0x0d7e…cb13

Профи

Эдж

+2.2pp

ROI

+41%

Доля побед

9% @ 7.0¢

Brier

0.062

Сделок

4713

Ср. размер

Динамика ROI

Специализация по сферам

Сфера	Попадания	ROI	Ставки
Политика	22% (8/37)	+19%	37
Other	47% (8/17)	+97%	17
Культура	22% (2/9)	+52%	9
Наука	100% (1/1)	+18%	1
Экономика	0% (0/1)	-100%	1

Политика37 ставки
Попадания
22% (8/37)
ROI
+19%
Other17 ставки
Попадания
47% (8/17)
ROI
+97%
Культура9 ставки
Попадания
22% (2/9)
ROI
+52%
Наука1 ставки
Попадания
100% (1/1)
ROI
+18%
Экономика1 ставки
Попадания
0% (0/1)
ROI
-100%

История результатов

29% попаданий · 19/65

Рынок	Исход	Размер	Вход	Итог
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	$288	63.0¢	Победа
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	$3	3.0¢	Поражение
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	$89	89.0¢	Победа
Trump out as President by August 31?	Yes	$1.8k	0.6¢	Поражение
Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	$284	0.4¢	Поражение
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	Yes	$814	22.6¢	Победа
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	Yes	$52	51.9¢	Победа
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	$2	23.0¢	Поражение
Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	$124	0.2¢	Поражение
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	$6.5k	36.1¢	Победа
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	$6	11.0¢	Победа
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	$41	82.0¢	Поражение
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	$110	88.4¢	Победа
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$27	0.1¢	Поражение
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$235	47.0¢	Победа
Megaquake by June 30?	No	$4	85.0¢	Победа
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	$28	46.1¢	Победа
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	Yes	$89	55.2¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$24	1.3¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	$63	1.1¢	Поражение
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	$185	0.6¢	Поражение
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	$551	11.0¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$627	0.1¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$26	0.1¢	Поражение
Trump out as President by September 30?	Yes	$22	0.3¢	Поражение
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?	Yes	$1	15.0¢	Поражение
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	$4	0.3¢	Поражение
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$868	1.5¢	Поражение
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	$50	10.0¢	Поражение
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	$259	64.6¢	Победа
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	$8	65.6¢	Победа
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	$340	0.2¢	Поражение
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	$26	0.5¢	Поражение
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	$65	10.2¢	Победа
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?	Yes	$13	6.5¢	Поражение
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	Yes	$349	44.5¢	Победа
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	$2	3.2¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$3	57.0¢	Победа
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	1.1¢	Поражение
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	$1	62.0¢	Победа
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	45.0¢	Поражение
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$2	2.2¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	$33	0.9¢	Поражение
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?	Yes	$1	0.2¢	Поражение
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?	Yes	$5	2.1¢	Поражение
Trump out as President by July 31?	Yes	$12	0.6¢	Поражение
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$5	0.5¢	Поражение
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	$224	32.1¢	Поражение
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$4	0.8¢	Поражение
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	$1	1.4¢	Поражение

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?Победа
Yes$288 @ 63.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Поражение
No$3 @ 3.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Победа
Yes$89 @ 89.0¢
Trump out as President by August 31?Поражение
Yes$1.8k @ 0.6¢
Trump out as President by April 30?Поражение
Yes$284 @ 0.4¢
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Победа
Yes$814 @ 22.6¢
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?Победа
Yes$52 @ 51.9¢
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 23.0¢
Trump out as President by May 31?Поражение
Yes$124 @ 0.2¢
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Победа
Yes$6.5k @ 36.1¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Победа
No$6 @ 11.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Поражение
Yes$41 @ 82.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Победа
Yes$110 @ 88.4¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$27 @ 0.1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$235 @ 47.0¢
Megaquake by June 30?Победа
No$4 @ 85.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Победа
No$28 @ 46.1¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Поражение
Yes$89 @ 55.2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$24 @ 1.3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$63 @ 1.1¢
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Поражение
Yes$185 @ 0.6¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Поражение
Yes$551 @ 11.0¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$627 @ 0.1¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$26 @ 0.1¢
Trump out as President by September 30?Поражение
Yes$22 @ 0.3¢
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 15.0¢
Will Trump visit China by May 31?Поражение
No$4 @ 0.3¢
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$868 @ 1.5¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Поражение
No$50 @ 10.0¢
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Победа
Yes$259 @ 64.6¢
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?Победа
No$8 @ 65.6¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$340 @ 0.2¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Поражение
No$26 @ 0.5¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Победа
Yes$65 @ 10.2¢
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?Поражение
Yes$13 @ 6.5¢
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?Победа
Yes$349 @ 44.5¢
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 3.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Победа
Yes$3 @ 57.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.1¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Победа
No$1 @ 62.0¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 45.0¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$2 @ 2.2¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$33 @ 0.9¢
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 0.2¢
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 2.1¢
Trump out as President by July 31?Поражение
Yes$12 @ 0.6¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$5 @ 0.5¢
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Поражение
Yes$224 @ 32.1¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$4 @ 0.8¢
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Поражение
Yes$1 @ 1.4¢

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Текущие позиции

Рынок	Сфера	Исход	Размер	Вход
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Политика	Yes	$1.4k	2.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Политика	Yes	$101	10.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?	Политика	Yes	$3	3.2¢

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Политика
Yes$1.4k @ 2.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Политика
Yes$101 @ 10.0¢
Trump out as President before 2027?Политика
Yes$3 @ 3.2¢