0x277e…7d32

Профи

Эдж

+16.3pp

ROI

+19%

Доля побед

83% @ 66.9¢

Brier

0.118

Сделок

311

Ср. размер

$118

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	76% (16/21)	+20%	21
Геополитика	75% (3/4)	+17%	4
Технологии	33% (1/3)	-46%	3
Политика	100% (3/3)	+29%	3
Крипто	100% (3/3)	+33%	3
Спорт	100% (1/1)	+29%	1

Other21 ставки
Попадания
76% (16/21)
ROI
+20%
Геополитика4 ставки
Попадания
75% (3/4)
ROI
+17%
Технологии3 ставки
Попадания
33% (1/3)
ROI
-46%
Политика3 ставки
Попадания
100% (3/3)
ROI
+29%
Крипто3 ставки
Попадания
100% (3/3)
ROI
+33%
Спорт1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+29%

История результатов

77% попаданий · 27/35

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$840	84.0¢	Победа
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	$445	89.0¢	Победа
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	$839	83.3¢	Победа
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$420	84.0¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	No	$651	72.3¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$380	38.0¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$3.9k	77.8¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?	No	$425	85.0¢	Победа
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$405	36.8¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$747	59.8¢	Победа
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?	Yes	$34	8.5¢	Поражение
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	$800	80.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	$1.5k	72.8¢	Победа
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$2.3k	77.3¢	Победа
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?	Yes	$305	60.9¢	Победа
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$165	82.5¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$350	70.0¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$265	74.4¢	Победа
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	$907	82.4¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$5.8k	77.2¢	Победа
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	Yes	$997	76.8¢	Победа
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$516	51.6¢	Победа
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$2.8k	78.9¢	Победа
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	$420	84.0¢	Победа
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	$350	35.0¢	Поражение
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	$460	18.4¢	Поражение
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	Yes	$679	42.4¢	Поражение
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$399	39.9¢	Поражение
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$117	29.3¢	Поражение
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	$4.1k	86.6¢	Победа
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	$293	58.6¢	Победа
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	$870	87.0¢	Победа
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$90	89.6¢	Победа
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	76.4¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$1.3k	86.3¢	Победа

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$840 @ 84.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Победа
No$445 @ 89.0¢
Will Solana reach $100 in April?Победа
No$839 @ 83.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$420 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Победа
No$651 @ 72.3¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$380 @ 38.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Победа
No$3.9k @ 77.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Победа
No$425 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Победа
Yes$405 @ 36.8¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Победа
Yes$747 @ 59.8¢
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Поражение
Yes$34 @ 8.5¢
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Поражение
Yes$800 @ 80.0¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Победа
No$1.5k @ 72.8¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Победа
Yes$2.3k @ 77.3¢
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Победа
Yes$305 @ 60.9¢
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Победа
Yes$165 @ 82.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$350 @ 70.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$265 @ 74.4¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Победа
Yes$907 @ 82.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Победа
No$5.8k @ 77.2¢
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?Победа
Yes$997 @ 76.8¢
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Победа
Yes$516 @ 51.6¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Победа
Yes$2.8k @ 78.9¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Победа
No$420 @ 84.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Поражение
Yes$350 @ 35.0¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Поражение
Yes$460 @ 18.4¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Поражение
Yes$679 @ 42.4¢
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Поражение
Yes$399 @ 39.9¢
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Поражение
Yes$117 @ 29.3¢
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Победа
Yes$4.1k @ 86.6¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Победа
No$293 @ 58.6¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Победа
No$870 @ 87.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Победа
Yes$90 @ 89.6¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$1.9k @ 76.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Победа
No$1.3k @ 86.3¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$22.9k	69.3¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Экономика	Yes	$11.5k	93.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Геополитика	No	$9.2k	83.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$5.9k	74.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Политика	Yes	$5.2k	64.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Политика	No	$3.7k	74.8¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$3.7k	73.0¢
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$3.3k	82.7¢
Kash Patel out by June 30?	Политика	No	$1.9k	95.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$1.8k	23.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$1.7k	34.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?	Политика	Yes	$1.4k	69.9¢
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$1.1k	39.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Геополитика	No	$807	80.7¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?	Технологии	No	$767	80.1¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$706	70.6¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$550	55.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$395	19.7¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$320	32.0¢
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$290	58.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Наука	Yes	$98	9.8¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$22.9k @ 69.3¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Экономика
Yes$11.5k @ 93.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Геополитика
No$9.2k @ 83.6¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$5.9k @ 74.1¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Политика
Yes$5.2k @ 64.9¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Политика
No$3.7k @ 74.8¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$3.7k @ 73.0¢
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$3.3k @ 82.7¢
Kash Patel out by June 30?Политика
No$1.9k @ 95.0¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$1.8k @ 23.1¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$1.7k @ 34.0¢
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Политика
Yes$1.4k @ 69.9¢
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$1.1k @ 39.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Геополитика
No$807 @ 80.7¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?Технологии
No$767 @ 80.1¢
Kash Patel out by December 31?Политика
Yes$706 @ 70.6¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$550 @ 55.0¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Политика
Yes$395 @ 19.7¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Политика
Yes$320 @ 32.0¢
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?Политика
Yes$290 @ 58.0¢
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Наука
Yes$98 @ 9.8¢