← Умные деньги
0x1428…3905
ПрофиЭдж
+17.1pp
ROI
+16%
Доля побед
87% @ 69.7¢
Brier
0.075
Сделок
68
Ср. размер
$327
Специализация по сферам
| Сфера | Попадания | ROI | Ставки |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 70% (7/10) | +15% | 10 |
| Экономика | 50% (1/2) | +57% | 2 |
| Спорт | 100% (1/1) | +50% | 1 |
| Геополитика | 0% (0/1) | -100% | 1 |
- Other10 ставки
- Попадания
- 70% (7/10)
- ROI
- +15%
- Экономика2 ставки
- Попадания
- 50% (1/2)
- ROI
- +57%
- Спорт1 ставки
- Попадания
- 100% (1/1)
- ROI
- +50%
- Геополитика1 ставки
- Попадания
- 0% (0/1)
- ROI
- -100%
История результатов
64% попаданий · 9/14| Рынок | Исход | Размер | Вход | Итог |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | $273 | 54.6¢ | Победа |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | $46 | 46.0¢ | Поражение |
| Fed rate hike in 2025? | No | $85 | 85.0¢ | Победа |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | $113 | 80.0¢ | Победа |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | Yes | $17 | 15.0¢ | Поражение |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | $85 | 75.0¢ | Победа |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting? | Yes | $16 | 2.7¢ | Поражение |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | $75 | 75.0¢ | Поражение |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | $25 | 66.8¢ | Победа |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $143 | 86.0¢ | Победа |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | Yes | $10 | 70.0¢ | Победа |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | No | $17.4k | 85.6¢ | Победа |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Yes | $166 | 6.0¢ | Поражение |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31? | No | $3.8k | 87.7¢ | Победа |
- No$273 @ 54.6¢
- Yes$46 @ 46.0¢
- Fed rate hike in 2025?ПобедаNo$85 @ 85.0¢
- Yes$113 @ 80.0¢
- Yes$17 @ 15.0¢
- Yes$85 @ 75.0¢
- Yes$16 @ 2.7¢
- No$75 @ 75.0¢
- No$25 @ 66.8¢
- Yes$143 @ 86.0¢
- Yes$10 @ 70.0¢
- No$17.4k @ 85.6¢
- Xi Jinping out in 2025?ПоражениеYes$166 @ 6.0¢
- No$3.8k @ 87.7¢
Недавние сделки
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Текущие позиции
| Рынок | Сфера | Исход | Размер | Вход |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Геополитика | No | $11.9k | 85.5¢ |
| US x China Military clash before 2027? | Политика | No | $2.6k | 91.8¢ |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Политика | No | $2.0k | 85.4¢ |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Технологии | No | $1.9k | 79.3¢ |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Политика | No | $1.0k | 84.0¢ |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Геополитика | No | $698 | 72.5¢ |
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?ГеополитикаNo$11.9k @ 85.5¢
- No$2.6k @ 91.8¢
- No$2.0k @ 85.4¢
- No$1.9k @ 79.3¢
- No$1.0k @ 84.0¢
- No$698 @ 72.5¢