0x277e…7d32

Профи

Эдж

+20.6pp

ROI

+25%

Доля побед

86% @ 65.7¢

Brier

0.116

Сделок

175

Ср. размер

$154

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	77% (17/22)	+19%	22
Геополитика	75% (3/4)	+17%	4
Технологии	33% (1/3)	-46%	3
Политика	100% (3/3)	+29%	3
Крипто	100% (3/3)	+33%	3
Спорт	100% (1/1)	+29%	1

Other22 ставки
Попадания
77% (17/22)
ROI
+19%
Геополитика4 ставки
Попадания
75% (3/4)
ROI
+17%
Технологии3 ставки
Попадания
33% (1/3)
ROI
-46%
Политика3 ставки
Попадания
100% (3/3)
ROI
+29%
Крипто3 ставки
Попадания
100% (3/3)
ROI
+33%
Спорт1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+29%

История результатов

78% попаданий · 28/36

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	$840	84.0¢	Победа
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	$445	89.0¢	Победа
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	$839	83.3¢	Победа
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	$420	84.0¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?	No	$651	72.3¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$380	38.0¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$3.9k	77.8¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?	No	$425	85.0¢	Победа
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$363	40.3¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	$747	59.8¢	Победа
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?	Yes	$34	8.5¢	Поражение
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	$1.5k	72.8¢	Победа
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	$2.3k	77.3¢	Победа
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?	Yes	$305	60.9¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$265	74.4¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	$5.8k	77.2¢	Победа
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$516	51.6¢	Победа
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	$2.8k	78.9¢	Победа
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	$420	84.0¢	Победа
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	$350	35.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	$399	39.9¢	Поражение
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$117	29.3¢	Поражение
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	$211	70.3¢	Победа
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	$870	87.0¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	$1.3k	86.3¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?	No	$850	85.0¢	Победа
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	$165	82.5¢	Победа
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	$800	80.0¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$350	70.0¢	Победа
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	Yes	$907	82.4¢	Победа
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	Yes	$997	76.8¢	Победа
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	Yes	$460	18.4¢	Поражение
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?	Yes	$679	42.4¢	Поражение
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	$4.1k	86.6¢	Победа
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	$90	89.6¢	Победа
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	76.4¢	Победа

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$840 @ 84.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Победа
No$445 @ 89.0¢
Will Solana reach $100 in April?Победа
No$839 @ 83.3¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$420 @ 84.0¢
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?Победа
No$651 @ 72.3¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$380 @ 38.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Победа
No$3.9k @ 77.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Победа
No$425 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Победа
Yes$363 @ 40.3¢
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Победа
Yes$747 @ 59.8¢
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Поражение
Yes$34 @ 8.5¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Победа
No$1.5k @ 72.8¢
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Победа
Yes$2.3k @ 77.3¢
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Победа
Yes$305 @ 60.9¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$265 @ 74.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Победа
No$5.8k @ 77.2¢
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Победа
Yes$516 @ 51.6¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Победа
Yes$2.8k @ 78.9¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Победа
No$420 @ 84.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Поражение
Yes$350 @ 35.0¢
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Поражение
Yes$399 @ 39.9¢
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Поражение
Yes$117 @ 29.3¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Победа
No$211 @ 70.3¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Победа
No$870 @ 87.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Победа
No$1.3k @ 86.3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?Победа
No$850 @ 85.0¢
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Победа
Yes$165 @ 82.5¢
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Поражение
Yes$800 @ 80.0¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$350 @ 70.0¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Победа
Yes$907 @ 82.4¢
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?Победа
Yes$997 @ 76.8¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Поражение
Yes$460 @ 18.4¢
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Поражение
Yes$679 @ 42.4¢
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Победа
Yes$4.1k @ 86.6¢
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Победа
Yes$90 @ 89.6¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$1.9k @ 76.4¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$21.0k	70.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	—	No	$11.5k	88.4¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Экономика	Yes	$9.1k	65.1¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$4.4k	72.8¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	—	No	$4.0k	92.4¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Экономика	Yes	$3.6k	88.8¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	—	Yes	$3.5k	70.5¢
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$3.3k	81.9¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$1.8k	23.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$1.7k	83.0¢
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	—	Yes	$1.6k	81.5¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	—	Yes	$1.2k	59.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$1.1k	55.8¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Геополитика	Yes	$660	33.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$342	33.8¢

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$21.0k @ 70.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?—
No$11.5k @ 88.4¢
Fed rate hike in 2026?Экономика
Yes$9.1k @ 65.1¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$4.4k @ 72.8¢
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?—
No$4.0k @ 92.4¢
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Экономика
Yes$3.6k @ 88.8¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?—
Yes$3.5k @ 70.5¢
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$3.3k @ 81.9¢
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$1.8k @ 23.1¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$1.7k @ 83.0¢
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?—
Yes$1.6k @ 81.5¢
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?—
Yes$1.2k @ 59.0¢
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Политика
Yes$1.1k @ 55.8¢
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Геополитика
Yes$660 @ 33.0¢
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Политика
Yes$342 @ 33.8¢