0x274e…648c

Профи

Эдж

+12.9pp

ROI

+47%

Доля побед

38% @ 24.9¢

Brier

0.169

Сделок

1247

Ср. размер

$29

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	38% (46/120)	+44%	120
Политика	57% (25/44)	+58%	44
Экономика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Other120 ставки
Попадания
38% (46/120)
ROI
+44%
Политика44 ставки
Попадания
57% (25/44)
ROI
+58%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

43% попаданий · 71/165

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	No	$36	6.0¢	Поражение
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	$161	45.0¢	Поражение
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-11?	No	$27	81.0¢	Победа
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?	Yes	$2	40.0¢	Поражение
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$73	12.1¢	Победа
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?	Yes	$864	36.3¢	Победа
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	No	$34	7.0¢	Поражение
Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$170	70.4¢	Победа
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	No	$274	21.2¢	Поражение
Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	Yes	$642	43.1¢	Поражение
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	$154	70.0¢	Победа
Will Steve Hilton win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?	Yes	$16	13.5¢	Поражение
Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	$182	71.0¢	Поражение
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	Yes	$101	86.7¢	Победа
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	$6	3.0¢	Поражение
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	$6	1.0¢	Поражение
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-11?	Yes	$52	83.0¢	Победа
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?	Yes	$72	84.1¢	Победа
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?	No	$4	36.6¢	Поражение
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?	Yes	$5	4.6¢	Поражение
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?	No	$156	75.0¢	Поражение
North Korea missile test by August 31?	No	$80	80.0¢	Поражение
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$601	37.5¢	Поражение
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	No	$2	15.5¢	Победа
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?	Yes	$132	71.5¢	Поражение
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. Sonego	Nakashima	$3	80.5¢	Поражение
Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?	Yes	$13	13.0¢	Поражение
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?	Yes	$65	50.0¢	Победа
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	No	$391	75.6¢	Победа
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$512	32.0¢	Поражение
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	$44	3.6¢	Поражение
Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	No	$803	67.2¢	Победа
Will Carol Obando-Derstine be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?	Yes	$4	2.2¢	Поражение
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel	Crawford	$63	85.0¢	Победа
Will Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?	Yes	$7	3.0¢	Поражение
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	No	$414	89.7¢	Победа
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	Yes	$151	9.7¢	Поражение
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	Yes	$70	35.0¢	Поражение
Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?	No	$230	45.0¢	Победа
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?	No	$189	63.0¢	Победа
Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?	Yes	$4	5.0¢	Поражение
Liverpool wins the Premier League?	Yes	$71	76.1¢	Победа
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	$166	42.4¢	Победа
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?	No	$12	11.8¢	Поражение
French Open: Musetti vs. Alcaraz	Alcaraz	$90	76.0¢	Победа
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	$3	3.3¢	Поражение
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	$280	11.0¢	Поражение
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 8?	Yes	$3	4.0¢	Поражение
Will Roy Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?	Yes	$1	83.0¢	Победа
Will Ché Ahn advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	$395	87.9¢	Победа

Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Поражение
No$36 @ 6.0¢
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Поражение
No$161 @ 45.0¢
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-11?Победа
No$27 @ 81.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 40.0¢
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Победа
Yes$73 @ 12.1¢
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?Победа
Yes$864 @ 36.3¢
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?Поражение
No$34 @ 7.0¢
Will Mike Pieciak win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?Победа
No$170 @ 70.4¢
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?Поражение
No$274 @ 21.2¢
Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?Поражение
Yes$642 @ 43.1¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Победа
Yes$154 @ 70.0¢
Will Steve Hilton win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election?Поражение
Yes$16 @ 13.5¢
Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Поражение
Yes$182 @ 71.0¢
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?Победа
Yes$101 @ 86.7¢
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 3.0¢
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?Поражение
Yes$6 @ 1.0¢
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-11?Победа
Yes$52 @ 83.0¢
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Победа
Yes$72 @ 84.1¢
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?Поражение
No$4 @ 36.6¢
Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 4.6¢
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?Поражение
No$156 @ 75.0¢
North Korea missile test by August 31?Поражение
No$80 @ 80.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
No$601 @ 37.5¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Победа
No$2 @ 15.5¢
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Поражение
Yes$132 @ 71.5¢
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. SonegoПоражение
Nakashima$3 @ 80.5¢
Will Israel declare war on Iran by Friday?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 13.0¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?Победа
Yes$65 @ 50.0¢
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Победа
No$391 @ 75.6¢
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Поражение
Yes$512 @ 32.0¢
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Поражение
Yes$44 @ 3.6¢
Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?Победа
No$803 @ 67.2¢
Will Carol Obando-Derstine be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 2.2¢
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel Победа
Crawford$63 @ 85.0¢
Will Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 3.0¢
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?Победа
No$414 @ 89.7¢
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?Поражение
Yes$151 @ 9.7¢
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?Поражение
Yes$70 @ 35.0¢
Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?Победа
No$230 @ 45.0¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Победа
No$189 @ 63.0¢
Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 5.0¢
Liverpool wins the Premier League?Победа
Yes$71 @ 76.1¢
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Победа
No$166 @ 42.4¢
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Поражение
No$12 @ 11.8¢
French Open: Musetti vs. AlcarazПобеда
Alcaraz$90 @ 76.0¢
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 3.3¢
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Поражение
No$280 @ 11.0¢
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 8?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 4.0¢
Will Roy Cooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?Победа
Yes$1 @ 83.0¢
Will Ché Ahn advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Победа
No$395 @ 87.9¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Политика	No	$6.1k	50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Политика	Yes	$6.1k	50.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Политика	No	$2.2k	62.1¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more?	Политика	No	$507	91.4¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-08 House seat?	Политика	Yes	$446	96.2¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?	Политика	Yes	$188	82.7¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 45% or more?	Политика	No	$185	92.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the VT-AL House seat?	Политика	Yes	$175	97.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 25%-30%?	Политика	No	$171	81.2¢
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?	Политика	No	$136	70.3¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 3% or more?	Политика	No	$80	80.6¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 21% or more?	Политика	No	$49	81.0¢
Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election?	Политика	Yes	$33	22.3¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election?	Политика	No	$33	94.0¢
Will Democrats win the Ohio Governor election and Republicans win the Ohio Senate election?	Политика	Yes	$18	12.1¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election?	Политика	Yes	$14	37.4¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 0%-3%?	Политика	Yes	$0	0.6¢

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Политика
No$6.1k @ 50.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Политика
Yes$6.1k @ 50.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Политика
No$2.2k @ 62.1¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more?Политика
No$507 @ 91.4¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-08 House seat?Политика
Yes$446 @ 96.2¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?Политика
Yes$188 @ 82.7¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 45% or more?Политика
No$185 @ 92.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the VT-AL House seat?Политика
Yes$175 @ 97.0¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 25%-30%?Политика
No$171 @ 81.2¢
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?Политика
No$136 @ 70.3¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 3% or more?Политика
No$80 @ 80.6¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 21% or more?Политика
No$49 @ 81.0¢
Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election?Политика
Yes$33 @ 22.3¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election?Политика
No$33 @ 94.0¢
Will Democrats win the Ohio Governor election and Republicans win the Ohio Senate election?Политика
Yes$18 @ 12.1¢
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election?Политика
Yes$14 @ 37.4¢
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 0%-3%?Политика
Yes$0 @ 0.6¢