0x0d7e…cb13

Профи

Эдж

+19.5pp

ROI

+118%

Доля побед

32% @ 12.8¢

Brier

0.132

Сделок

445

Ср. размер

$20

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	18% (2/11)	-56%	11
Other	50% (3/6)	+170%	6
Культура	50% (1/2)	+19%	2

Политика11 ставки
Попадания
18% (2/11)
ROI
-56%
Other6 ставки
Попадания
50% (3/6)
ROI
+170%
Культура2 ставки
Попадания
50% (1/2)
ROI
+19%

История результатов

32% попаданий · 6/19

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	$288	63.0¢	Победа
Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	$284	0.4¢	Поражение
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	$52	51.9¢	Победа
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Поражение
Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	$124	0.2¢	Поражение
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$6.5k	35.9¢	Победа
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$27	0.1¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$23	2.9¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$63	1.1¢	Поражение
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	$175	0.7¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$627	0.1¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$26	0.1¢	Поражение
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	$4	0.3¢	Поражение
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	$50	10.0¢	Поражение
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	$259	64.6¢	Победа
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	$8	65.6¢	Победа
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$340	0.2¢	Поражение
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	$26	0.5¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$65	10.2¢	Победа

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Победа
Yes$288 @ 63.0¢
Trump out as President by April 30?Поражение
Yes$284 @ 0.4¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?Победа
Yes$52 @ 51.9¢
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
Trump out as President by May 31?Поражение
Yes$124 @ 0.2¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Победа
Yes$6.5k @ 35.9¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$27 @ 0.1¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$23 @ 2.9¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$63 @ 1.1¢
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Поражение
Yes$175 @ 0.7¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$627 @ 0.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$26 @ 0.1¢
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Поражение
No$4 @ 0.3¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Поражение
No$50 @ 10.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Победа
Yes$259 @ 64.6¢
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?Победа
No$8 @ 65.6¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$340 @ 0.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$26 @ 0.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$65 @ 10.2¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Культура	Yes	$224	32.1¢
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Культура	Yes	$105	52.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Политика	No	$105	21.0¢
Trump out as President by June 30?	Политика	Yes	$63	0.6¢
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Культура	Yes	$58	8.3¢
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Культура	Yes	$25	1.6¢
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Культура	Yes	$24	3.4¢
Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?	Экономика	Yes	$21	1.4¢
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Культура	Yes	$13	1.9¢
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Культура	Yes	$10	1.4¢
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?	Экономика	Yes	$4	0.8¢

Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Культура
Yes$224 @ 32.1¢
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Культура
Yes$105 @ 52.6¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Политика
No$105 @ 21.0¢
Trump out as President by June 30?Политика
Yes$63 @ 0.6¢
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Культура
Yes$58 @ 8.3¢
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Культура
Yes$25 @ 1.6¢
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Культура
Yes$24 @ 3.4¢
Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026?Экономика
Yes$21 @ 1.4¢
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Культура
Yes$13 @ 1.9¢
Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Культура
Yes$10 @ 1.4¢
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?Экономика
Yes$4 @ 0.8¢