0x2fad…f5c0

Прибыльный

Эдж

+34.0pp

ROI

+44%

Доля побед

76% @ 42.4¢

Brier

0.239

Сделок

658

Ср. размер

$187

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	49% (23/47)	+42%	47
Политика	27% (4/15)	-30%	15
Спорт	50% (1/2)	+422%	2
Геополитика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other47 ставки
Попадания
49% (23/47)
ROI
+42%
Политика15 ставки
Попадания
27% (4/15)
ROI
-30%
Спорт2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
+422%
Геополитика1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

43% попаданий · 28/65

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$2.8k	37.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$11.0k	47.2¢	Победа
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?	Yes	$364	11.0¢	Поражение
Iran strike on Qatar today?	No	$615	14.3¢	Поражение
Iran strike on Qatar today?	Yes	$508	39.5¢	Победа
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	$50	15.0¢	Победа
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	No	$5.4k	36.0¢	Победа
Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?	Yes	$80	4.0¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$155	29.5¢	Поражение
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	No	$3.9k	32.2¢	Победа
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	$404	14.9¢	Поражение
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?	No	$1.0k	43.0¢	Победа
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$650	54.2¢	Поражение
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?	Yes	$232	12.8¢	Поражение
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	$2.5k	48.7¢	Победа
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	$5.4k	53.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$2.2k	64.0¢	Победа
Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?	Yes	$297	35.9¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	$1.8k	35.9¢	Победа
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	No	$258	19.8¢	Поражение
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	$103	9.0¢	Победа
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?	Yes	$376	8.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$498	50.0¢	Победа
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	$518	49.0¢	Победа
US military action against Iran before July?	No	$930	43.7¢	Поражение
US military action against Iran before July?	Yes	$1.3k	39.0¢	Победа
US military action against Iran by Saturday?	Yes	$63	5.4¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	$36.8k	34.7¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$1.6k	51.4¢	Победа
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?	Yes	$2.1k	55.1¢	Победа
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$2.0k	17.0¢	Победа
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?	Yes	$60	36.7¢	Поражение
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	No	$8.6k	35.6¢	Победа
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	Yes	$77	56.3¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?	Yes	$154	14.0¢	Поражение
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	$11.1k	62.7¢	Победа
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	$155	5.0¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?	Yes	$389	15.5¢	Поражение
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?	No	$285	19.0¢	Поражение
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	$838	56.5¢	Победа
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	Yes	$200	18.4¢	Поражение
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	$2.3k	83.5¢	Победа
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?	No	$224	36.3¢	Победа
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?	Yes	$185	2.9¢	Поражение
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	$120	5.9¢	Поражение
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June  22?	Yes	$949	43.6¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	$571	25.1¢	Поражение
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?	Yes	$195	19.0¢	Поражение
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?	Yes	$100	18.9¢	Поражение
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?	No	$949	48.4¢	Победа

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2.8k @ 37.0¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Победа
Yes$11.0k @ 47.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Поражение
Yes$364 @ 11.0¢
Iran strike on Qatar today?Поражение
No$615 @ 14.3¢
Iran strike on Qatar today?Победа
Yes$508 @ 39.5¢
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Победа
No$50 @ 15.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Победа
No$5.4k @ 36.0¢
Will Trump meet with Khamenei before August?Поражение
Yes$80 @ 4.0¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$155 @ 29.5¢
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Победа
No$3.9k @ 32.2¢
Will the US strike Iran next?Поражение
Yes$404 @ 14.9¢
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Победа
No$1.0k @ 43.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$650 @ 54.2¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Поражение
Yes$232 @ 12.8¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Победа
Yes$2.5k @ 48.7¢
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Победа
Yes$5.4k @ 53.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Победа
Yes$2.2k @ 64.0¢
Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?Поражение
Yes$297 @ 35.9¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Победа
Yes$1.8k @ 35.9¢
Will Rodri join Barcelona?Поражение
No$258 @ 19.8¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Победа
Yes$103 @ 9.0¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Поражение
Yes$376 @ 8.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$498 @ 50.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Победа
Yes$518 @ 49.0¢
US military action against Iran before July?Поражение
No$930 @ 43.7¢
US military action against Iran before July?Победа
Yes$1.3k @ 39.0¢
US military action against Iran by Saturday?Победа
Yes$63 @ 5.4¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Поражение
No$36.8k @ 34.7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$1.6k @ 51.4¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Победа
Yes$2.1k @ 55.1¢
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Победа
Yes$2.0k @ 17.0¢
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Поражение
Yes$60 @ 36.7¢
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Победа
No$8.6k @ 35.6¢
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Поражение
Yes$77 @ 56.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Поражение
Yes$154 @ 14.0¢
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Победа
No$11.1k @ 62.7¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$155 @ 5.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?Поражение
Yes$389 @ 15.5¢
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Поражение
No$285 @ 19.0¢
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Победа
No$838 @ 56.5¢
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?Поражение
Yes$200 @ 18.4¢
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Победа
Yes$2.3k @ 83.5¢
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Победа
No$224 @ 36.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?Поражение
Yes$185 @ 2.9¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?Поражение
No$120 @ 5.9¢
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Sunday June  22?Поражение
Yes$949 @ 43.6¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Поражение
Yes$571 @ 25.1¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$195 @ 19.0¢
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 18.9¢
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?Победа
No$949 @ 48.4¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$475	22.9¢

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Политика
No$475 @ 22.9¢