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$1	1.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	$5	38.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	$5	24.0¢	Поражение
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$25	50.9¢	Поражение
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?	Yes	$10	47.0¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$2	0.3¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	1.2¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$6	24.0¢	Поражение
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	$7	47.0¢	Поражение
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	$1	0.4¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	$21	17.5¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$5	67.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	$2	73.0¢	Победа
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?	Yes	$15	59.6¢	Победа
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	$12	0.8¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	$2	10.0¢	Поражение

Saudi troops enter Sanaa by October 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 3.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Победа
No$5 @ 15.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 45.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 1.3¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.5¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.8¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$2 @ 18.0¢
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 17.2¢
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 7.0¢
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 40.3¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Поражение
No$5 @ 85.0¢
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 3.0¢
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 44.1¢
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-23?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 40.0¢
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 37.0¢
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 17.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Победа
No$5 @ 80.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?Победа
No$7 @ 39.7¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.8¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Поражение
No$2 @ 60.0¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Победа
Yes$20 @ 51.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 0.5¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$5 @ 83.0¢
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 2.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Поражение
Yes$22 @ 17.5¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Победа
Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 29.3¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 5.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$17 @ 2.6¢
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 48.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Победа
No$10 @ 30.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?Победа
No$5 @ 74.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.8¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Поражение
No$5 @ 38.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 24.0¢
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Поражение
Yes$25 @ 50.9¢
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 47.0¢
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.3¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.2¢
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 24.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 47.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.4¢
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.1¢
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Поражение
Yes$21 @ 17.5¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Победа
No$5 @ 67.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Победа
No$2 @ 73.0¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?Победа
Yes$15 @ 59.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$12 @ 0.8¢
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 10.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$40	49.7¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$28	20.5¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$26	57.7¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$17	16.6¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$12	14.6¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$10	18.6¢
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$6	0.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$5	8.0¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	Геополитика	No	$5	90.0¢
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$5	96.1¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?	Геополитика	No	$5	71.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Политика	No	$5	65.0¢
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$5	36.0¢
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$5	14.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$5	14.0¢
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$3	7.0¢
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Политика	Yes	$2	0.7¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	Геополитика	No	$2	96.2¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$2	9.0¢
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$1	83.0¢
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Геополитика	No	$1	96.6¢
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$1	13.0¢
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$1	4.6¢
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	Геополитика	Yes	$1	4.3¢
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Спорт	Yes	$1	0.3¢

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Спорт
Yes$40 @ 49.7¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Спорт
Yes$28 @ 20.5¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Спорт
Yes$26 @ 57.7¢
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Спорт
Yes$17 @ 16.6¢
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Спорт
Yes$12 @ 14.6¢
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$10 @ 18.6¢
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$6 @ 0.6¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$5 @ 8.0¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Геополитика
No$5 @ 90.0¢
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Геополитика
No$5 @ 96.1¢
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?Геополитика
No$5 @ 71.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Политика
No$5 @ 65.0¢
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$5 @ 36.0¢
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Спорт
Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Спорт
Yes$5 @ 14.0¢
Saudi troops enter Sanaa by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$3 @ 7.0¢
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Политика
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Геополитика
No$2 @ 96.2¢
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Спорт
Yes$2 @ 9.0¢
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?Геополитика
No$1 @ 83.0¢
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Геополитика
No$1 @ 96.6¢
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Политика
Yes$1 @ 13.0¢
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Политика
Yes$1 @ 4.6¢
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Геополитика
Yes$1 @ 4.3¢
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Спорт
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