← Умные деньги
0x2d81…fe57
ПрофиЭдж
+4.3pp
ROI
+17%
Доля побед
53% @ 49.0¢
Brier
0.181
Сделок
3127
Ср. размер
$21
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 54% (219/403) | +32% | 403 |
| Политика | 51% (47/93) | -6% | 93 |
| Технологии | 64% (23/36) | +3% | 36 |
| Геополитика | 46% (6/13) | -22% | 13 |
| Культура | 75% (9/12) | +21% | 12 |
| Спорт | 43% (3/7) | -76% | 7 |
| Наука | 17% (1/6) | -17% | 6 |
| Экономика | 80% (4/5) | +37% | 5 |
| Крипто | 75% (3/4) | +48% | 4 |
- Other403 ставки
- Попадания
- 54% (219/403)
- ROI
- +32%
- Политика93 ставки
- Попадания
- 51% (47/93)
- ROI
- -6%
- Технологии36 ставки
- Попадания
- 64% (23/36)
- ROI
- +3%
- Геополитика13 ставки
- Попадания
- 46% (6/13)
- ROI
- -22%
- Культура12 ставки
- Попадания
- 75% (9/12)
- ROI
- +21%
- Спорт7 ставки
- Попадания
- 43% (3/7)
- ROI
- -76%
- Наука6 ставки
- Попадания
- 17% (1/6)
- ROI
- -17%
- Экономика5 ставки
- Попадания
- 80% (4/5)
- ROI
- +37%
- Крипто4 ставки
- Попадания
- 75% (3/4)
- ROI
- +48%
История результатов
54% попаданий · 315/579- Yes$109 @ 68.6¢
- No$161 @ 41.8¢
- Yes$605 @ 43.9¢
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?ПоражениеNo$222 @ 65.5¢
- Yes$19 @ 73.9¢
- No$3 @ 6.6¢
- Yes$7 @ 89.7¢
- No$5 @ 15.4¢
- No$12 @ 71.0¢
- Yes$272 @ 87.0¢
- No$26 @ 56.5¢
- Yes$11 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$1.1k @ 59.9¢
- Yes$24 @ 83.0¢
- Yes$11 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$106 @ 62.0¢
- No$6 @ 3.8¢
- Yes$211 @ 12.3¢
- Yes$126 @ 47.4¢
- Yes$166 @ 20.8¢
- No$15 @ 77.0¢
- No$37 @ 47.7¢
- Yes$483 @ 40.6¢
- No$46 @ 85.1¢
- Yes$122 @ 85.0¢
- No$37 @ 16.9¢
- Yes$77 @ 9.5¢
- No$357 @ 82.9¢
- Yes$16 @ 10.9¢
- Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?ПоражениеNo$5 @ 88.0¢
- Yes$44 @ 19.7¢
- Yes$142 @ 86.8¢
- Yes$5 @ 4.3¢
- No$84 @ 86.0¢
- No$38 @ 70.9¢
- Yes$126 @ 82.5¢
- No$572 @ 62.5¢
- Yes$36 @ 85.4¢
- No$52 @ 48.3¢
- Yes$113 @ 34.0¢
- Yes$12 @ 74.0¢
- No$22 @ 18.0¢
- Yes$31 @ 72.0¢
- Yes$6 @ 27.5¢
- No$4 @ 39.7¢
- Yes$38 @ 55.4¢
- No$15 @ 83.8¢
- Yes$66 @ 61.5¢
- Yes$56 @ 41.7¢
- No$11 @ 84.0¢
Недавние сделки
в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировкиЗагрузка недавних сделок…
Текущие позиции
- Yes$1.0k @ 64.5¢
- Yes$783 @ 77.3¢
- No$562 @ 75.5¢
- Yes$459 @ 53.5¢
- Yes$421 @ 70.1¢
- No$377 @ 78.5¢
- No$343 @ 74.0¢
- Yes$304 @ 55.0¢
- No$223 @ 93.0¢
- US recession by end of 2026?ЭкономикаNo$202 @ 82.5¢
- No$184 @ 58.7¢
- Yes$184 @ 72.5¢
- No$179 @ 92.2¢
- Yes$167 @ 30.2¢
- Yes$153 @ 68.5¢
- Yes$113 @ 63.1¢
- Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?ТехнологииYes$101 @ 70.5¢
- No$96 @ 90.6¢
- Yes$93 @ 71.8¢
- Yes$93 @ 32.6¢
- No$84 @ 67.6¢
- Yes$64 @ 58.6¢
- No$62 @ 73.5¢
- No$58 @ 22.9¢
- Yes$40 @ 73.5¢
- Yes$29 @ 38.5¢
- No$27 @ 75.5¢
- Yes$22 @ 61.5¢
- Yes$20 @ 47.3¢
- Yes$18 @ 84.9¢