← Умные деньги
0x3183…c5eb
ПрофиЭдж
+19.0pp
ROI
+27%
Доля побед
77% @ 58.0¢
Brier
0.081
Сделок
87
Ср. размер
$45
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Технологии | 100% (3/3) | +56% | 3 |
| Крипто | 100% (3/3) | +37% | 3 |
| Спорт | 50% (1/2) | -91% | 2 |
| Политика | 0% (0/2) | -100% | 2 |
| Other | 100% (2/2) | +44% | 2 |
- Технологии3 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +56%
- Крипто3 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (3/3)
- ROI
- +37%
- Спорт2 ставки
- Попадания
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- -91%
- Политика2 ставки
- Попадания
- 0% (0/2)
- ROI
- -100%
- Other2 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +44%
История результатов
75% попаданий · 9/12| Рынок | Исход | Размер | Вход | Итог |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? | Yes | $45 | 76.1¢ | Победа |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1? | No | $168 | 50.7¢ | Победа |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026? | Yes | $52 | 85.4¢ | Победа |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026? | No | $4 | 88.0¢ | Победа |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $52 | 2.3¢ | Поражение |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | No | $1.3k | 82.6¢ | Победа |
| Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $4 | 86.0¢ | Победа |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Yes | $362 | 12.9¢ | Поражение |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $801 | 66.6¢ | Победа |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Yes | $37 | 1.6¢ | Поражение |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $1.1k | 63.2¢ | Победа |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | Yes | $25 | 60.0¢ | Победа |
- Yes$45 @ 76.1¢
- No$168 @ 50.7¢
- Yes$52 @ 85.4¢
- No$4 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$52 @ 2.3¢
- No$1.3k @ 82.6¢
- Yes$4 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$362 @ 12.9¢
- Yes$801 @ 66.6¢
- Yes$37 @ 1.6¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 63.2¢
- Yes$25 @ 60.0¢
Недавние сделки
в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировкиЗагрузка недавних сделок…
Текущие позиции
| Рынок | Сфера | Исход | Размер | Вход |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13? | — | No | $306 | 81.0¢ |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | Технологии | No | $268 | 58.9¢ |
| Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | — | Yes | $206 | 45.3¢ |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Спорт | No | $141 | 91.9¢ |
| Will Lamine Yamal score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | — | Yes | $40 | 12.1¢ |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? | — | Yes | $10 | 34.0¢ |
| Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | — | Yes | $2 | 22.0¢ |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | — | Yes | $1 | 83.0¢ |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | Политика | Yes | $0 | 0.0¢ |
- No$306 @ 81.0¢
- No$268 @ 58.9¢
- Yes$206 @ 45.3¢
- No$141 @ 91.9¢
- Yes$40 @ 12.1¢
- Yes$10 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$2 @ 22.0¢
- Yes$1 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$0 @ 0.0¢