0x1521…f23e

Профи

Эдж

+18.4pp

ROI

+15%

Доля побед

99% @ 80.5¢

Brier

0.053

Сделок

264

Ср. размер

$571

Динамика ROI

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	64% (7/11)	-6%	11
Геополитика	100% (1/1)	+17%	1
Крипто	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

62% попаданий · 8/13

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	$49.7k	82.8¢	Победа
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	$11.0k	55.0¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$26.7k	66.7¢	Победа
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	$11.1k	85.7¢	Победа
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	$52.2k	86.9¢	Победа
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	Yes	$207	86.3¢	Победа
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$10.6k	0.4¢	Поражение
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	$4.5k	22.7¢	Поражение
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	$24.6k	82.0¢	Победа
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	$720	88.4¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	$4	13.0¢	Поражение
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	$2.3k	46.0¢	Победа
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	$36.2k	68.5¢	Поражение

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Загрузка недавних сделок…

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Политика	Yes	$35.2k	39.5¢