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0x2136…ee56
ПрофиЭдж
+14.7pp
ROI
+13%
Доля побед
97% @ 82.4¢
Brier
0.036
Сделок
175
Ср. размер
$284
Динамика ROI
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Политика | 83% (5/6) | +22% | 6 |
| Other | 50% (1/2) | +14% | 2 |
| Геополитика | 100% (2/2) | +24% | 2 |
- Политика6 ставки
- Попадания
- 83% (5/6)
- ROI
- +22%
- Other2 ставки
- Попадания
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +14%
- Геополитика2 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (2/2)
- ROI
- +24%
История результатов
80% попаданий · 8/10| Рынок | Исход | Размер | Вход | Итог |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? | No | $260 | 88.3¢ | Победа |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? | No | $64 | 89.9¢ | Победа |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? | Yes | $25 | 7.0¢ | Поражение |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | $10.0k | 87.7¢ | Победа |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | No | $175 | 73.0¢ | Победа |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | $4.8k | 68.7¢ | Победа |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | $9.2k | 82.7¢ | Победа |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | Yes | $717 | 68.0¢ | Победа |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | $20.4k | 84.8¢ | Победа |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | $616 | 29.3¢ | Поражение |
- No$260 @ 88.3¢
- No$64 @ 89.9¢
- Yes$25 @ 7.0¢
- No$10.0k @ 87.7¢
- No$175 @ 73.0¢
- No$4.8k @ 68.7¢
- No$9.2k @ 82.7¢
- Yes$717 @ 68.0¢
- No$20.4k @ 84.8¢
- No$616 @ 29.3¢
Недавние сделки
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