0x1c14…0869

Профи

Эдж

+10.2pp

ROI

+16%

Доля побед

48% @ 38.0¢

Brier

0.144

Сделок

2021

Ср. размер

$127

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	73% (324/444)	+28%	444
Other	61% (143/236)	+36%	236
Геополитика	57% (4/7)	+538%	7
Спорт	50% (3/6)	+38%	6
Экономика	100% (1/1)	+20%	1
Крипто	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Политика444 ставки
Попадания
73% (324/444)
ROI
+28%
Other236 ставки
Попадания
61% (143/236)
ROI
+36%
Геополитика7 ставки
Попадания
57% (4/7)
ROI
+538%
Спорт6 ставки
Попадания
50% (3/6)
ROI
+38%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+20%
Крипто1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

68% попаданий · 475/695

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?	Yes	$140	28.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "Bond" in June?	No	$5	99.0¢	Победа
Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	$8	83.0¢	Победа
Will the Republicans win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	$54	80.4¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?	Yes	$24	85.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?	No	$249	83.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?	No	$7	87.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?	Yes	$73	20.3¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation?	Yes	$129	42.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Maduro" during Speech to the Nation?	Yes	$732	71.9¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?	No	$114	57.6¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Speech to the Nation?	Yes	$97	68.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation?	Yes	$43	13.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation?	Yes	$479	57.6¢	Победа
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance	France	$100	79.2¢	Победа
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?	No	$303	54.3¢	Поражение
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	$359	9.0¢	Поражение
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	Norway	$100	35.5¢	Поражение
Will Trump say "Four More Years" in June?	No	$5	99.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?	No	$2.5k	90.2¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Tiger" in July?	Yes	$97	73.7¢	Победа
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?	Yes	$245	52.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?	Yes	$174	49.9¢	Поражение
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance	Germany	$87	87.0¢	Поражение
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	$683	47.4¢	Победа
Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$0	1.0¢	Поражение
Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	$7	1.5¢	Поражение
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?	Yes	$40	98.1¢	Победа
Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat?	No	$20	99.1¢	Победа
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?	Yes	$551	28.4¢	Поражение
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?	Yes	$87	87.0¢	Победа
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?	No	$87	87.0¢	Победа
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	$6.1k	14.6¢	Победа
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	$780	39.0¢	Победа
Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)	No	$246	91.0¢	Победа
Will Trump say "Burger" in October?	No	$17	89.5¢	Победа
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	$2.1k	19.8¢	Победа
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?	No	$184	61.0¢	Победа
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?	Yes	$120	60.0¢	Победа
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?	No	$154	76.6¢	Поражение
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?	Yes	$599	81.4¢	Поражение
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	$700	35.0¢	Поражение
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?	Yes	$98	89.7¢	Победа
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?	Yes	$13	74.0¢	Победа
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$27	89.1¢	Победа
Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$5	26.0¢	Победа
Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	$10	50.0¢	Поражение
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	$3.2k	73.0¢	Победа
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	$3.5k	70.0¢	Победа
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	Yes	$26	52.0¢	Победа

Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?Поражение
Yes$140 @ 28.0¢
Will Trump say "Bond" in June?Победа
No$5 @ 99.0¢
Will the Democrats win Washoe County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Победа
Yes$8 @ 83.0¢
Will the Republicans win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Победа
No$54 @ 80.4¢
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?Победа
Yes$24 @ 85.0¢
Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?Победа
No$249 @ 83.0¢
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?Победа
No$7 @ 87.0¢
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?Победа
Yes$73 @ 20.3¢
Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation?Победа
Yes$129 @ 42.0¢
Will Trump say "Maduro" during Speech to the Nation?Победа
Yes$732 @ 71.9¢
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?Победа
No$114 @ 57.6¢
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Speech to the Nation?Победа
Yes$97 @ 68.0¢
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation?Поражение
Yes$43 @ 13.0¢
Will Trump say "Fraud" or "Fraudulent" during Speech to the Nation?Победа
Yes$479 @ 57.6¢
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceПобеда
France$100 @ 79.2¢
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?Поражение
No$303 @ 54.3¢
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Поражение
Yes$359 @ 9.0¢
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceПоражение
Norway$100 @ 35.5¢
Will Trump say "Four More Years" in June?Победа
No$5 @ 99.0¢
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Победа
No$2.5k @ 90.2¢
Will Trump say "Tiger" in July?Победа
Yes$97 @ 73.7¢
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?Поражение
Yes$245 @ 52.0¢
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?Поражение
Yes$174 @ 49.9¢
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceПоражение
Germany$87 @ 87.0¢
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Победа
No$683 @ 47.4¢
Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Поражение
Yes$0 @ 1.0¢
Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Поражение
Yes$7 @ 1.5¢
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?Победа
Yes$40 @ 98.1¢
Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat?Победа
No$20 @ 99.1¢
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?Поражение
Yes$551 @ 28.4¢
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?Победа
Yes$87 @ 87.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?Победа
No$87 @ 87.0¢
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Победа
Yes$6.1k @ 14.6¢
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Победа
No$780 @ 39.0¢
Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)Победа
No$246 @ 91.0¢
Will Trump say "Burger" in October?Победа
No$17 @ 89.5¢
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?Победа
Yes$2.1k @ 19.8¢
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?Победа
No$184 @ 61.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?Победа
Yes$120 @ 60.0¢
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?Поражение
No$154 @ 76.6¢
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?Поражение
Yes$599 @ 81.4¢
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseПоражение
Yes$700 @ 35.0¢
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?Победа
Yes$98 @ 89.7¢
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Победа
Yes$13 @ 74.0¢
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Победа
Yes$27 @ 89.1¢
Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Победа
Yes$5 @ 26.0¢
Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Поражение
Yes$10 @ 50.0¢
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Победа
No$3.2k @ 73.0¢
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Победа
Yes$3.5k @ 70.0¢
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Победа
Yes$26 @ 52.0¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$33.9k	43.1¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$7.2k	4.0¢
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Политика	No	$7.1k	97.6¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$5.7k	42.2¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$4.7k	0.9¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$4.3k	4.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Политика	No	$3.7k	97.9¢
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Политика	No	$3.2k	89.3¢
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Политика	Yes	$2.8k	84.6¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$2.5k	0.8¢
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?	Политика	Yes	$2.2k	77.5¢
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$2.1k	0.6¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Политика	Yes	$2.0k	84.6¢
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Политика	No	$1.6k	76.4¢
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$1.4k	0.2¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Политика	Yes	$1.2k	53.1¢
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Политика	Yes	$1.2k	0.6¢
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Политика	Yes	$1.0k	66.1¢
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Политика	Yes	$1.0k	66.7¢
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Политика	No	$990	94.4¢
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	Политика	No	$779	92.8¢
Will Democrats win young men in the midterms?	Политика	Yes	$762	75.8¢
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$651	37.0¢
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Политика	Yes	$642	38.7¢
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$566	7.6¢
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Политика	Yes	$530	76.9¢
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Политика	No	$530	98.5¢
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Политика	Yes	$512	70.0¢
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Политика	Yes	$460	62.4¢
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	Политика	No	$453	84.3¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$33.9k @ 43.1¢
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$7.2k @ 4.0¢
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Политика
No$7.1k @ 97.6¢
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Политика
Yes$5.7k @ 42.2¢
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$4.7k @ 0.9¢
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$4.3k @ 4.0¢
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?Политика
No$3.7k @ 97.9¢
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Политика
No$3.2k @ 89.3¢
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?Политика
Yes$2.8k @ 84.6¢
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$2.5k @ 0.8¢
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?Политика
Yes$2.2k @ 77.5¢
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$2.1k @ 0.6¢
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Политика
Yes$2.0k @ 84.6¢
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Политика
No$1.6k @ 76.4¢
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$1.4k @ 0.2¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?Политика
Yes$1.2k @ 53.1¢
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Политика
Yes$1.2k @ 0.6¢
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?Политика
Yes$1.0k @ 66.1¢
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?Политика
Yes$1.0k @ 66.7¢
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?Политика
No$990 @ 94.4¢
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Политика
No$779 @ 92.8¢
Will Democrats win young men in the midterms?Политика
Yes$762 @ 75.8¢
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$651 @ 37.0¢
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Политика
Yes$642 @ 38.7¢
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Политика
Yes$566 @ 7.6¢
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?Политика
Yes$530 @ 76.9¢
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?Политика
No$530 @ 98.5¢
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028?Политика
Yes$512 @ 70.0¢
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Политика
Yes$460 @ 62.4¢
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?Политика
No$453 @ 84.3¢