0x2200…0f2d

Профи

Эдж

+5.2pp

ROI

+14%

Доля побед

28% @ 23.1¢

Brier

0.157

Сделок

5493

Ср. размер

$123

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	29% (185/636)	+17%	636
Политика	23% (43/189)	+17%	189
Спорт	42% (10/24)	+11%	24
Геополитика	6% (1/16)	-73%	16
Технологии	60% (6/10)	+47%	10
Крипто	50% (2/4)	+86%	4
Бизнес	50% (1/2)	-82%	2
Культура	100% (1/1)	+274%	1

Other636 ставки
Попадания
29% (185/636)
ROI
+17%
Политика189 ставки
Попадания
23% (43/189)
ROI
+17%
Спорт24 ставки
Попадания
42% (10/24)
ROI
+11%
Геополитика16 ставки
Попадания
6% (1/16)
ROI
-73%
Технологии10 ставки
Попадания
60% (6/10)
ROI
+47%
Крипто4 ставки
Попадания
50% (2/4)
ROI
+86%
Бизнес2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
-82%
Культура1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+274%

История результатов

28% попаданий · 249/882

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	Yes	$600	26.8¢	Победа
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	$102	5.1¢	Поражение
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	$180	1.5¢	Поражение
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	$180	1.5¢	Поражение
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	$180	1.5¢	Поражение
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Joe Wilson be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	$180	1.5¢	Поражение
Will Scott Bessent be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Sheri Biggs be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will William Timmons be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	$180	1.5¢	Поражение
Will Paul Dans be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	$180	1.5¢	Поражение
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Alan Wilson be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will André Bauer be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	$0	0.0¢	Поражение
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	$22	1.0¢	Поражение
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?	Yes	$7	6.6¢	Поражение
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	$2.4k	22.3¢	Поражение
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?	Yes	$7	0.3¢	Поражение
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in November?	Yes	$3	0.9¢	Поражение
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?	No	$430	43.7¢	Поражение
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	$2	0.7¢	Поражение
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?	Yes	$8	3.3¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	Yes	$461	11.9¢	Поражение
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?	Yes	$11	2.8¢	Поражение
Epstein client list released in 2025?	Yes	$142	17.4¢	Поражение
Chubb and AIG merger announced by January 31?	Yes	$2	1.7¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$77	11.0¢	Поражение

Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?Победа
Yes$600 @ 26.8¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerПоражение
T1$102 @ 5.1¢
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Поражение
Yes$180 @ 1.5¢
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Поражение
Yes$180 @ 1.5¢
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Nancy Mace be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Поражение
Yes$180 @ 1.5¢
Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Joe Wilson be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Поражение
Yes$180 @ 1.5¢
Will Scott Bessent be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Mark Lynch be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Sheri Biggs be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will William Timmons be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Поражение
Yes$180 @ 1.5¢
Will Paul Dans be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Поражение
Yes$180 @ 1.5¢
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Alan Wilson be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will André Bauer be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 0.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Поражение
Yes$22 @ 1.0¢
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 6.6¢
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Поражение
Yes$2.4k @ 22.3¢
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 0.3¢
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in November?Поражение
Yes$3 @ 0.9¢
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Поражение
No$430 @ 43.7¢
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 0.7¢
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 3.3¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Поражение
Yes$461 @ 11.9¢
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?Поражение
Yes$11 @ 2.8¢
Epstein client list released in 2025?Поражение
Yes$142 @ 17.4¢
Chubb and AIG merger announced by January 31?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 1.7¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Поражение
Yes$77 @ 11.0¢

Недавние сделки

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Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Политика	No	$11.0k	37.8¢
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs	—	Team Liquid	$3.5k	34.7¢
Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?	—	Yes	$3.0k	14.3¢
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs	—	Iron Wing	$2.8k	41.5¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$2.3k	34.3¢
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	—	Yes	$2.1k	44.8¢
49ers vs. Raiders	—	Raiders	$2.0k	50.5¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	—	No	$2.0k	37.9¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Политика	Yes	$1.5k	11.0¢
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	Политика	No	$1.4k	8.1¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs	—	Legacy	$1.3k	23.0¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.2k	19.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Политика	No	$1.0k	12.7¢
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Политика	Yes	$906	30.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$776	11.0¢
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina	—	Elena Rybakina	$720	18.0¢
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	Политика	No	$647	5.8¢
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Политика	No	$611	11.4¢
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?	Культура	Yes	$600	26.8¢
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Политика	No	$565	5.1¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	—	No	$547	3.0¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Политика	Yes	$541	28.9¢
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)	—	Nursulton Ruziboev	$525	35.0¢
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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$413	15.0¢
Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	—	No	$380	4.5¢
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$300	10.0¢

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Политика
No$11.0k @ 37.8¢
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Политика
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Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Политика
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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs—
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Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?—
Yes$3.0k @ 14.3¢
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs—
Iron Wing$2.8k @ 41.5¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$2.3k @ 34.3¢
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Yes$2.1k @ 44.8¢
49ers vs. Raiders—
Raiders$2.0k @ 50.5¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?—
No$2.0k @ 37.9¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Политика
Yes$1.5k @ 11.0¢
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?Политика
No$1.4k @ 8.1¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs—
Legacy$1.3k @ 23.0¢
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$1.2k @ 19.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Политика
No$1.0k @ 12.7¢
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Политика
Yes$906 @ 30.2¢
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$776 @ 11.0¢
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina—
Elena Rybakina$720 @ 18.0¢
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Политика
No$647 @ 5.8¢
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No$611 @ 11.4¢
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?Культура
Yes$600 @ 26.8¢
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Политика
No$565 @ 5.1¢
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?—
No$547 @ 3.0¢
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Политика
Yes$541 @ 28.9¢
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card)—
Nursulton Ruziboev$525 @ 35.0¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves—
Los Angeles Dodgers$500 @ 10.0¢
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Yes$494 @ 5.4¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Политика
Yes$413 @ 15.0¢
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No$380 @ 4.5¢
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$300 @ 10.0¢