← Умные деньги
0x2b2d…1031
ПрибыльныйЭдж
+35.5pp
ROI
+130%
Доля побед
61% @ 25.3¢
Brier
0.238
Сделок
902
Ср. размер
$331
Динамика ROI
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Политика | 25% (2/8) | +132% | 8 |
| Экономика | 100% (1/1) | +277% | 1 |
- Политика8 ставки
- Попадания
- 25% (2/8)
- ROI
- +132%
- Экономика1 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +277%
История результатов
33% попаданий · 3/9| Рынок | Исход | Размер | Вход | Итог |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | $777 | 0.5¢ | Поражение |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | $5.7k | 0.8¢ | Поражение |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | $340 | 26.5¢ | Победа |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | Yes | $94 | 3.7¢ | Поражение |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | $245.5k | 36.3¢ | Победа |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | No | $24.5k | 25.2¢ | Поражение |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | $8.0k | 58.8¢ | Победа |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? | Yes | $341 | 30.5¢ | Поражение |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | $13.0k | 24.4¢ | Поражение |
- Yes$777 @ 0.5¢
- Yes$5.7k @ 0.8¢
- Yes$340 @ 26.5¢
- Yes$94 @ 3.7¢
- Yes$245.5k @ 36.3¢
- No$24.5k @ 25.2¢
- No$8.0k @ 58.8¢
- Yes$341 @ 30.5¢
- Yes$13.0k @ 24.4¢
Недавние сделки
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Текущие позиции
| Рынок | Сфера | Исход | Размер | Вход |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Политика | Yes | $225.9k | 11.0¢ |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Политика | No | $212.9k | 7.4¢ |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Политика | Yes | $9.5k | 0.3¢ |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Экономика | No | $2.9k | 97.4¢ |
- Yes$225.9k @ 11.0¢
- No$212.9k @ 7.4¢
- Yes$9.5k @ 0.3¢
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?ЭкономикаNo$2.9k @ 97.4¢