0x2140…5790

Прибыльный

Эдж

-6.8pp

ROI

+11%

Доля побед

43% @ 49.3¢

Brier

0.222

Сделок

881

Ср. размер

$109

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	51% (102/201)	+23%	201
Политика	47% (18/38)	-16%	38
Спорт	44% (4/9)	+2%	9
Экономика	50% (2/4)	-45%	4
Геополитика	0% (0/3)	-100%	3
Технологии	0% (0/1)	-100%	1
Культура	100% (1/1)	+49%	1

Other201 ставки
Попадания
51% (102/201)
ROI
+23%
Политика38 ставки
Попадания
47% (18/38)
ROI
-16%
Спорт9 ставки
Попадания
44% (4/9)
ROI
+2%
Экономика4 ставки
Попадания
50% (2/4)
ROI
-45%
Геополитика3 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%
Технологии1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%
Культура1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+49%

История результатов

49% попаданий · 127/257

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	$241	21.0¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?	No	$144	89.0¢	Победа
TikTok sale announced by September 30?	No	$73	73.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	No	$1.3k	60.0¢	Победа
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?	Yes	$100	31.5¢	Поражение
Will Tesla dip to $383 in February?	Yes	$746	39.0¢	Поражение
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?	No	$173	72.5¢	Победа
US government shutdown by October 1?	No	$33	33.0¢	Поражение
US government shutdown by October 1?	Yes	$101	67.0¢	Победа
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	$500	24.7¢	Победа
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?	No	$500	11.0¢	Поражение
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?	Yes	$767	73.1¢	Поражение
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	Yes	$514	42.0¢	Победа
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	$247	23.2¢	Поражение
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?	No	$124	34.0¢	Победа
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	$214	18.9¢	Поражение
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$307	64.0¢	Поражение
Will Angus King vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?	Yes	$80	80.0¢	Поражение
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?	No	$142	71.0¢	Поражение
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?	Yes	$54	27.0¢	Победа
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?	Yes	$201	76.0¢	Победа
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?	No	$125	62.5¢	Поражение
Will Meta dip to $640 in February?	Yes	$1.2k	47.0¢	Победа
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	$325	65.0¢	Победа
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	$198	50.9¢	Поражение
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	$1.2k	39.3¢	Поражение
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	Yes	$605	54.0¢	Поражение
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?	Yes	$71	67.0¢	Победа
Will Netanyahu's UN speech be less than 15 minutes long?	Yes	$2	2.0¢	Поражение
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	$1.2k	44.5¢	Поражение
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	$919	71.0¢	Победа
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50.5 and 51.0 million views on day 6?	No	$990	56.0¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	$103	86.0¢	Победа
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?	No	$38	19.0¢	Поражение
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?	Yes	$100	75.0¢	Победа
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?	No	$300	87.3¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	Yes	$422	38.0¢	Поражение
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?	No	$170	85.0¢	Поражение
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?	No	$560	80.4¢	Победа
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	$2.5k	61.0¢	Победа
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	$324	41.9¢	Поражение
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?	No	$187	86.0¢	Победа
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?	No	$1.1k	72.0¢	Победа
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?	No	$110	54.9¢	Поражение
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?	Yes	$500	32.5¢	Поражение
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	$467	77.0¢	Победа
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	$131	15.0¢	Поражение
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	$2.0k	17.1¢	Поражение
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	$227	46.0¢	Победа
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$130	31.0¢	Поражение

