0x246b…1196

Name: Track record of Polymarket wallet 0x246b6f2cf1eb3c74ab82b5d7288ef49baeed1196
Creator: WhaleGraph
License: https://whalegraph.com/terms

Профи

Эдж

+15.8pp

ROI

+40%

Доля побед

68% @ 52.5¢

Brier

0.151

Сделок

1683

Ср. размер

$111

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	69% (84/121)	+12%	121
Политика	85% (11/13)	+85%	13
Геополитика	71% (5/7)	+14%	7
Технологии	100% (1/1)	+20%	1
Крипто	100% (1/1)	+122%	1

Other121 ставки
Попадания
69% (84/121)
ROI
+12%
Политика13 ставки
Попадания
85% (11/13)
ROI
+85%
Геополитика7 ставки
Попадания
71% (5/7)
ROI
+14%
Технологии1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%
Крипто1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+122%

История результатов

71% попаданий · 102/143

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner	KT Rolster	$154	38.5¢	Победа
GPT ads by December 31?	No	$44	87.0¢	Победа
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?	Yes	$2	24.9¢	Поражение
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Makhachev	$111	74.0¢	Победа
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?	No	$2.2k	73.1¢	Победа
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	$384	64.0¢	Победа
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	No	$1.7k	87.0¢	Победа
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?	No	$145	88.0¢	Победа
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	$33	33.3¢	Поражение
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner	T1	$196	65.4¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	$184	71.0¢	Победа
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$196	71.0¢	Победа
Will Player 99 win Beast Games: Season 2?	Yes	$1	0.3¢	Поражение
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	$594	32.6¢	Победа
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	$100	68.0¢	Победа
Will Player 195 win Beast Games: Season 2?	Yes	$22	1.9¢	Поражение
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?	Yes	$770	85.2¢	Победа
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	No	$178	89.1¢	Победа
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)	Gen.G	$254	84.7¢	Поражение
James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	$3.2k	75.4¢	Победа
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)	T1	$338	45.7¢	Победа
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	$6.3k	78.7¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	$17.4k	52.4¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	$801	50.4¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.8k	45.1¢	Победа
Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by April 30?	No	$1.3k	82.2¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	No	$1.6k	82.4¢	Победа
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?	Yes	$1.4k	57.4¢	Поражение
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?	No	$67	81.0¢	Поражение
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?	Yes	$526	52.6¢	Поражение
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?	No	$176	88.1¢	Победа
Government shutdown on Saturday?	No	$163	81.7¢	Победа
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	No	$869	74.0¢	Поражение
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	Yes	$7.0k	62.6¢	Победа
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	$3	62.0¢	Поражение
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?	Yes	$256	53.9¢	Победа
James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	$740	69.0¢	Поражение
James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	$1.9k	74.2¢	Победа
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?	Yes	$1.0k	85.6¢	Победа
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	T1	$71	71.0¢	Победа
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?	No	$515	79.9¢	Победа
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?	No	$1.3k	82.7¢	Победа
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	$5.7k	70.4¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	$513	61.0¢	Победа
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	$100	30.0¢	Поражение
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	$160	77.0¢	Победа
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?	No change	$83	89.0¢	Победа
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	No	$3.4k	82.0¢	Победа
Rachel Reeves out as Chancellor of the Exchequer by December 31?	No	$210	83.7¢	Победа
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$740	74.0¢	Победа

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 WinnerПобеда
KT Rolster$154 @ 38.5¢
GPT ads by December 31?Победа
No$44 @ 87.0¢
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 24.9¢
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Победа
Makhachev$111 @ 74.0¢
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Победа
No$2.2k @ 73.1¢
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Победа
No$384 @ 64.0¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Победа
No$1.7k @ 87.0¢
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?Победа
No$145 @ 88.0¢
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Поражение
No$33 @ 33.3¢
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerПоражение
T1$196 @ 65.4¢
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Победа
No$184 @ 71.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Победа
No$196 @ 71.0¢
Will Player 99 win Beast Games: Season 2?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.3¢
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Победа
Yes$594 @ 32.6¢
Seahawks vs. PatriotsПобеда
Seahawks$100 @ 68.0¢
Will Player 195 win Beast Games: Season 2?Поражение
Yes$22 @ 1.9¢
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?Победа
Yes$770 @ 85.2¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Победа
No$178 @ 89.1¢
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)Поражение
Gen.G$254 @ 84.7¢
James Comey arrested by May 15?Победа
Yes$3.2k @ 75.4¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)Победа
T1$338 @ 45.7¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Победа
No$6.3k @ 78.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Победа
No$17.4k @ 52.4¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Поражение
Yes$801 @ 50.4¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$1.8k @ 45.1¢
Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by April 30?Победа
No$1.3k @ 82.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Победа
No$1.6k @ 82.4¢
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?Поражение
Yes$1.4k @ 57.4¢
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Поражение
No$67 @ 81.0¢
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Поражение
Yes$526 @ 52.6¢
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Победа
No$176 @ 88.1¢
Government shutdown on Saturday?Победа
No$163 @ 81.7¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Поражение
No$869 @ 74.0¢
US strikes Iraq by February 28?Победа
Yes$7.0k @ 62.6¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 62.0¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Победа
Yes$256 @ 53.9¢
James Comey arrested by April 29?Поражение
No$740 @ 69.0¢
James Comey arrested by April 29?Победа
Yes$1.9k @ 74.2¢
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Победа
Yes$1.0k @ 85.6¢
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerПобеда
T1$71 @ 71.0¢
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?Победа
No$515 @ 79.9¢
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?Победа
No$1.3k @ 82.7¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Победа
No$5.7k @ 70.4¢
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Победа
Yes$513 @ 61.0¢
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Поражение
No$100 @ 30.0¢
Will Arco be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?Победа
Yes$160 @ 77.0¢
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?Победа
No change$83 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Победа
No$3.4k @ 82.0¢
Rachel Reeves out as Chancellor of the Exchequer by December 31?Победа
No$210 @ 83.7¢
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Победа
No$740 @ 74.0¢

Недавние сделки

в реальном времени с Polymarket · нажмите на столбец для сортировки

Загрузка недавних сделок…