0x1ec6…7edb

Профи

Эдж

+5.4pp

ROI

+25%

Доля побед

42% @ 36.5¢

Brier

0.155

Сделок

1471

Ср. размер

$56

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Other	53% (39/73)	+40%	73
Политика	41% (21/51)	+2%	51
Технологии	25% (1/4)	-58%	4
Крипто	25% (1/4)	+22%	4
Геополитика	0% (0/3)	-100%	3

Other73 ставки
Попадания
53% (39/73)
ROI
+40%
Политика51 ставки
Попадания
41% (21/51)
ROI
+2%
Технологии4 ставки
Попадания
25% (1/4)
ROI
-58%
Крипто4 ставки
Попадания
25% (1/4)
ROI
+22%
Геополитика3 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/3)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

46% попаданий · 62/135

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$7	6.9¢	Поражение
Trump renames AI by December 31?	Yes	$32	71.0¢	Победа
Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	$101	82.5¢	Поражение
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?	Yes	$270	45.9¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$85	89.0¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	Yes	$53	1.2¢	Поражение
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	$35	11.0¢	Поражение
Weed rescheduled by June 30?	Yes	$41	15.2¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$3.1k	11.3¢	Поражение
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?	Yes	$8	3.3¢	Поражение
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	$80	68.8¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	Yes	$66	7.6¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	Yes	$60	55.9¢	Победа
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	$588	66.5¢	Победа
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	$47	82.0¢	Победа
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?	Yes	$6	59.8¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?	Yes	$592	29.6¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$1.9k	11.9¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1.4k	57.4¢	Победа
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	$366	80.0¢	Победа
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	$820	65.6¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?	No	$664	70.4¢	Победа
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	No	$13	9.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	$129	2.6¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$19	0.3¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	Yes	$570	18.2¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$69	0.7¢	Поражение
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	$129	22.8¢	Поражение
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	$4.6k	82.2¢	Победа
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	$257	5.3¢	Поражение
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?	No	$8	39.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29)	Yes	$10	80.0¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	$412	12.8¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	$49	81.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	$114	7.5¢	Поражение
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	$1.8k	51.6¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$820	59.5¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	Yes	$5.2k	12.7¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	$126	84.2¢	Победа
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$11	19.9¢	Поражение
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	86.2¢	Победа
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	$742	81.6¢	Победа
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	$62	87.2¢	Победа
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?	Yes	$92	6.3¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	No	$64	26.2¢	Поражение
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?	Yes	$889	4.5¢	Победа
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	$214	74.9¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$21	63.2¢	Победа
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	$146	19.0¢	Поражение
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	$81	25.0¢	Поражение

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 6.9¢
Trump renames AI by December 31?Победа
Yes$32 @ 71.0¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?Поражение
No$101 @ 82.5¢
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Победа
Yes$270 @ 45.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$85 @ 89.0¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Поражение
Yes$53 @ 1.2¢
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Поражение
Yes$35 @ 11.0¢
Weed rescheduled by June 30?Поражение
Yes$41 @ 15.2¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$3.1k @ 11.3¢
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Поражение
Yes$8 @ 3.3¢
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Поражение
Yes$80 @ 68.8¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Поражение
Yes$66 @ 7.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?Победа
Yes$60 @ 55.9¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Победа
No$588 @ 66.5¢
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?Победа
Yes$47 @ 82.0¢
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Победа
Yes$6 @ 59.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Поражение
Yes$592 @ 29.6¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1.9k @ 11.9¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$1.4k @ 57.4¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?Победа
No$366 @ 80.0¢
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Победа
No$820 @ 65.6¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Победа
No$664 @ 70.4¢
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?Поражение
No$13 @ 9.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Поражение
Yes$129 @ 2.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$19 @ 0.3¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Поражение
Yes$570 @ 18.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$69 @ 0.7¢
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Поражение
No$129 @ 22.8¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Победа
No$4.6k @ 82.2¢
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Поражение
Yes$257 @ 5.3¢
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?Поражение
No$8 @ 39.0¢
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (March 29)Победа
Yes$10 @ 80.0¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Поражение
Yes$412 @ 12.8¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Победа
No$49 @ 81.0¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Поражение
Yes$114 @ 7.5¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Победа
No$1.8k @ 51.6¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$820 @ 59.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Поражение
Yes$5.2k @ 12.7¢
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?Победа
Yes$126 @ 84.2¢
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$11 @ 19.9¢
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?Победа
Yes$5 @ 86.2¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Победа
No$742 @ 81.6¢
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Победа
No$62 @ 87.2¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Поражение
Yes$92 @ 6.3¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Поражение
No$64 @ 26.2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Победа
Yes$889 @ 4.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Победа
Yes$214 @ 74.9¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$21 @ 63.2¢
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Поражение
No$146 @ 19.0¢
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Поражение
No$81 @ 25.0¢

Недавние сделки

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Политика	No	$2.7k	86.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$1.4k	36.0¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Политика	No	$640	79.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Крипто	No	$338	38.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$330	33.0¢
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?	Политика	No	$302	87.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	No	$265	52.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	Крипто	Yes	$265	15.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	Крипто	Yes	$216	23.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$182	78.0¢
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Политика	No	$137	89.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4?	Крипто	No	$132	47.0¢
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$128	27.5¢
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$122	37.0¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Крипто	No	$108	17.3¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Технологии	No	$54	86.2¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	Политика	No	$43	90.0¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Технологии	No	$42	17.1¢
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?	Технологии	No	$41	34.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$38	8.0¢

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Политика
No$2.7k @ 86.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$1.4k @ 36.0¢
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Политика
No$640 @ 79.0¢
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Крипто
No$338 @ 38.3¢
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$330 @ 33.0¢
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Политика
No$302 @ 87.4¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
No$265 @ 52.0¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Крипто
Yes$265 @ 15.9¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Крипто
Yes$216 @ 23.0¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$182 @ 78.0¢
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Политика
No$137 @ 89.0¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4?Крипто
No$132 @ 47.0¢
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Крипто
No$128 @ 27.5¢
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Крипто
No$122 @ 37.0¢
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Крипто
No$108 @ 17.3¢
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Технологии
No$54 @ 86.2¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Политика
No$43 @ 90.0¢
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Технологии
No$42 @ 17.1¢
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Технологии
No$41 @ 34.0¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Политика
Yes$38 @ 8.0¢