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak DjokovicПоражение
Novak Djokovic$241 @ 21.0¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Победа
No$144 @ 89.0¢
TikTok sale announced by September 30?Победа
No$73 @ 73.0¢
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Победа
No$1.3k @ 60.0¢
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?Поражение
Yes$100 @ 31.5¢
Will Tesla dip to $383 in February?Поражение
Yes$746 @ 39.0¢
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Победа
No$173 @ 72.5¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Поражение
No$33 @ 33.0¢
US government shutdown by October 1?Победа
Yes$101 @ 67.0¢
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Победа
No$500 @ 24.7¢
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?Поражение
No$500 @ 11.0¢
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$767 @ 73.1¢
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Победа
Yes$514 @ 42.0¢
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Поражение
Yes$247 @ 23.2¢
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?Победа
No$124 @ 34.0¢
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Поражение
Yes$214 @ 18.9¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Поражение
Yes$307 @ 64.0¢
Will Angus King vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?Поражение
Yes$80 @ 80.0¢
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Поражение
No$142 @ 71.0¢
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?Победа
Yes$54 @ 27.0¢
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?Победа
Yes$201 @ 76.0¢
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?Поражение
No$125 @ 62.5¢
Will Meta dip to $640 in February?Победа
Yes$1.2k @ 47.0¢
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Победа
No$325 @ 65.0¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Поражение
No$198 @ 50.9¢
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Поражение
No$1.2k @ 39.3¢
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Поражение
Yes$605 @ 54.0¢
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?Победа
Yes$71 @ 67.0¢
Will Netanyahu's UN speech be less than 15 minutes long?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 2.0¢
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Поражение
No$1.2k @ 44.5¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Победа
No$919 @ 71.0¢
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50.5 and 51.0 million views on day 6?Поражение
No$990 @ 56.0¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Победа
No$103 @ 86.0¢
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Поражение
No$38 @ 19.0¢
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Победа
Yes$100 @ 75.0¢
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Победа
No$300 @ 87.3¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Поражение
Yes$422 @ 38.0¢
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Поражение
No$170 @ 85.0¢
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?Победа
No$560 @ 80.4¢
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Победа
Yes$2.5k @ 61.0¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Поражение
No$324 @ 41.9¢
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Победа
No$187 @ 86.0¢
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?Победа
No$1.1k @ 72.0¢
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Поражение
No$110 @ 54.9¢
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Поражение
Yes$500 @ 32.5¢
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Победа
No$467 @ 77.0¢
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Поражение
Yes$131 @ 15.0¢
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Поражение
No$2.0k @ 17.1¢
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Победа
No$227 @ 46.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Поражение
Yes$130 @ 31.0¢

Недавние сделки

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Загрузка недавних сделок…

Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Культура	Yes	$2.2k	50.8¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?	Экономика	No	$1.7k	66.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	No	$1.6k	83.3¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Политика	No	$1.1k	93.3¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Бизнес	No	$856	62.7¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$761	72.0¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	Политика	No	$663	49.9¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Политика	No	$588	27.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Геополитика	Yes	$555	27.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Политика	No	$555	76.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Политика	No	$433	84.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$420	15.0¢
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Политика	No	$414	76.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	—	Yes	$404	38.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Геополитика	No	$384	87.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Политика	No	$380	23.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$379	49.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Политика	No	$376	76.0¢
No one announced as next James Bond?	Культура	Yes	$363	21.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$362	36.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Технологии	No	$356	70.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Геополитика	Yes	$354	33.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$325	43.5¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	—	No	$324	41.9¢
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	Наука	No	$309	90.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Политика	No	$307	13.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Политика	Yes	$307	64.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Политика	Yes	$302	14.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	—	No	$265	37.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Политика	No	$254	26.3¢

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Культура
Yes$2.2k @ 50.8¢
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?Экономика
No$1.7k @ 66.0¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
No$1.6k @ 83.3¢
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Политика
No$1.1k @ 93.3¢
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Бизнес
No$856 @ 62.7¢
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$761 @ 72.0¢
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Политика
No$663 @ 49.9¢
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Политика
No$588 @ 27.0¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Геополитика
Yes$555 @ 27.0¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Политика
No$555 @ 76.0¢
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Политика
No$433 @ 84.0¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$420 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Политика
No$414 @ 76.8¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?—
Yes$404 @ 38.0¢
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Геополитика
No$384 @ 87.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Политика
No$380 @ 23.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$379 @ 49.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Политика
No$376 @ 76.0¢
No one announced as next James Bond?Культура
Yes$363 @ 21.7¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$362 @ 36.0¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Технологии
No$356 @ 70.0¢
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Геополитика
Yes$354 @ 33.0¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$325 @ 43.5¢
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?—
No$324 @ 41.9¢
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Наука
No$309 @ 90.0¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Политика
No$307 @ 13.0¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Политика
Yes$307 @ 64.0¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseПолитика
Yes$302 @ 14.0¢
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?—
No$265 @ 37.0¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Политика
No$254 @ 26.3¢